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    All Forums | Penalty Box

    Survey thread? I'm curious?

    TxRangers
    LeatherPants
    Mick_Dundee
    NoFlyZone
    SPark1
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    TxRangers
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    Posted: May. 30, 2024 - 3:26 PM ET #1

    Which one do you guys think is the better wager for tonight? I know which one I think is? But which one do you guys think is a better wager for tonight? I'm curious? A) Minnesota - 4.5,  300 win 273, B) Minnesota money line 500, ( -200),  win 250. 

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    Which one do you guys think is the better wager for tonight? I know which one I think is? But which one do you guys think is a better wager for tonight? I'm curious? A) Minnesota - 4.5,  300 win 273, B) Minnesota money line 500, ( -200),  win 250. 

     
    LeatherPants
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    Posted: May. 30, 2024 - 3:34 PM ET #2

    Either take -4.5 or try to catch them live ML 

    Leather
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    Either take -4.5 or try to catch them live ML 

     
    Mick_Dundee
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    Posted: May. 30, 2024 - 3:39 PM ET #3

    I'll split my bet with two thirds on the ML, one third on the -4.5. 

     

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    I'll split my bet with two thirds on the ML, one third on the -4.5. 

     

     
    NoFlyZone
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    Posted: May. 30, 2024 - 3:40 PM ET #4

    Laying Chalk is the worst bet you can ever make imo. I’ve done it before and have had success but also losing -200,-300,-400 does happen and has obliterated bankrolls faster than just giving up the points. One thing I’ve realized is if you’re really debating taking a chalk team on the ML, you’ve already subconsciously told yourself you think it’ll be close. In that case , take the + points or other team +ML

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    Laying Chalk is the worst bet you can ever make imo. I’ve done it before and have had success but also losing -200,-300,-400 does happen and has obliterated bankrolls faster than just giving up the points. One thing I’ve realized is if you’re really debating taking a chalk team on the ML, you’ve already subconsciously told yourself you think it’ll be close. In that case , take the + points or other team +ML

     
    TxRangers
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    Posted: May. 30, 2024 - 4:00 PM ET #5

    I appreciate the insight. But that's not answering my simple question. I'm not asking what you guys are betting tonight? I'm simply asking which bet you think is better? Money-wise, value-wise, intelligent wise?? I personally think B is better. Yes you're risking more, yes you're making $20 less, but your winning percentage goes WAY UP when you have the money line compared to -4.5. I think B is a much better wager.  A or B, which one is better? I'm not saying do it? I'm just asking which one do you guys think is better? Or, risking a) 110 win 100 Minnesota -4.5 or b) Minnesota money line 200 win 100. I will take B again.

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    I appreciate the insight. But that's not answering my simple question. I'm not asking what you guys are betting tonight? I'm simply asking which bet you think is better? Money-wise, value-wise, intelligent wise?? I personally think B is better. Yes you're risking more, yes you're making $20 less, but your winning percentage goes WAY UP when you have the money line compared to -4.5. I think B is a much better wager.  A or B, which one is better? I'm not saying do it? I'm just asking which one do you guys think is better? Or, risking a) 110 win 100 Minnesota -4.5 or b) Minnesota money line 200 win 100. I will take B again.

     
    SPark1
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    Posted: May. 30, 2024 - 4:06 PM ET #6

    Minny -4

    always buy the hook. there's a reason why live lines always have a hook

    It's all probabilities
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    Minny -4

    always buy the hook. there's a reason why live lines always have a hook

     
    StraightWagers
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    Posted: May. 30, 2024 - 4:12 PM ET #7

    Mavs TT under 102.5 all you have

    undertaker
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    Mavs TT under 102.5 all you have

     
    Jimmy_Cats
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    Posted: May. 30, 2024 - 4:12 PM ET #8

    Mavs money line is the bet.

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    Mavs money line is the bet.

     
    TxRangers
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    Posted: May. 30, 2024 - 4:27 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by StraightWagers:

    Mavs TT under 102.5 all you have
    I didn't realize that was one of the options that I asked? Thank you for your intelligence

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    Quote Originally Posted by StraightWagers:

    Mavs TT under 102.5 all you have
    I didn't realize that was one of the options that I asked? Thank you for your intelligence

     
    TxRangers
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    Posted: May. 30, 2024 - 4:28 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy_Cats:

    Mavs money line is the bet.
    I didn't realize that was one of the options? Thank you for your intelligence

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy_Cats:

    Mavs money line is the bet.
    I didn't realize that was one of the options? Thank you for your intelligence

     
    TxRangers
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    Posted: May. 30, 2024 - 4:28 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy_Cats:

    Mavs money line is the bet.
    I didn't realize that was one of the options that I asked? Thank you for your intelligence

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy_Cats:

    Mavs money line is the bet.
    I didn't realize that was one of the options that I asked? Thank you for your intelligence

     
    MrFreedo
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    Posted: May. 30, 2024 - 5:02 PM ET #12

    This is not really answering the question but sometimes I like to play half the wager on the money-line and half on the spread. Split it up.

    Not sure I would put extra money just to play the ML. If you lose, then you lost $200 extra. Depends on how much your win to loss ratio would be I guess. 

    The question really is how often does the team that just wins cover the spread, specifically in the playoffs...

    to win 1u unless noted
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    This is not really answering the question but sometimes I like to play half the wager on the money-line and half on the spread. Split it up.

    Not sure I would put extra money just to play the ML. If you lose, then you lost $200 extra. Depends on how much your win to loss ratio would be I guess. 

    The question really is how often does the team that just wins cover the spread, specifically in the playoffs...

     
    LVPrince
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    Posted: May. 30, 2024 - 5:35 PM ET #13

    In my opinion it is Always better to sell points than to buy points or favorite ML.If you check the frequency that it comes into play, the extra$ is worth more.

    Books love selling points ,ML favs and teasers like they love parlays; the math is on their side. I'm feeling a Wolves solid win so I put some of my bet on -7 for extra$ because I found a good price. I always take ML dogs in game, especially first half and I often bet the other side if they also become a ML dog because that is the definition of free $. It helps a lot if you can find a book that's not charging insane juice on in game ML.

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    In my opinion it is Always better to sell points than to buy points or favorite ML.If you check the frequency that it comes into play, the extra$ is worth more.

    Books love selling points ,ML favs and teasers like they love parlays; the math is on their side. I'm feeling a Wolves solid win so I put some of my bet on -7 for extra$ because I found a good price. I always take ML dogs in game, especially first half and I often bet the other side if they also become a ML dog because that is the definition of free $. It helps a lot if you can find a book that's not charging insane juice on in game ML.

     
    LVPrince
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    Posted: May. 30, 2024 - 5:39 PM ET #14

    That goes double for totals

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    That goes double for totals

     
    Jimmy_Cats
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    Posted: May. 30, 2024 - 9:35 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by TxRangers:

    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy_Cats: Mavs money line is the bet. I didn't realize that was one of the options that I asked? Thank you for your intelligence

    Shoulda listened to me.

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    Quote Originally Posted by TxRangers:

    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy_Cats: Mavs money line is the bet. I didn't realize that was one of the options that I asked? Thank you for your intelligence

    Shoulda listened to me.

     
    packersbackers
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    Posted: May. 30, 2024 - 9:45 PM ET #16

    @TxRangers

     

     

    Given the Scottie Scheffler hot take offered in that masters golf thread from a few weeks ago, your opinion on anything is worthless, sports or anything else related.

     

    Go buy the domain www.iamalwayswrong.brokecuck before some other clueless low IQ poor donkey steals it from you.

     

    https://www.covers.com/forum/pro-golf-37/scheffler-arrested-103850805#post-132095854

    MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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    @TxRangers

     

     

    Given the Scottie Scheffler hot take offered in that masters golf thread from a few weeks ago, your opinion on anything is worthless, sports or anything else related.

     

    Go buy the domain www.iamalwayswrong.brokecuck before some other clueless low IQ poor donkey steals it from you.

     

    https://www.covers.com/forum/pro-golf-37/scheffler-arrested-103850805#post-132095854

     
    TxRangers
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    Posted: May. 30, 2024 - 10:44 PM ET #17

    @packersbackers

     Hey Einstein??? I didn't have an opinion on tonight's game???? I had a simple question that no one answered???? I didn't have any wagers today????!!!! All I had was, one simple question. This website is full of very intelligent people?!! Lol

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    @packersbackers

     Hey Einstein??? I didn't have an opinion on tonight's game???? I had a simple question that no one answered???? I didn't have any wagers today????!!!! All I had was, one simple question. This website is full of very intelligent people?!! Lol

     
    TxRangers
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    Posted: May. 30, 2024 - 10:45 PM ET #18

    @Jimmy_Cats

     Why would I want to listen to you??? I didn't have any wages tonight?! I asked a question that no one answered. This website is full of intelligent people. Lol

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    @Jimmy_Cats

     Why would I want to listen to you??? I didn't have any wages tonight?! I asked a question that no one answered. This website is full of intelligent people. Lol

     
    TxRangers
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    Posted: May. 30, 2024 - 10:49 PM ET #19

    My thread brought out the IQ levels of a lot of people on this website?????!!! And it's hilarious. Some people actually believe that I even had Minnesota - 4.5 or I had Minnesota money line. Please find my post where I said I had either one, or I was even playing tonight. I had a question? And that's all I had? But according to some guys, I had a wager tonight. The IQ levels on his website are very low? And it's hilarious! By all means, do not stop posting, I am laughing my ass off at you idiots. 

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    My thread brought out the IQ levels of a lot of people on this website?????!!! And it's hilarious. Some people actually believe that I even had Minnesota - 4.5 or I had Minnesota money line. Please find my post where I said I had either one, or I was even playing tonight. I had a question? And that's all I had? But according to some guys, I had a wager tonight. The IQ levels on his website are very low? And it's hilarious! By all means, do not stop posting, I am laughing my ass off at you idiots. 

     
    Calde13
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    Posted: May. 31, 2024 - 12:27 AM ET #20

    It depends on the game - both ML and handicaps are set with -ev in mind by the bookmakers - the general rule of thumb is that it is easier to beat the handicap market as the juice is less, at least with the Asian bookmakers (sharps) - I am not 100% how it works with the American faced ones - because for us that has a choice those are the worst (atleast when it comes to odds)

    Don't mention the frogs - we don't want to scare the toddler - we want him to sleep
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    It depends on the game - both ML and handicaps are set with -ev in mind by the bookmakers - the general rule of thumb is that it is easier to beat the handicap market as the juice is less, at least with the Asian bookmakers (sharps) - I am not 100% how it works with the American faced ones - because for us that has a choice those are the worst (atleast when it comes to odds)

     
     
    Jimmy_Cats
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    Posted: Jun. 1, 2024 - 6:57 AM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by TxRangers:

    @Jimmy_Cats  Why would I want to listen to you??? I didn't have any wages tonight?! I asked a question that no one answered. This website is full of intelligent people. Lol

    Glad I could help.  I'll happily give you the guidance that you need, but are too shy to ask. thumbs_up

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    Quote Originally Posted by TxRangers:

    @Jimmy_Cats  Why would I want to listen to you??? I didn't have any wages tonight?! I asked a question that no one answered. This website is full of intelligent people. Lol

    Glad I could help.  I'll happily give you the guidance that you need, but are too shy to ask. thumbs_up

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