Miami at Washington (05/05/2015)

Away:  Miami [12-14 SU]
Home:  Washington [13-14 SU]

Featured Lines

Game Time: 7:05 PM
Stadium: Nationals Park

Recent Meetings:
05/04/15 - MIA 4 vs. WAS 6
04/26/15 - WAS 2 vs. MIA 6
04/25/15 - WAS 0 vs. MIA 8

Team Leaders:

Miami:
Home Runs: N/A
Batting Avg: N/A
Stolen Bases: N/A

Washington:
Home Runs: N/A
Batting Avg: N/A
Stolen Bases: N/A

I like Washington tonight with Strasburg on the mound to winthis game by 2 or more runs. After a slow start last outing, Strasburg appearedto find his groove and I think that he is about to get on a roll. I think thatthis price we are paying is a bargain honestly as Strasburg will be facing MatLatos who has a 1.76 WHIP on the season, hasn't throw over 88 pitches in astart, and has a 2:1 flyball/groundball ratio. Career vs. the Nationals, Latoshas a 23K/ 19 BB mark and that is a red flag right there also.

The Marlins swept Washington 2 weeks ago and I know theNationals want to return the favor badly. Strasburg got roughed up in thatstart, but he still has a 9-6 career record vs. the Marlins with a 1.14 WHIPand the Nationals are 5-0 his last 5 home starts vs. the Marlins. In his 2 winsthis season, they have been by 3 and 6 runs.

Washington is hitting .288 over the last 7 games and leadingthe NL with 46 runs scored in that time frame winning 6 of their last 7. Let'slay the chalk tonight with Washington. I think it's important to note that whenStrasburg is a -150 to a -250 home favorite, 10 of his 11 team's wins have comeby 3 or more runs with an average margin of victory of 5.5 runs dating back toApril 2014. This tells me that when they win, they win by 2 or more runs. Sothat's why I want to lay the -1.5 tonight and stay away from the money line.