Politics Bet

Fellow US people. I am not a US citizen so I do not fully understand your strange system. 

I look up at the results and I feel its granted that Biden will win Nevada, Wisconsin and Michingan. In that case he wins the elections. Can you help me understand how is it that the books are giving us 1.22 odds? I have already bet a shitload of money and want to bet more. But Im scared of a hidden risk that I may not be seeing. Is there any risk or is this free money? (The only risk I see is that my bet is paid in 2 months after appeals and all that bs. But I aint scared about that risk. 

Thanks!

I took Trump ML $100 

Just doing the math, and the number of votes counted, I think there is a 0.005% chance that Trump can overtake either Wisconsin, Michigan or Nevada. And with those three states Biden wins. 

@gutinstinctus

 Because this election will go to the Supreme court and all of these fraudulent ballots that showed up at 4-5 in the AM will be negated. This election will be decided by that ruling.

@Winston704

 Thanks bro. I just can´t see any Court changing the results. Imagine the mayhem that would be. Im about to put some more stacks into him

To me it looks as if only Wisconsin is granted. MI maybe 90%, PA maybe 70 and Nevada maybe 60. Trump taking at least two of the last 3 around 17% if those estimates are correct. A few minutes ago something must have changed in favour of Trump though as current odds imply about 23% for him.

Well they did it in 2000 so no reason it can't happen again 

I don't have a horse in this race but I would most definitely not listen to any shmoe on this forum saying votes are going to be thrown out. 

@Crater

 I think Wisconsin and Michigan are 100%. Percentage of votes are too high already and recent results increased slightly the difference. 

Nevada still has a lot of votes to count and the difference is only 8k votes. However, most of the pending votes are from Vegas and Vegas is showing a 53% inclination to Biden, which is more than the 49% of the whole state. I think this makes it almost granted as well that Biden will win it. But if he were to lose any of the 3s it would be Nevada. 

And even if Biden were to lose Nevada, Trump would need to win Pennsylvanya where, according to the books, Biden is a favorite to overtake Trump. 

trump is a whining baby...cried about a fix in Clinton election before itvwent off and he cried about it not being fair when he got the republican nomination..that basically his whole life story.. hes that kid in school that we couldn't stand that's going tell his mommy

Great pick.

I just don't understand why Pinnacle still having Biden -326.

Good Luck! 

Considering Biden only needs to win:

1. Arizona (leading 90,000+)

2. Nevada (7,000+)

3. Michigan (3,500+)

The Biden -326 odds look great.

Biden needed a little more than 13,73 of the remaining 20.2 percentage points, equaling about 68%, in PA when there were 79.8 of the votes counted. Of the last 5.2 points he received about 3.78 (73%) while Trump took about 1,26 (24%), thus Biden was overachieving here. He now needs about 9.9 of the remaining 15 percentage points (66%). If he can hold this pace, he wins PA.