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#1
One week left in the 2018 season and we have 3 teams tied at 7-4 for the top seed.
2-time defending champ Philly along with Baltimore and Albany.
Unfortunately for Philly they lost their starting QB for the season, but possible he could be back for the playoffs. Can't really get any info on this.
Baltimore plays the bottom team Washington and will likely win and advance to 8-4 while Albany and Philly play each other and one team must win and go to 8-4 as well while the other must lose.
I could not find any write-ups on who wins the tie-breakers for the no. 1 seed. Some sport this is , for a struggling league how can anyone follow the sport when they are so stingy with info, my goodness.
Big game of the last week is Philly at Albany, one issue we have is Philly's back-up QB has only 91 passes attempted, a very small sample of games to go off of but his QB passer rating is fairly high, only 6 or 7 pts or so below the starter and he has a very high ave per pass attempt much higher then the starter..
We'll try to make a case in this game..................................
POWER RATINGS 1............................................................
Albany 10
Philly 3.95 ave
Philly 5.47 with back-up adjusting for his big ave per pass and QBPR.
Albany - 9.05 over Philly .......using team ave
Albany -7.53 over Philly .........using back-up QB
Albany is the right play in this game. The best we can give Philly is +7.53 but the truth likely falls somewhere in the middle as doubtful the back-up QB can sustain as high an ave per pass.
We'll take some small action on this game.
Albany -6.5 (-115) over Philly ...............2.3 units to win 2 units.
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