This is essentially a playoff elimination game between two former Seattle defensive coordinators. There is a lot of familiarity between these teams as Jags coach Gus Bradley and Atlanta head man Dan Quinn know each other well from their days with the Seahawks. While the playoffs are a long shot for both of these teams, the loser will most certainly be out.
There should be a lot of points scored in this game as Matt Ryan and the Falcons passing offense should be able to generate yards and points against a Jags pass defense that has allowed an average of 260 passing yards at 6.5 yps to teams that gain 246 yards at 6.3 yps on average. They’ll also face a Jags 3rd down defense that has allowed teams that convert 38.2% of the time to convert on 44.8% of their chances. Jacksonville also has been terrible in red zone defense – allowing teams that convert 59.2% of the time to convert touchdowns 63.6% of the time. As a result, I expect the Falcons will be able to convert yards into points. Offensively, Blake Bortles has played well recently but is below average from a yards-per-play perspective overall – generating 6.1 yps against teams that allow 6.4 yps but he’s facing a Falcons pass defense that has allowed 6.8 yps to teams that average 6.3 yps.
My math favors the Jags by about a point. Slight lean to the Falcons plus the points & over 48.5. bol!!!
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Atlanta (+3) 25 JACKSONVILLE 24
This is essentially a playoff elimination game between two former Seattle defensive coordinators. There is a lot of familiarity between these teams as Jags coach Gus Bradley and Atlanta head man Dan Quinn know each other well from their days with the Seahawks. While the playoffs are a long shot for both of these teams, the loser will most certainly be out.
There should be a lot of points scored in this game as Matt Ryan and the Falcons passing offense should be able to generate yards and points against a Jags pass defense that has allowed an average of 260 passing yards at 6.5 yps to teams that gain 246 yards at 6.3 yps on average. They’ll also face a Jags 3rd down defense that has allowed teams that convert 38.2% of the time to convert on 44.8% of their chances. Jacksonville also has been terrible in red zone defense – allowing teams that convert 59.2% of the time to convert touchdowns 63.6% of the time. As a result, I expect the Falcons will be able to convert yards into points. Offensively, Blake Bortles has played well recently but is below average from a yards-per-play perspective overall – generating 6.1 yps against teams that allow 6.4 yps but he’s facing a Falcons pass defense that has allowed 6.8 yps to teams that average 6.3 yps.
My math favors the Jags by about a point. Slight lean to the Falcons plus the points & over 48.5. bol!!!
Everyone is talking about NFC East, Eagles and Redskin and Gmens come down to the last game who will win the devision title! Hey lets throwing the AFC South, Colts, Texans and quietly improve Jags. I think this 3 teams come down to the last game who will win the AFC S division title too!!
I still can't believe Jags ass is favor but Vagas make them favor for reason!
Jags -3 for Large!!!
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Everyone is talking about NFC East, Eagles and Redskin and Gmens come down to the last game who will win the devision title! Hey lets throwing the AFC South, Colts, Texans and quietly improve Jags. I think this 3 teams come down to the last game who will win the AFC S division title too!!
I still can't believe Jags ass is favor but Vagas make them favor for reason!
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