The Jags are 7-1-1 in thier L-8 road games in September. That is an impressive stat that can't be overlooked. They are also coming off an impressive 24-17 home win vs Denver in thier season opener last week. NOW comes the bad news... The Jags were just 3-5 ATS on the road last season, 2009 (2-0 in Sept), and just 3-5 ATS on the road in 2008 (1-1 in Sept). So how do you play this one. First off, I believe that the Jags are a nice selection here at Jags+8 pts at San Diego. The Chargers are just 2-3 SU and ATS in thier L-5 home games in September and 5-7 SU and ATS in thier L-12 home games in September. In the Chargers L-20 home games overall they are an impressive 15-5 SU but only 11-8-1 ATS which includes a 5-7-1 ATS mark in thier L-13 home games no matter what month the games is played. I do like the Chargers but just not enough to give away -8 pts here in this situation. These teams have met 3 times, all between 2003 and 2007 with the Jags being 2-0 SU and ATS at home and the Chargers being 1-0 SU and ATS at home. The Chargers were dogs in all 3 games with the lines set at Jax-3, Jax-2.5 and Jax-3.
Where do we get SD-8 from???
Last 20 games played overall each team using only Jags as away dogs and SD as home faves in those games... SD as favs at home avg 27.8 for and 20.5 against... Jags as dogs away avg 15.4 for and 26.4 against.
Avgerages out to Jags-18.1 at Chargers-27.1 for this forecast.
I'll take the Jags+8 and avoid the Chargers September drama, especially at the end of thier games.
My Guesstimate - San Diego-27 Jaguars-20
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The Jags are 7-1-1 in thier L-8 road games in September. That is an impressive stat that can't be overlooked. They are also coming off an impressive 24-17 home win vs Denver in thier season opener last week. NOW comes the bad news... The Jags were just 3-5 ATS on the road last season, 2009 (2-0 in Sept), and just 3-5 ATS on the road in 2008 (1-1 in Sept). So how do you play this one. First off, I believe that the Jags are a nice selection here at Jags+8 pts at San Diego. The Chargers are just 2-3 SU and ATS in thier L-5 home games in September and 5-7 SU and ATS in thier L-12 home games in September. In the Chargers L-20 home games overall they are an impressive 15-5 SU but only 11-8-1 ATS which includes a 5-7-1 ATS mark in thier L-13 home games no matter what month the games is played. I do like the Chargers but just not enough to give away -8 pts here in this situation. These teams have met 3 times, all between 2003 and 2007 with the Jags being 2-0 SU and ATS at home and the Chargers being 1-0 SU and ATS at home. The Chargers were dogs in all 3 games with the lines set at Jax-3, Jax-2.5 and Jax-3.
Where do we get SD-8 from???
Last 20 games played overall each team using only Jags as away dogs and SD as home faves in those games... SD as favs at home avg 27.8 for and 20.5 against... Jags as dogs away avg 15.4 for and 26.4 against.
Avgerages out to Jags-18.1 at Chargers-27.1 for this forecast.
I'll take the Jags+8 and avoid the Chargers September drama, especially at the end of thier games.
The Chargers were embarrassed last week in KC. They need to step it up here. Ryan Matthews will have a statement game. Will they be able to stop MJD though? That's my only question but I rolled with SD anyway.
Chargers -7 +101 (2 units)
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The Chargers were embarrassed last week in KC. They need to step it up here. Ryan Matthews will have a statement game. Will they be able to stop MJD though? That's my only question but I rolled with SD anyway.
The Jags are 7-1-1 in thier L-8 road games in September. That is an impressive stat that can't be overlooked. They are also coming off an impressive 24-17 home win vs Denver in thier season opener last week. NOW comes the bad news... The Jags were just 3-5 ATS on the road last season, 2009 (2-0 in Sept), and just 3-5 ATS on the road in 2008 (1-1 in Sept). So how do you play this one. First off, I believe that the Jags are a nice selection here at Jags+8 pts at San Diego. The Chargers are just 2-3 SU and ATS in thier L-5 home games in September and 5-7 SU and ATS in thier L-12 home games in September. In the Chargers L-20 home games overall they are an impressive 15-5 SU but only 11-8-1 ATS which includes a 5-7-1 ATS mark in thier L-13 home games no matter what month the games is played. I do like the Chargers but just not enough to give away -8 pts here in this situation. These teams have met 3 times, all between 2003 and 2007 with the Jags being 2-0 SU and ATS at home and the Chargers being 1-0 SU and ATS at home. The Chargers were dogs in all 3 games with the lines set at Jax-3, Jax-2.5 and Jax-3.
Where do we get SD-8 from???
Last 20 games played overall each team using only Jags as away dogs and SD as home faves in those games... SD as favs at home avg 27.8 for and 20.5 against... Jags as dogs away avg 15.4 for and 26.4 against.
Avgerages out to Jags-18.1 at Chargers-27.1 for this forecast.
I'll take the Jags+8 and avoid the Chargers September drama, especially at the end of thier games.
My Guesstimate - San Diego-27 Jaguars-20
Final Score = San Diego-38 Jax-13 = OUCH!!!!!!!
I was lucky enough to make money here by using LIVE betting. I got Chargers-18.5 at EV, then added Chargers-18.5 at +120 for the profit after breaking even with the first live wager. That was an ass kicking if I ever have seen one.
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Quote Originally Posted by Skubishack:
The Jags are 7-1-1 in thier L-8 road games in September. That is an impressive stat that can't be overlooked. They are also coming off an impressive 24-17 home win vs Denver in thier season opener last week. NOW comes the bad news... The Jags were just 3-5 ATS on the road last season, 2009 (2-0 in Sept), and just 3-5 ATS on the road in 2008 (1-1 in Sept). So how do you play this one. First off, I believe that the Jags are a nice selection here at Jags+8 pts at San Diego. The Chargers are just 2-3 SU and ATS in thier L-5 home games in September and 5-7 SU and ATS in thier L-12 home games in September. In the Chargers L-20 home games overall they are an impressive 15-5 SU but only 11-8-1 ATS which includes a 5-7-1 ATS mark in thier L-13 home games no matter what month the games is played. I do like the Chargers but just not enough to give away -8 pts here in this situation. These teams have met 3 times, all between 2003 and 2007 with the Jags being 2-0 SU and ATS at home and the Chargers being 1-0 SU and ATS at home. The Chargers were dogs in all 3 games with the lines set at Jax-3, Jax-2.5 and Jax-3.
Where do we get SD-8 from???
Last 20 games played overall each team using only Jags as away dogs and SD as home faves in those games... SD as favs at home avg 27.8 for and 20.5 against... Jags as dogs away avg 15.4 for and 26.4 against.
Avgerages out to Jags-18.1 at Chargers-27.1 for this forecast.
I'll take the Jags+8 and avoid the Chargers September drama, especially at the end of thier games.
My Guesstimate - San Diego-27 Jaguars-20
Final Score = San Diego-38 Jax-13 = OUCH!!!!!!!
I was lucky enough to make money here by using LIVE betting. I got Chargers-18.5 at EV, then added Chargers-18.5 at +120 for the profit after breaking even with the first live wager. That was an ass kicking if I ever have seen one.
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over 45
after the smoke clears in this one.
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