Genesis Rd3

Hahn -115 v Hughes 

hahn is very good here.  Played here 7 of last 8 years and made cut 6/7.  Last year finished 13 and before that 14/28/MC/1st/29/61.  That 5x out of 7 he was 29th or better.  Hughes played here 2x 2019 & 2017 and MC both times.  Hahn finished 10th 2 weeks ago but MC by a little at Pebble.  Hughes MC his last event.

stats this week favor Hahn.  I like that he is hitting many more greens in reg.
GIR Hahn 66.67% Rd1 & 66.67% Rd2. 
Hughs 50% Rd1 & 55.56% Rd2 
Fairways Hahn 53%and Hughes 50%.
Driving distance Hahn 312 Hughes 288.
putting favors Hughes who is +2.4 through 2 rounds and Hahn is +.4

FWIW pre-tourney odds Hahn was 125-1 & Hughes 200-1 and DraftKings had Hahn 7500 & Hughes 6600.

Horse for the course. Hahn

1 more stat strokes gained tee to green which on this course is especially important 

2021 pga tour stats

hahn +.21

hughes -.57

Slight correction as Hahn MC at Pebble not by a little.  He was +5 and fell apart rd2 in tough conditions 

doesn’t bother me.  Hahn plays good here and his stats for 2021 season from Hawaii to present are ALL POSITIVE NUMBERS while Hughes 2021 stats are mostly negative including strokes gained off tee; strokes gained tee to green; strokes gained approaching green 

digging deeper prior to this year Hughes played here 2x MC and shot 72/72/76/71.  This year Rd1 shot 69 then 71.  The 69 he shot rd1 included +3.1 putting. 
i expect Hughes to shoot between 70-72 or -1 to +1

Hahn shot 74 RD1 & 66 RD2. Rd1 was the outlier

going back his rounds were.
2020 68/70/70/70
2018 70/69/70/69
2017 70/69/71/69

very consistent here

i expect Hahn to shoot between 68-71

Easy win

wire to wire

“that’s the way I like it.  Money for nothing, and chicks  for free”