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Honda (YTD -5.19, overall -33.19)

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Posts: 8
 
Prospect
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Joined: Oct, 2006
Posts: 362
Posted: #1

Last week resulted in near half of my risked units recovered. But more importantly I've found a group of stats and thresholds that have picked 12 of the last 15 winners. So my updated system plays will look more chalky than previous setups. Here is my top 20.

Im

Berger

Mitchell

Niemann

Mccarthy

Horschel

Oosthuizen

Young

Fleetwood

Vegas

Jones

Wise

Thompson M.

Howell III

Hickok

Harrington

Glover

Johnson Z.

Koepka B.

My plays

Niemann win +1800

Oosthuizen win +1800

Horschel win +2000 (3 units)

Im win +1000 (3 units)

Berger win +1400

Mitchell win +3300 (3 units) top 5 +750, top 10 +335 (2 units)

Mccarthy win +5000 (3 units), top 10 +500 (3 units)

Hughes win +5000 (3 units), top 10 +450 (3 units)

Young win +4500, top 10 +450

Harrington win +150000, top 20 +500

Hickok top 5 +2500, top 20 +450

Matchups

Hughes over lee k. -134 (2 units)

Mccarthy over noren -103 (2 units)

 Horschel over lowry -120 (2 units)

40.14 units risked total.

GL all!

 

 
Prospect
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Joined: Oct, 2006
Posts: 362
Posted: #2

Edit Hughes should be between Horschel and Oosthuizen in my top 20

 
MVP
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Joined: Apr, 2007
Posts: 16279
Posted: #3

clover

 
Veteran
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Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 3224
Posted: #4

Sabbitini leader after 2nd round

 
Rookie
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Joined: Jun, 2013
Posts: 672
Posted: #5

Quote Originally Posted by Hotbartender:

Pee-U...

 

How did you do last event LMFAO only week you ever posted you lose ur ass 

 
Prospect
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Joined: Oct, 2006
Posts: 362
Posted: #6

Tank. Down 34.67 units this week.

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2006
Posts: 362
Posted: #7

@Hotbartender

 Not mad. It happens. If i have a player with a record lead every tournament, I'll take that every week. Also it isn't hard to pick 30 guys not to win when 99.3% chance that someone doesn't win. The challenge is to pick a winner without betting on everyone. I'll hit soon and get back up. I always do.

 
 
Prospect
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Joined: Oct, 2006
Posts: 362
Posted: #8
 

"Probability of these folks to win are slimmer than one might think, like real slim."

This was what you said. Then said they can't win. Covering all possibilities is non statement. Slimmer than one might think had an 80.6% chance to win with 18 holes left. I'd take that percent every Sunday. I hope my picks this week r on your loser page again. If u played the rest of the field not on your can't win list, you would have broken even with betting 120 players. 

 

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