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Houston at Tennessee (10/26/2014)

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Posted: #1

Away:  Houston [4-3 ATS]
Home:  Tennessee [2-4-1 ATS]

Game Time: 1:00 PM
Stadium: LP Field

Featured Lines

Recent Meetings:
N/A

Team Leaders:

Houston:
Passing: Ryan Fitzpatrick (1530)
Rushing: Arian Foster (615)
Receiving: Andre Johnson (496)

Tennessee:
Passing: Jake Locker (764)
Rushing: Bishop Sankey (267)
Receiving: Delanie Walker (438)

 
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Posted: #2

HOUSTON     -   2.5     (PRIME PLAY!)

 
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Posted: #3

Mettenberger making 1st start against that Houston D? 

TEXANS  -2.5 

 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by Dogjimbo:

Mettenberger making 1st start against that Houston D? 

TEXANS  -2.5 


Texans D isn't that good... Granted Tennessee offense isn't great, but given 3 points for home field, is Houston really 6 points better on a neutral field? Not so sure. 
 
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Posted: #5
Folks, this game will be won by the Tennessee Titans by a score of 24-10.  If you compare the major statistics of both of these teams relative to per play yardage versus the statistical opposite ie. (yards per pass relative to schedule in contrast to league averages, versus the defense of your opponents pass yards given per play relative to the schedule they have played's average vs league avg) than you will find that the Texans are simply a good passing team but have a highly overated running game, a below avg pass and rush defense; just a good record and beloved all of a sudden by just about everyone).  In comparison, Tennessee is excellent at rushing the ball, below avg in passing it (Metternberger can hardly make things worse), have a great secondary and a slightly above rush defense.  Tennessee are actually a better team based on statistics that I think are best predictive in determining success which are yards per rush/pass play based upon strength of schedule comparative to league average and how teams match-up because of it.  Tennessee have to win to have any hope of an outside run into the playoffs.  I believe they are the 16th best team in the NFL but have a record of something like a 26th best team, and the public is tricked into thinking the Titans are a bad team.  Houston has an above average passing game and is below or well below average in the other aspects of the game.  As well, Houston has got to be deflated after losing a tough game at Pittsburgh on MNF.  Short week for the Texans against a hungry Tennessee team that is significantly better than their record or the spread indicates.  Bet the Titans ML with absolute confidence.

 
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Posted: #6

capt.crunch is not that good for Texans.texans dfence is great.rookie start for tenn.tenn. dfence stops nobody.cap't crunch wins with a little bit of swatting by j.j.....

 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by Dracul:

Folks, this game will be won by the Tennessee Titans by a score of 24-10.  If you compare the major statistics of both of these teams relative to per play yardage versus the statistical opposite ie. (yards per pass relative to schedule in contrast to league averages, versus the defense of your opponents pass yards given per play relative to the schedule they have played's average vs league avg) than you will find that the Texans are simply a good passing team but have a highly overated running game, a below avg pass and rush defense; just a good record and beloved all of a sudden by just about everyone).  In comparison, Tennessee is excellent at rushing the ball, below avg in passing it (Metternberger can hardly make things worse), have a great secondary and a slightly above rush defense.  Tennessee are actually a better team based on statistics that I think are best predictive in determining success which are yards per rush/pass play based upon strength of schedule comparative to league average and how teams match-up because of it.  Tennessee have to win to have any hope of an outside run into the playoffs.  I believe they are the 16th best team in the NFL but have a record of something like a 26th best team, and the public is tricked into thinking the Titans are a bad team.  Houston has an above average passing game and is below or well below average in the other aspects of the game.  As well, Houston has got to be deflated after losing a tough game at Pittsburgh on MNF.  Short week for the Texans against a hungry Tennessee team that is significantly better than their record or the spread indicates.  Bet the Titans ML with absolute confidence.


Great point! 
 
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Posted: #8

Lions -3.5

Saints -1.5

Texans -2

Vikings +2.5

Dolphins -6

 
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Posted: #9
CLOWNEY IS RETURNING!
As long as Houston doesn't turn the ball over, they should dominate these Titans.
 
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Posted: #10
A fresh Clowney and the general JJ are licking their chops lining up against this weak line and a rookie making his first start. Fitzpatrick won't need to carry the team and will get plenty of short drive opportunities.

Foster goes for 100+ again Texans win by 10.
 
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Posted: #11
I like Houston here, they still have playoff hopes whereas the Titans are already done for the season lest they win every single game from here on out.

Rookie QB, Starting RB in Jail, or fresh out on Bail, either way, will he play ? Distraction component

Titans are ready to start the auditions for next season.

With a win Houston gets back to 500 and a run for a wild card spot at least. Getting Clowney back might be a boost although you gotta wonder about his conditioning coming off a knee injury, maybe he's no factor at all.

But in JJ Watt I trust.....can he lead his team to victory ?

I'm not saying the Titans are a bad team but I think the Texans find a way to win here.

Texans 27  Titans 13
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by Dracul:

Folks, this game will be won by the Tennessee Titans by a score of 24-10.  If you compare the major statistics of both of these teams relative to per play yardage versus the statistical opposite ie. (yards per pass relative to schedule in contrast to league averages, versus the defense of your opponents pass yards given per play relative to the schedule they have played's average vs league avg) than you will find that the Texans are simply a good passing team but have a highly overated running game, a below avg pass and rush defense; just a good record and beloved all of a sudden by just about everyone).  In comparison, Tennessee is excellent at rushing the ball, below avg in passing it (Metternberger can hardly make things worse), have a great secondary and a slightly above rush defense.  Tennessee are actually a better team based on statistics that I think are best predictive in determining success which are yards per rush/pass play based upon strength of schedule comparative to league average and how teams match-up because of it.  Tennessee have to win to have any hope of an outside run into the playoffs.  I believe they are the 16th best team in the NFL but have a record of something like a 26th best team, and the public is tricked into thinking the Titans are a bad team.  Houston has an above average passing game and is below or well below average in the other aspects of the game.  As well, Houston has got to be deflated after losing a tough game at Pittsburgh on MNF.  Short week for the Texans against a hungry Tennessee team that is significantly better than their record or the spread indicates.  Bet the Titans ML with absolute confidence.


Sorry, but no, this is not a great point. The Texans running game is hardly overrated, and when they can get it going their passing game gets a lot better as well. To say that the titans are 'significantly better' than their record or the spread indicates is a farce, they are terrible this year. They can't keep a healthy QB and they're banged up on both sides of the line.

If you'd even watched the MNF last week you'd know that game would have gone significantly different had it not been for the fluke fumble and interception at the end of the second quarter. Were it not for those two miracles going in Pittsburgh's favor they would have lost that game 23-16. Houston's had time to go over their mistakes from Monday night, and with Clowney returning against a rookie QB you can bet the Titans are in for a bad day.

Houston -3.
 
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Posted: #13
The Texans running game is average at best.  Compare their yards per rushing play versus the rushing yards per played allowed by their opponents on average and tell me they have an above average rushing game.  Tennessee is way under the radar and I expect them to go on a run and finish around 7-9, but think they are a 9-7 team that was unfortunate in the early stages of the season in an unforgiving NFL.

I did see the MNF, every single snap in fact.  Somehow you imply that I haven't because I said it was a heartbreaking loss?  The reason the loss is heartbreaking is because they were clearly the better team on the field.  I had the under and lost because of that surge by the Steelers.

Tennessee ML
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by thekirk:


Sorry, but no, this is not a great point. The Texans running game is hardly overrated, and when they can get it going their passing game gets a lot better as well. To say that the titans are 'significantly better' than their record or the spread indicates is a farce, they are terrible this year. They can't keep a healthy QB and they're banged up on both sides of the line.

If you'd even watched the MNF last week you'd know that game would have gone significantly different had it not been for the fluke fumble and interception at the end of the second quarter. Were it not for those two miracles going in Pittsburgh's favor they would have lost that game 23-16. Houston's had time to go over their mistakes from Monday night, and with Clowney returning against a rookie QB you can bet the Titans are in for a bad day.

Houston -3.


Great point.
 
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Posted: #15
roofdog...you f@cker.......I almost ruined a new laptop when I saw your avatar.......spit coffee EVERYWHERE!!! That's pretty god damned funny right there bro!Oh......kid will spend so much time scrambling or on his back that he'll eventually be forced into a few horrible decisions, leading to a late cover........just my thoughts....better games to pick today....Dolphins by 10+
 
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Posted: #16
@ Drunk man

I'm with you on that!

Go fish.


 
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Posted: #17

Clowney is back - kicking behind and taking names. And Olilers Texans still cant score.

Under 43  

 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by vue21849:

HOUSTON     -   2.5     (PRIME PLAY!)

 

 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by Dracul:

The Texans running game is average at best.  Compare their yards per rushing play versus the rushing yards per played allowed by their opponents on average and tell me they have an above average rushing game.  Tennessee is way under the radar and I expect them to go on a run and finish around 7-9, but think they are a 9-7 team that was unfortunate in the early stages of the season in an unforgiving NFL.

I did see the MNF, every single snap in fact.  Somehow you imply that I haven't because I said it was a heartbreaking loss?  The reason the loss is heartbreaking is because they were clearly the better team on the field.  I had the under and lost because of that surge by the Steelers.

Tennessee ML

Considering the Texans outrushed Tennessee 212yds to 36, I'd say their run game is not too shabby.

In your own words "In comparison, Tennessee is excellent at rushing the ball". Apparently not. Hope you didn't put too much on that Titan ML cause it never had a chance.
 
 
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Posted: #20
Expected an easy winner but it was an easy loser.  On the Saints tonight.  Check out my ML thread, come fade me kirk if you think I am a bad capper.
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