Week 3 overreaction bets

Dolphins +170 ML vs Raiders 

Jets +450 ML vs Broncos 

Jaguars +280 ML vs Cardinals 

Colts +205 ML vs Titans 

How many people are going to get knocked out of their pools when the Jets beat the Broncos this weekend? 

Brisette  Dolphins   QB

Eason Colts QB

These 2 guys are not true starting QB's in the NFL....

But they will be on Sunday..

@I_Need_A_Detox

That would knock me out 

I don't see it  Brother....Jersey Jets S U C K ....

Of course its the NFL, anything can happen though ...

Two teams who will probably have backup QB's, and the other 2 teams have rookies starting who are not yet ready.

I wouldn't be shocked if 1 of your teams wins, but kinda hard to see 2 of them winning.

But that's why they play the games. GL Detox

Or the Cards losing to the Jags on the road the week before they have to play the Rams...

If the NYJ don't win you will need to go 2-1 with the other 3 to make anything. 

NYJ with a rookie QB on the road and a 1st year coach in the Bronco's first home game? You know Lawrence leads the NFL along with Zack Wilson with 5 interceptions and has the worst QB grade out of all the 35 qbs that have played so far, right? AZ defense is 4th in sacks and it's offense is 2nd in points. That's an 0-2 right off the bat with NYJ & JAX.

MI off a so loss and @home and they beat LV (barely) last year? Possibly, but starting QB is out. On the plus side, you are catching LV in a "look-ahead" spot and Gruden has a poor record in 1pm ET games.

Indy qualifies as a strong trend in week 3. Since 2016 0-2 teams that were .500 or better the year before are 10-1 ats week 3. But ats doesn't equal ml su. Another team with QB issues too. And that bad Tenn defense will have to play X-tra bad this week @home.

Ats trends do however favor 0-2 teams week 3 though. Since 2016 0-2 teams were 21-5 ats. as of the beginning of last year. So baring any b.s. Covid issues, ats. is where these week 3 trends point to. Not a rookie QB getting his first win or hobbled or replacement QBs turning things around. But as  the saying goes "on any given Sunday", so GL on those long odds.

Saying the Jaguars are not a good team right now is not an overreaction. Can’t see AZ losing that game but it is the NFL 

@Doja45

It's a 1-15 team from a year ago on a 17 game losing streak. Arizona is just inconsistently bad enough to let the Jaguars win this game. They're also inconsistently good enough to be resting their starters in the 4th quarter. The Cards are the most bet team right now at -7.5 but the line isn't moving. 

0-4 

@I_Need_A_Detox

 Respect for being the first one to chime in and own it...betting dogs can always go sidewides and is not for the faint of heart

Jets and Jags may end up going down in history as the two worst teams combined in the same season...two rookie QBs playing at HS level speed versus NFL professionals looking to pad all their personal stats every snap versus these two kids.

Better luck next week and beyond with your sports wagers... 

Gambling on sports has to be the hardest way to make a living. I would guess that tens of millions of people have dreamed about it but only a handful have ever been able to do it successfully. 

It’s probably harder to become a professional sports gambler than it is to become a professional athlete. 

Anyways, my much anticipated card will be dropped later on today. Just crossing the t’s and dotting the i’s. 

Thanks for posting 

This site is full of pea brains telling you they’re killing it gambling on sports. 

I’m 40 years old. I’ve been gambling on sports for 27 years. I was a degenerate in my teens and early 20’s. I was a bookie for a few years. I  went to the local bar and let people bet on horses for the big races. Nobody wins betting on horses. Might as well just lite your money on fire. I know hundreds of gamblers. I know a handful of bookies. I played golf for years with one of the biggest bookies in the Boston area before he was indicted. You know how many people win that gamble on a consistent basis? None. Nobody wins. Yet people are lined up to partake in this activity. 

Then we have stocks and real estate. You know who wins in stocks and real estate? Everyone. Literally every single person. 

I’m not sure what the psychology is behind this but it’s pretty interesting to me. 

Thoughts? 

If you’re a young kid and you like gambling you always want to be the house. Be the bookie. When you go to party’s on Friday and Saturday nights be the blackjack dealer. 

I feel like this isn’t taught enough or talked about enough on this site.