I understand why you’d vote Republican. To a good portion of the identified right wing the principles of economic responsibility and economic freedom along with limited government is appealing.
I understand why you’d vote Democratic. A socialized society that invests in its future.
While neither of these parties really do much for the actual constituents or support the principles of its ideology, the bottom line is, who is going to win? Regardless of what I think is important in the world of politics today, (not like either of these parties are going to actually do much for its citizens,) this is what I see leading up to the election.
Trumps popularity is down (his rallies today compared to his 2020 election loss look like indie bands putting on a show next to taylor swift) and the increase of female participation is enough of an edge for me to lay a few bucks on Kamala at +150.
GL on your bets, ladies n’ gents.
6
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I understand why you’d vote Republican. To a good portion of the identified right wing the principles of economic responsibility and economic freedom along with limited government is appealing.
I understand why you’d vote Democratic. A socialized society that invests in its future.
While neither of these parties really do much for the actual constituents or support the principles of its ideology, the bottom line is, who is going to win? Regardless of what I think is important in the world of politics today, (not like either of these parties are going to actually do much for its citizens,) this is what I see leading up to the election.
Trumps popularity is down (his rallies today compared to his 2020 election loss look like indie bands putting on a show next to taylor swift) and the increase of female participation is enough of an edge for me to lay a few bucks on Kamala at +150.
Important to vote for candidates based on future expectations. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. Consider which party has better plans and candidates for the country. This may not be easy in today's age of misinformation. Overall, voting population gets what it deserves whether good or bad.
2
Important to vote for candidates based on future expectations. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. Consider which party has better plans and candidates for the country. This may not be easy in today's age of misinformation. Overall, voting population gets what it deserves whether good or bad.
for the hundredeth time..... wait till election day. Live bet both sides at big plus money odds as the State results come in and odds swing wildly back and forth.
Make lots of money. end. you're welcome
America First
2
for the hundredeth time..... wait till election day. Live bet both sides at big plus money odds as the State results come in and odds swing wildly back and forth.
Did you see that Texas Tech player with MAGA painted on his belly after that play?? How about Nick Bosa with his MAGA hat on national TV Sunday night???
Even main stream media Realize what a train wreck the Harris campaign is..telling Joe Biden "We call you when we need you.". Save your money. DJT going to WIN Popular vote too
1
Did you see that Texas Tech player with MAGA painted on his belly after that play?? How about Nick Bosa with his MAGA hat on national TV Sunday night???
Even main stream media Realize what a train wreck the Harris campaign is..telling Joe Biden "We call you when we need you.". Save your money. DJT going to WIN Popular vote too
I gave you an Upvote for Comment #3 just because I am clueless on all live betting (never have, never will) and therefore you know infinitely more about it than I do.
I do remember posters laying big money on Trump in 2020 and specifically citing Biden's huge deficit in PA.
0
@kcblitzkrieg
I gave you an Upvote for Comment #3 just because I am clueless on all live betting (never have, never will) and therefore you know infinitely more about it than I do.
I do remember posters laying big money on Trump in 2020 and specifically citing Biden's huge deficit in PA.
It is a great opportunity to lock in profits. 2020 I remember big swings from like Trump +800 to Biden +1200 type of stuff. Limits are the problem, have multiple books
America First
0
@DogbiteWilliams
It is a great opportunity to lock in profits. 2020 I remember big swings from like Trump +800 to Biden +1200 type of stuff. Limits are the problem, have multiple books
Ran a few simulators online. Most of em have Trump winning by 5-10%.
I think back to the Clinton/Trump campaigns and most simulations had Clinton 10-30% ahead of Trump. And that crazy article about how she was 98% likely to win.
Looks like Harris is loosing momentum while Trump’s loosing his edge. He said in one of his last rallies something like “we got this great thing and its coming to an end.” Almost as if he sees himself loosing.
I got some wine, fresh water in the hot tub and looking forward to an exciting night of election on Tuesday! Sounds like it’s gonna be close. Hope we can all come out ahead on our bets.
Harris +175
Trump -200
0
Ran a few simulators online. Most of em have Trump winning by 5-10%.
I think back to the Clinton/Trump campaigns and most simulations had Clinton 10-30% ahead of Trump. And that crazy article about how she was 98% likely to win.
Looks like Harris is loosing momentum while Trump’s loosing his edge. He said in one of his last rallies something like “we got this great thing and its coming to an end.” Almost as if he sees himself loosing.
I got some wine, fresh water in the hot tub and looking forward to an exciting night of election on Tuesday! Sounds like it’s gonna be close. Hope we can all come out ahead on our bets.
The simulators have flipped. Harris winning more of the simulations now. Line’s dropped on Harris too. Taking Blitzkrieg’s advice and I’m gonna lay off Harris Wagers until after the east coast numbers come in. If Trump starts out ahead it may bump the line back up. Might score some decent live odds. If I can get +300 or better gonna hit that bit for now, it’s not enticing for either candidate.
Trump -150
Harris +125
1
The simulators have flipped. Harris winning more of the simulations now. Line’s dropped on Harris too. Taking Blitzkrieg’s advice and I’m gonna lay off Harris Wagers until after the east coast numbers come in. If Trump starts out ahead it may bump the line back up. Might score some decent live odds. If I can get +300 or better gonna hit that bit for now, it’s not enticing for either candidate.
observer from the Great White North here-this election a tough call and the election results recently have been very close--hard for me personally lay juice on this one for an outright winner; I am personally taking Dems to win over 254.5 electoral college votes at -138...out of 538 votes i don't see Trump getting all of the swing states--if he does get the Keystone state and Wisco goes to Harris--it'll be 276 to 262 for Trump..I just don't see either side getting to 290-300; My 2 cents!
2
observer from the Great White North here-this election a tough call and the election results recently have been very close--hard for me personally lay juice on this one for an outright winner; I am personally taking Dems to win over 254.5 electoral college votes at -138...out of 538 votes i don't see Trump getting all of the swing states--if he does get the Keystone state and Wisco goes to Harris--it'll be 276 to 262 for Trump..I just don't see either side getting to 290-300; My 2 cents!
Allstar-for sure great value -got it on bet365...odds for winner are Trump -163 and Harris +140-you could have had Harris +175 early in the week....there are state by state odds but really Penn and Wisco toss-ups...
0
Allstar-for sure great value -got it on bet365...odds for winner are Trump -163 and Harris +140-you could have had Harris +175 early in the week....there are state by state odds but really Penn and Wisco toss-ups...
@DogbiteWilliams It is a great opportunity to lock in profits. 2020 I remember big swings from like Trump +800 to Biden +1200 type of stuff. Limits are the problem, have multiple books
Limits are never a problem for me. I bet $7 units.
1
Quote Originally Posted by kcblitzkrieg:
@DogbiteWilliams It is a great opportunity to lock in profits. 2020 I remember big swings from like Trump +800 to Biden +1200 type of stuff. Limits are the problem, have multiple books
Limits are never a problem for me. I bet $7 units.
I didn't bet this really, just a tiny bet on Harris winning the popular, and I had a feeling that stopped me from betting more. I don't think you can base the Trump wager on anything more than a hunch. It was still a gamble. Anything could have gone wrong for you, but evidently it didn't. The polls were still withing margin of error. I guess you can say Rasmussen, Trafalgar and Atlas were more accurate. Actually most of the polls were off in New Jersey, as this was very very tight.
We living abroad only 'vote' by betting in Polymarkets, and I have a buddy who lost over $50,000 on Harris. Now, before you gloat, he is the nicest guy you will ever meet, and if you met him you would not mock him. Just to be clear, he has garages full of 'toys' so he can afford to lose it. His take is that the Dems were on the right side idealistically speaking, but acted too much like a "machine," and are "too beholden to the bureaucracies."
For example, the Amish in Pennsylvania, Ohio were getting "harassed" by some Agro-bureaucracy over the raw milk they were producing for their own consumption, and were getting investigated and fined. Trump promised that would end. So the normally non voting Amish organized and voted in large numbers (80,000+??), and this kind of personal campaigning worked in this instance.
So congrats. Hope Trump keeps his promises and works out for you Yanks.
My only other wagers are on polymarkets--I took Elon, RFK and Tulsi to make cabinet posts.
1
Congrats Trump bettors.
I didn't bet this really, just a tiny bet on Harris winning the popular, and I had a feeling that stopped me from betting more. I don't think you can base the Trump wager on anything more than a hunch. It was still a gamble. Anything could have gone wrong for you, but evidently it didn't. The polls were still withing margin of error. I guess you can say Rasmussen, Trafalgar and Atlas were more accurate. Actually most of the polls were off in New Jersey, as this was very very tight.
We living abroad only 'vote' by betting in Polymarkets, and I have a buddy who lost over $50,000 on Harris. Now, before you gloat, he is the nicest guy you will ever meet, and if you met him you would not mock him. Just to be clear, he has garages full of 'toys' so he can afford to lose it. His take is that the Dems were on the right side idealistically speaking, but acted too much like a "machine," and are "too beholden to the bureaucracies."
For example, the Amish in Pennsylvania, Ohio were getting "harassed" by some Agro-bureaucracy over the raw milk they were producing for their own consumption, and were getting investigated and fined. Trump promised that would end. So the normally non voting Amish organized and voted in large numbers (80,000+??), and this kind of personal campaigning worked in this instance.
So congrats. Hope Trump keeps his promises and works out for you Yanks.
My only other wagers are on polymarkets--I took Elon, RFK and Tulsi to make cabinet posts.
Very good post. As far as Bureaucrats harassing the Amish..this is perfect example of one of basic Republican principles...Limited Government..look how that worked out...DJT told them they only had to vote once, he meant it. Leave people alone.
Has anyone here been to the Shady Maple in Amish country of Pennsylvania??
0
@MizuNoYoNiNaru
Very good post. As far as Bureaucrats harassing the Amish..this is perfect example of one of basic Republican principles...Limited Government..look how that worked out...DJT told them they only had to vote once, he meant it. Leave people alone.
Has anyone here been to the Shady Maple in Amish country of Pennsylvania??
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