Posted:
#1
YTD 25 - 28
not much time today so i'm just going to run through the lines. but first, our thursday night system cruised to an easy 5-0 last week. thanks to the nfl for scheduling pagano on thursday night.
some members, or one member, might disagree but i would say no play this week. i think dallas has done an amazing job this year and they have been so good at coaching to their strengths and avoiding mistakes or going off script. and i like minnesota's coach as well. they've really been decimated since before the season started and are still in contention. also, they are pretty banged up this week.
also we won our ClubDirtSports College [only] Game of the Year with FSU. interesting that FSU was only 7.5 at home and now Alabama is 24 at a neutral site. i know alabama is the best but FSU has some possibly the best offensive player in college and some major weapons and were at home after florida had a huge sec game. this line seems inflated.
now, on to the games:
Dallas @ Minn +3.5 dallas coming off a big division game although it's not a short week and now on the road playing a very strong defense (when healthy). diggs should be back on offense too. i'll normally take the underdog in that situation. not sure i'll play a thursday game though. thursday games are fucking stupid.
Denver @ Jax +5 some odd line movement last week pushed buffalo up to 9. Jax would have been an auto play at that point but i had buffalo on my sheet so i just wrote that game off. tough loss for denver last week. their reliable defense embarrassed themselves. now they are in trouble for the playoffs. so, this is a huge game. given that, the line seems fair. if denver's defense plays better and angry, Jax should have major problems.
KC @ Atlanta -4 very nice win by Atl last week. same for KC. i have KC as the better team here so anything more than 3 looks like value to me. but, it's a lot to ask for KC to come back and play well on the road after a brutal game at denvr last week. plus, KC has a short week and oakland coming up. not a great situation for KC here.
Det @ NO -5 two more teams that had nice wins last week. NO is cruising at home like they used to. detroit is playing well and they have kept scores down but they have played two of three against a bad minn offense, a terrible houston offense and the getty's. this will be much more difficult. if their defense is truly better, they can win. if not, it could get ugly the way NO is playing. i would have the line at 4 but this is basically the same thing.
not much time today so i'm just going to run through the lines. but first, our thursday night system cruised to an easy 5-0 last week. thanks to the nfl for scheduling pagano on thursday night.
some members, or one member, might disagree but i would say no play this week. i think dallas has done an amazing job this year and they have been so good at coaching to their strengths and avoiding mistakes or going off script. and i like minnesota's coach as well. they've really been decimated since before the season started and are still in contention. also, they are pretty banged up this week.
also we won our ClubDirtSports College [only] Game of the Year with FSU. interesting that FSU was only 7.5 at home and now Alabama is 24 at a neutral site. i know alabama is the best but FSU has some possibly the best offensive player in college and some major weapons and were at home after florida had a huge sec game. this line seems inflated.
now, on to the games:
Dallas @ Minn +3.5 dallas coming off a big division game although it's not a short week and now on the road playing a very strong defense (when healthy). diggs should be back on offense too. i'll normally take the underdog in that situation. not sure i'll play a thursday game though. thursday games are fucking stupid.
Denver @ Jax +5 some odd line movement last week pushed buffalo up to 9. Jax would have been an auto play at that point but i had buffalo on my sheet so i just wrote that game off. tough loss for denver last week. their reliable defense embarrassed themselves. now they are in trouble for the playoffs. so, this is a huge game. given that, the line seems fair. if denver's defense plays better and angry, Jax should have major problems.
KC @ Atlanta -4 very nice win by Atl last week. same for KC. i have KC as the better team here so anything more than 3 looks like value to me. but, it's a lot to ask for KC to come back and play well on the road after a brutal game at denvr last week. plus, KC has a short week and oakland coming up. not a great situation for KC here.
Det @ NO -5 two more teams that had nice wins last week. NO is cruising at home like they used to. detroit is playing well and they have kept scores down but they have played two of three against a bad minn offense, a terrible houston offense and the getty's. this will be much more difficult. if their defense is truly better, they can win. if not, it could get ugly the way NO is playing. i would have the line at 4 but this is basically the same thing.
0
). the rams have it tough going into NO when they are killing it on offense and now go to NE after they played a pretty bad game. in fact, NE hasn't had an impressive win in a while. this could be it. cyrax will tell me not to push my luch going against NE here. he's probably right. but, this is too many points and the rams do tend to surprise in games like this.
. or maybe just playing a game there.
7 in a row 
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