Who is the best capper to follow on covers

Don’t play, don’t lose

This guy has posted 68 games and people say follow him? Do you realize how insane that is? Look at 100 cappers, and you will find one or two that have killed it in the last 68 games. Does that mean to follow them? You are better off following a monkey at the zoo. You are basing a financial decision not only on total fluff, but that one capper who is hot is probably more likely to having a losing record over the next 68 games than a capper who is doing extremely poorly. If you wanna chase hot streaks, find the worst capper in the world and follow his next 20 picks religiously and I bet you do better than if you tailed the hot capper. What is up eventually comes down and what is down goes up. While the chance of a losing capper is still the same for the next game as the winning capper, if you select a capper for a  bizarre win streak and expect that to continue, you are asking for lightning to strike twice. Forget it!

The ONLY factor anyone should really put any value in when assessing how good a capper is is how well that person did over 1000 games minimum, with picks made public in advance before kickoff, and properly tallied. If this capper who is at 70 or 75% success over 68 games is evaluated over 1000 games and still has even 60% success, then he is by far the best capper to walk the face of earth, and more insightful than Nostradamus himself! In other words ... it ain't happening! If he has 54% success over 1000 properly recorded games, follow him teverywhere he goes! 

High sample sizes are the best friend of truth. Low sample sizes carry with them chance factors that make prediction impossible. There are exceptions. If a capper over 100 games went 95-5 .. that is not happening by chance alone! It is not happening period ... but if it did the capper woukd be a fricking genius ... and over 1000 games would probably get 67% ..

if someone goes 40-20....45-20...even 50-20...bet your bottom dollar that most of that is pure luck ... and follow the guy who is going 20-50 If you need to follow someone because that rare unusual losing streak will turn upward just as sure as that rare winning streak will implode! 

Patience, huge sample sizes, not thinking it is easy, not thinking someone will have the answers more than you ... those are key to understanding this mad challenge of capping games!