Power Ratings I.......................................
1 Albany 13.41
2 Baltimore 4.78
3 Philly
4 Washington (-5.51)
My Lines.......................................
Albany -11.63 over Baltimore
Philly -4.79 over Washington
Albany was our no. 1 ranked team last season and lost in 1st round to Washington who ranked dead last amoung playoff teams.
Albany last season was by far the weakest no. 1 ranked team we have seen in Arena Football .
This season however it is a different story, Albany is much improved and very likely hungry to win the title to make up for last seasons pathetic 1st round loss.
Washington winning the title was more fluke then anything else as a last place team in playoffs.
Teams can beat the odds once but very unlikely they do it again, and other teams will be gunning for them as defending champs.
Huge difference, 7.79 in my lines and actual line in the Washington game, we have a play on Philly sun afternoon game.
And we make a small play on Albany with only a small difference in my lines because of motivational factor after losing in 1st round last season. They likely will want to set the tone at home playing in this 1st game.
Philly +3 (-120) over Washington --- 3.6 units to win 3 units
Albany -9.5 (-115) over Baltimore --- 1.15 units to win 1 unit
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Power Ratings I.......................................
1 Albany 13.41
2 Baltimore 4.78
3 Philly
4 Washington (-5.51)
My Lines.......................................
Albany -11.63 over Baltimore
Philly -4.79 over Washington
Albany was our no. 1 ranked team last season and lost in 1st round to Washington who ranked dead last amoung playoff teams.
Albany last season was by far the weakest no. 1 ranked team we have seen in Arena Football .
This season however it is a different story, Albany is much improved and very likely hungry to win the title to make up for last seasons pathetic 1st round loss.
Washington winning the title was more fluke then anything else as a last place team in playoffs.
Teams can beat the odds once but very unlikely they do it again, and other teams will be gunning for them as defending champs.
Huge difference, 7.79 in my lines and actual line in the Washington game, we have a play on Philly sun afternoon game.
And we make a small play on Albany with only a small difference in my lines because of motivational factor after losing in 1st round last season. They likely will want to set the tone at home playing in this 1st game.
Philly +3 (-120) over Washington --- 3.6 units to win 3 units
Albany -9.5 (-115) over Baltimore --- 1.15 units to win 1 unit
Very interesting stat on Washington................................they fumbled 15 times in regular season but lost only 2, WOW, that is crazy.
They have the most fumbles of any playoff team, averaging over 1 per game.
Albany has the fewest fumbles at only 4 but crazy as it is they lost 3, wow, they lost more then Washington with 15 fumbles.
That is called fumble luck, crazy damn good fumble luck for Washington.
Fumbling/not fumbling is a skill, but once the ball is fumbled it is mostly luck who recovers, somewhat depending where on the field the fumble occurs but a big part luck.
Had Washington had average fumble luck they likely would not have made the playoffs.
It is more then likely not sustainable for Washington to continue at such a high rate of fumble luck, very possible they will lose 100% of fumbles in a game and could lose 2 in one game at some point in this seasons playoffs.
They could very well lose 2 fumbles in 1 game, as many as they lost all season in the regular season, even 3 in one game would not be unheard of.
Remember they do fumble at a fairly high rate, the most of any of the 4 playoff teams.
Baltimore and Albany are the 2 best teams at forcing fumbles , well ahead of the other 2 teams.
Albany is by far the best team at not fumbling with only 4 to the next best teams 12, tie Baltimore and Philly.
Something to watch for in this weekend games.
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Very interesting stat on Washington................................they fumbled 15 times in regular season but lost only 2, WOW, that is crazy.
They have the most fumbles of any playoff team, averaging over 1 per game.
Albany has the fewest fumbles at only 4 but crazy as it is they lost 3, wow, they lost more then Washington with 15 fumbles.
That is called fumble luck, crazy damn good fumble luck for Washington.
Fumbling/not fumbling is a skill, but once the ball is fumbled it is mostly luck who recovers, somewhat depending where on the field the fumble occurs but a big part luck.
Had Washington had average fumble luck they likely would not have made the playoffs.
It is more then likely not sustainable for Washington to continue at such a high rate of fumble luck, very possible they will lose 100% of fumbles in a game and could lose 2 in one game at some point in this seasons playoffs.
They could very well lose 2 fumbles in 1 game, as many as they lost all season in the regular season, even 3 in one game would not be unheard of.
Remember they do fumble at a fairly high rate, the most of any of the 4 playoff teams.
Baltimore and Albany are the 2 best teams at forcing fumbles , well ahead of the other 2 teams.
Albany is by far the best team at not fumbling with only 4 to the next best teams 12, tie Baltimore and Philly.
Albany off 3 straight big blowout wins by 31 points or more.
49-18
72-27
61-26
Not a good spot for Albany ATS. And my lines leans Baltimore
With Albany winning big game 1 they get that revenge from last years devastating 1st round loss and with such a big win almost assures them a trip to ArenaBowl, not as likely they come with another big game this weekend.
We lean Baltimore at this time, but let's waitout the line.
Philly off their biggest win by far all season after coming into playoffs off a big blowout loss to Albany 27-72.
Philly lost 2 of final 3 games in regular season.
Philly had won only 2 games all season over 7 pts and both those were by 9 pts.
We pass on this game at this time.
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Game 2 lines..................................
Albany -8.5 over Baltimore
Philly -9.5 over Washington
Albany off 3 straight big blowout wins by 31 points or more.
49-18
72-27
61-26
Not a good spot for Albany ATS. And my lines leans Baltimore
With Albany winning big game 1 they get that revenge from last years devastating 1st round loss and with such a big win almost assures them a trip to ArenaBowl, not as likely they come with another big game this weekend.
We lean Baltimore at this time, but let's waitout the line.
Philly off their biggest win by far all season after coming into playoffs off a big blowout loss to Albany 27-72.
Philly lost 2 of final 3 games in regular season.
Philly had won only 2 games all season over 7 pts and both those were by 9 pts.
Wow, Albany is on a major mission to make up for that 1st round loss last year to a team with a losing record of all things.
They roll Baltimore 62-21.
Now they are off 4 BIG BLOWOUT WINS, not the best spot for Albany in ArenaBowl.
Don't think I would go against them again considering the spot , a major revenge spot for their horrendous 1st round loss and having improved quite a bit from last year.
Maybe if Philly wins big today could be a reasonable line but looks like Albany will be a huge favorite in ArenaBowl , would have to pass on that.
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Wow, Albany is on a major mission to make up for that 1st round loss last year to a team with a losing record of all things.
They roll Baltimore 62-21.
Now they are off 4 BIG BLOWOUT WINS, not the best spot for Albany in ArenaBowl.
Don't think I would go against them again considering the spot , a major revenge spot for their horrendous 1st round loss and having improved quite a bit from last year.
Maybe if Philly wins big today could be a reasonable line but looks like Albany will be a huge favorite in ArenaBowl , would have to pass on that.
Actual line is 9, we have a 5.13 difference to my lines.
Albany off 4 straight big blowout wins, not a good spot for them.
Philly has ArenaBowl experience, winning 2 titles just recently.
Albany with the best record last year and the best team but off a dreadfull 1st round playoff loss to a team with a losing record seems to have motivated them to these 4 big blowout wins.
Don't see Albany being denied the title this season, just don't see it.
would lean Albany ATS at this point, but let's waitout the line.
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ArenaBowl..........................2019
my lines.............Albany -14.13 over Philly
Actual line is 9, we have a 5.13 difference to my lines.
Albany off 4 straight big blowout wins, not a good spot for them.
Philly has ArenaBowl experience, winning 2 titles just recently.
Albany with the best record last year and the best team but off a dreadfull 1st round playoff loss to a team with a losing record seems to have motivated them to these 4 big blowout wins.
Don't see Albany being denied the title this season, just don't see it.
would lean Albany ATS at this point, but let's waitout the line.
Excitement fills the air with everyone on the edge of their seats................it's game day for The ArenaBowl 2019,
Will anyone even show up to the game ? Ha,
Can't find any team stats for the playoff games, crazy, just pure crazy. For a league that barely survives my goodness, can't they put the boxscores with team stats out somewhere ?
Shouldn't that be important to try and draw more fans ?
UnFrigginReal.
I know Washington after losing just 2 fumbles all year did lose at least 1 fumble in the 1st game by the QB who had 4 TO's with 3 INT's.
Other then that I can not find any other fumble info, next year they'll have that info, yea retarded as all get up
The league has been around 30 years now I Think, crazy that long and they still don't have any team stats for PLAYOFF GAMES.
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Excitement fills the air with everyone on the edge of their seats................it's game day for The ArenaBowl 2019,
Will anyone even show up to the game ? Ha,
Can't find any team stats for the playoff games, crazy, just pure crazy. For a league that barely survives my goodness, can't they put the boxscores with team stats out somewhere ?
Shouldn't that be important to try and draw more fans ?
UnFrigginReal.
I know Washington after losing just 2 fumbles all year did lose at least 1 fumble in the 1st game by the QB who had 4 TO's with 3 INT's.
Other then that I can not find any other fumble info, next year they'll have that info, yea retarded as all get up
The league has been around 30 years now I Think, crazy that long and they still don't have any team stats for PLAYOFF GAMES.
Albany gets it done. 45-27 by 18 points. The revenge motive was big for Albany, they were not going to let up and risk any possible loss this time around.
Great spot we will take with us going forward. We could apply this to the Bears as they also lost opening playoff game after being no. 1 ranked team. But first we need to see if they elevate their game just like Albany had done during the regular season.
Our no. 1 ranked team wins the title after 2 straight times of not getting to the finals and 3 of the past 4, all beginning with Albany last season our no. 1 ranked team who lost in opening series.
Playoffs.................2-1 ATS, won 2.8 units
Next up WNBA Playoffs coming soon, should have a report out on the top teams in a week or shortly after.
Of the top 3 teams there is one team that is clearly a fraud. A pretender not a contender.
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Albany gets it done. 45-27 by 18 points. The revenge motive was big for Albany, they were not going to let up and risk any possible loss this time around.
Great spot we will take with us going forward. We could apply this to the Bears as they also lost opening playoff game after being no. 1 ranked team. But first we need to see if they elevate their game just like Albany had done during the regular season.
Our no. 1 ranked team wins the title after 2 straight times of not getting to the finals and 3 of the past 4, all beginning with Albany last season our no. 1 ranked team who lost in opening series.
Playoffs.................2-1 ATS, won 2.8 units
Next up WNBA Playoffs coming soon, should have a report out on the top teams in a week or shortly after.
Of the top 3 teams there is one team that is clearly a fraud. A pretender not a contender.
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