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Green Bay at Detroit (12/12/2010)

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Posted: #1

Away:  Green Bay [7-5 ATS]
Home:  Detroit [8-4 ATS]

Game Time: 1:00 PM
Stadium: Ford Field

Recent Meetings:
10/03/10 - DET 26 vs. GB 28

Team Leaders:

Green Bay:
Passing: Aaron Rodgers (3243)
Rushing: Brandon Jackson (527)
Receiving: Greg Jennings (944)

Detroit:
Passing: Shaun Hill (2206)
Rushing: Jahvid Best (455)
Receiving: Calvin Johnson (872)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

 
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Posted: #2
This game might be a stay away for me.  I just don't know if I can give up a TD in this match up.  I just don't like this game.  Maybe the over???
 
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Posted: #3
tease it down.
 
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Posted: #4
Even if the Lions have been playing reasonably well against good teams I just have a hard time seeing them covering even by 7 points. The Packers have a superb passing attack and indoor it'll be even sharper. Parred with a resurgent rushing offense and a Lions defense which can be run against look for a 60/40 pass/run ratio by the Packers. Last week both Jennings and Driver looked good and with poor depth of the Lions at cornerback those two plus Jones should make the passing attack very potent. Rodgers is on fire and playing extremely well. 
The Pack cover by +7 at least and their good defense keeps the Stanton-led Lions under 14 points and probably stay under. 31-14 Packers. 
 
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Posted: #5
Lions ML
 
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Posted: #6

    The Pack has the tools to get the job done. They know if they do their part and the Patriots  handle their rivals - Da Bears- they'll be in a tie for 1st place in the division. It's that time of the season again,boys and girls!

GREEN BAY  -6.5  (EXTRA LARGE!)

 
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Posted: #7
Just to add to the Packers ATS, Vanden Bosch and Smith on IR. Less pass rush, worse secondary and look how Brady torched them on Thanksgiving. Rodgers and company will do the same, Packers look even better
 
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Posted: #8
I think the over should be hit by the start of the 4th quarter...thoughts??
 
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Posted: #9

Packers own the Lions.  10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS last 10 meetings.  Last 4 at Detroit, Pack is 4-0 SU and ATS.   Lions now have a starting corner out for this one.  They already matched up poorly with the Packers passing game.  The real difference and the reason GB will cover 7 will be the mistakes made by Stanton.  The 3rd string QB has a history of turnovers when pressured.  And this week he will be attacked by the Pack.  With Stafford or Shaun Hill in this game I'd say Lions stay close.  But the inexperienced QB will help this be a 10+ points Packers win. 

Don't look for a GB trap or letdown here.  They lost just two games ago and have a great opportunity to catch the Bears this week, with Chicago most likely losing to NE.  Also, this is a division game.  With the Bears sitting at 4-0 in the NFC North and playing a game this week that won't change that...the Packers cannot afford to lose this division game and fall to 3-2 in the North.  So yes, this game is very important to GB.

 
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Posted: #10
their first meeting was close, although i think the lions can hang with them for a while, the pack run away in the second half. Packers -6.5
 
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Posted: #11
It's the time of the year when bad teams -- even the improved and spirited Lions, Bills, &tc. -- start to fold it in.

The biggest factor for me that would take this from a pretty good bet to a really excellent one is the Packer running game...  an unknown.

They've been weak without Grant, seemingly not committed to the run the way serious offenses, even the smarter passing offenses, usually are.

Last week, they not only added newguy James Starks, but started throwing to Jackson and the other backs more.

This offers hope not only of making Rogers more effective in Detroit (where he's been solid the last 3 years), but of helping the Packers hold a lead if they get one (unlike their first matchup with the Lions this year in Lambeau.)

Green Bay leads the league in point differential.  The only trap is, they seem weakest against "teams they should bet" -- Miami, the Redskins, and even, I'd argue, the Bears earlier.  (Packer record for penalties.)  Are the Packers the best team ATS this year?  Must be close. 

But for the reasons others site above, the motivation is there too in this game.  Like the Pack minus the 6.5; if it's still that, it's probably a bargain.

Cheers, and in the spirit of Bechmann, "let's analyze."

/ la /



 
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Posted: #12
packers-7
 
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Posted: #13
LAZYBUM   GIVE UP THE MONEY 
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by lazzybum:

Lions ML


Shut the fuck up. You know damn well you aren't betting that.
 
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Posted: #15

Lets keep it civilized gentlemen. If the man wants to put Lions on the ML, let it be. I've seen stranger things happen.

GB will separate from the Lions in the first quarter. It will be something like 21-3 by the half. In the second half, GB will more than likely run more than they throw. It is just simple common sense to think that from experience in watching good teams and how they think.

Green Bay 33

Lions 6

 
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Posted: #16
Yes, I did play the Lions ML at +240. If it loses its only one play, I can afford it. Lions 28-24?
 
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Posted: #17

Lions play tough first half but let it all go to shit in the second half. GB wins this easy and covers to boot

 

BoL to all

 

 
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Posted: #18
Gotta go with the team that NEEDS it more in this one -- PACK -6.5
 
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Posted: #19

Greenbay -7 all day , Aaron Rodgers 300+ and 3 TDS , Greg jennings 105 yrds and a TD  , Donald driver 85yrds and a TD etc

Lions wont know what hit em ,

its will be like 31 -10 Pack

GB -7 ( 3 unit play)

 
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Posted: #20

GB team total over..............

Game over also............

 
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Posted: #21
green bay 34 - lions 24. rogers is on fire. lets not forget what brady did to this lions def. in just one half. rogers may not be brady but he has mad game. i am a packer fan so dont listen unless you like the pick. does seem low if its gonna be a beat down. packers are pretty well rounded in all facets
 
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Posted: #22

Packer homer. The Pack almost lost to Detroit at home. I like the Pakers, but only when teased by 7, to bring the line to a pick. May not play that though. The Over is the play here.

GLTA

 
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Posted: #23

Detroit can only backdoor cover so many times this season. Look for a Thanksgiving type game. They dont win and now they pack it in and get ready for next year. Packers and over for the large! Trust me Im a doctor

 
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Posted: #24
I think this game is very important  for GB to take it lightly. with their explosive  offense I don't think Det can keep up with GB.


GB -7    and Over  46
 
 
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Posted: #25
So yea I just got up and haven't checked in on this one yet making sure my Falcons are attempting to TCB but I know the Peckers think its cute to go with the no RB thing but they do have some WR's in there today don't they?? I mean I see the the score in the 4th and I see 3-0 against the Lions?? C'mon Peckers I thought u were better than that.
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