probably complete bullshite just like most predictions from so called "experts" BUT an interesting read for stats geeks >>> https://espn.go.com/blog/statsinfo/post/_/id/108395/the-eliminator-trends-history-tell-us-the-1-who-will-win-pga-championship
Top 30 only - Each of the past dozen major winners came from the top 30 in the Official World Golf Ranking. Each of the past dozen major winners came from the top 30 in the Official World Golf Ranking.That will take out 126 golfers, including Tiger Woods.
A Non-USA Player? - We’re on a streak of 32 years since the last time a U.S. players won all four majors in a year Spieth won the Masters and US Open while Zack Johnson won the British. that would eliminate Spieth, Bubba Watson, Rickie Fowler and the remaining 13 U.S. players in the top 30 of the world rankings. That leaves us with 14 in contention.
Hot lately? - Each of the past 11 PGA Championship winners finished 22nd or better in their previous PGA Tour start. Adam Scott, Sergio Garcia and Hideki Matsuyama are among the six that eliminates
NO underdogs - six of the past seven majors have been won by players with major victories to their name. that eleminates Branden Grace, Danny Willett, Henrik Stenson, Jason Day, Paul Casey and Shane Lowry.
That leaves us with two golfers, and Willis eliminates Rory McIlroy for this reason: In the past 75 years, only one golfer (Tiger Woods) has won back-to-back PGA Championships.
"The one and only" left from ESPN stats guru Matt Willis's matrix? he comes up with Justin Rose as meeting all his criteria
SO I guess we will see IF he is correct. in Rose's last 9 tournaments he missed one cut, won once, been 2nd twice losing one of those in a playoff with the other The Masters, was 6th at the British open and finished 4th and 3rd his last two tourneys
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
probably complete bullshite just like most predictions from so called "experts" BUT an interesting read for stats geeks >>> https://espn.go.com/blog/statsinfo/post/_/id/108395/the-eliminator-trends-history-tell-us-the-1-who-will-win-pga-championship
Top 30 only - Each of the past dozen major winners came from the top 30 in the Official World Golf Ranking. Each of the past dozen major winners came from the top 30 in the Official World Golf Ranking.That will take out 126 golfers, including Tiger Woods.
A Non-USA Player? - We’re on a streak of 32 years since the last time a U.S. players won all four majors in a year Spieth won the Masters and US Open while Zack Johnson won the British. that would eliminate Spieth, Bubba Watson, Rickie Fowler and the remaining 13 U.S. players in the top 30 of the world rankings. That leaves us with 14 in contention.
Hot lately? - Each of the past 11 PGA Championship winners finished 22nd or better in their previous PGA Tour start. Adam Scott, Sergio Garcia and Hideki Matsuyama are among the six that eliminates
NO underdogs - six of the past seven majors have been won by players with major victories to their name. that eleminates Branden Grace, Danny Willett, Henrik Stenson, Jason Day, Paul Casey and Shane Lowry.
That leaves us with two golfers, and Willis eliminates Rory McIlroy for this reason: In the past 75 years, only one golfer (Tiger Woods) has won back-to-back PGA Championships.
"The one and only" left from ESPN stats guru Matt Willis's matrix? he comes up with Justin Rose as meeting all his criteria
SO I guess we will see IF he is correct. in Rose's last 9 tournaments he missed one cut, won once, been 2nd twice losing one of those in a playoff with the other The Masters, was 6th at the British open and finished 4th and 3rd his last two tourneys
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