Haven't looked much into the tournament but will share my quick thoughts.
I very much agree with your criteria for succes and I rank putting and accuracy very high this week. Cauley is a great fit and I think he will do great. Good result last year and has proved he can contend in this type of tournament.
As far as the outsiders go, I have found a few guys who should fit the criteria as well.
Ben Curtis. Great player in a soft field. Is 4th in accuracy and 9th in strokes gained putting plus he hits a lot of greens.
Brian Davis. In a slump right now and you can get really high odds on him. This is a good chance for him to snap out of the funk though as he is known for his precision (20th in accuracy) and he also ranks high in strokes gained putting (34th). The course should fit him well and as it is a pretty soft field so I feel he holds value in spite of his poor form.
Colt Knost. Accurate and a good putter as well. Showed good form last week.
Brian Gay. Much like Brian Davis he is not playing well at the moment. His odds are very high and for a reason. If he can find some form this week he could be in contention though. When he is at the top of the leaderboard it is usually in tournaments where there winning score is very low, like this one. He is usually accurate although he hasn't shown it this year and he is a great putter (4th in strokes gained putting). Don't know if I can trust him with my money though as he has really struggled this year and I have a hard time seeing him suddenly back in form.
Richard Lee. Very accurate (13th), hits a lot of greens (19th) and showed very good form last week where he finished 6th with a very hot putter.
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Haven't looked much into the tournament but will share my quick thoughts.
I very much agree with your criteria for succes and I rank putting and accuracy very high this week. Cauley is a great fit and I think he will do great. Good result last year and has proved he can contend in this type of tournament.
As far as the outsiders go, I have found a few guys who should fit the criteria as well.
Ben Curtis. Great player in a soft field. Is 4th in accuracy and 9th in strokes gained putting plus he hits a lot of greens.
Brian Davis. In a slump right now and you can get really high odds on him. This is a good chance for him to snap out of the funk though as he is known for his precision (20th in accuracy) and he also ranks high in strokes gained putting (34th). The course should fit him well and as it is a pretty soft field so I feel he holds value in spite of his poor form.
Colt Knost. Accurate and a good putter as well. Showed good form last week.
Brian Gay. Much like Brian Davis he is not playing well at the moment. His odds are very high and for a reason. If he can find some form this week he could be in contention though. When he is at the top of the leaderboard it is usually in tournaments where there winning score is very low, like this one. He is usually accurate although he hasn't shown it this year and he is a great putter (4th in strokes gained putting). Don't know if I can trust him with my money though as he has really struggled this year and I have a hard time seeing him suddenly back in form.
Richard Lee. Very accurate (13th), hits a lot of greens (19th) and showed very good form last week where he finished 6th with a very hot putter.
Maybe even Gavin Coles. Very short off the tee but pretty accurate (44th) and a very good putter (17th). Could this be his moment to shine? Probably not and at odds around 700-1 it would be a very very long shot.
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Maybe even Gavin Coles. Very short off the tee but pretty accurate (44th) and a very good putter (17th). Could this be his moment to shine? Probably not and at odds around 700-1 it would be a very very long shot.
I also have a FT match up that could be interesting. JB Holmes vs Ben Curtis (-110).
If we agree that accuracy and putting are the most important stats this week it should be a good match up. Holmes is ranked 162nd in accuracy, Curtis is 4th. Holmes is ranked 96th in strokes gained putting, Curtis is 9th.
I know that it can't be set up that squarely but I think it indicates that Curtis is simply just a better fit on this course than Holmes.
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I also have a FT match up that could be interesting. JB Holmes vs Ben Curtis (-110).
If we agree that accuracy and putting are the most important stats this week it should be a good match up. Holmes is ranked 162nd in accuracy, Curtis is 4th. Holmes is ranked 96th in strokes gained putting, Curtis is 9th.
I know that it can't be set up that squarely but I think it indicates that Curtis is simply just a better fit on this course than Holmes.
damn a.rocha, had a parlay with him with ben curtis,gary woodland, bryce molder and knox.. but alas, 4th rd. all 68 for him, singh and kokrak.. dead heated my parlay of 45k.. now its around 15k.. is that how dead heat works? TIA
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damn a.rocha, had a parlay with him with ben curtis,gary woodland, bryce molder and knox.. but alas, 4th rd. all 68 for him, singh and kokrak.. dead heated my parlay of 45k.. now its around 15k.. is that how dead heat works? TIA
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