Kodaira -110 vs Thornberry: I tend to stay away from wagers that involve matches I have bet on recently. I had Thornberry last week and lost. Following him pretty closely he did not strike the ball very well from what I saw. He putted lights out. I think a US Open set up will eat him alive based on what I saw last week. Kodaira is a solid top 50 player in the world and I thought he played really well at the Masters this year. He's made the cut in his last three majors played and I think that will be enough here. I do not think Thonrberry will make it to the weekend.
Rahm -140 vs Woods: I still believe in Rahm to be a force going forward. He is higher ranked in driving distance, accuracy, greens in regulation and shots gained putting. I also think the groupings favor Rahm as well. He is playing with fellow Spaniards Cabrera Bello and Garcia. Meanwhile Tiger is playing with DJ and Justin Thomas. I think the speed of Johnson and Thomas may influence Tiger to swing quicker as well.
Harman +115 vs Z Johnson: Both guys are bulldogs and frankly either guy could win this match up. I like that Harman was T2 last year in this event. His average drives are longer, more accurate, more greens in regulation, higher ranked in shots gained putting and his world golf ranking is higher as well. Plus I feel Zach likes a lower ball flight which I believe will be a disadvantage this week. I think the wrong guy is favored here.
Willet +125 vs Li: I feel a bit sketchy on this one but I have reasoning for this one. Willet in my opinion is starting to turn a corner and play better golf again. He was a T8 in his last event two weeks ago in Italy. He beat Li by two strokes in that event. I have a sneaky feeling that Li will be caught up in the Tiger effect in rounds 1 and 2. He will be playing in the group behind Tiger, DJ and Thomas. There will be a lot of noise along with a bunch of movement when the group in front will be finishing on the green. I have zero stats to back this up. I got caught up in the Tiger effect when I was a young kid playing in Junior events back in the day in Socal. The effect is real in my opinion. Li may be able to get over this issue and play well but I am willing to take a shot in this match up.
S Akiyoshi +130 vs Els: Again this is another stab but I will take a swing here. Akiyoshi is coming off his first pro win two weeks ago in Japan. The 27 year ols is ranked 183rd in the world. Els is playing this event on a special exemption. He is currently ranked 696th in the world. I'll take a shot with the 27 year old against a 48 year old who is in the twilight of his Majors career.
While I am playing all of these for one unit, I did list them in order of preference. I normally don't do so... Fade or follow best of luck and enjoy the tournament!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I have made these plays so far. I may add more...
Kodaira -110 vs Thornberry: I tend to stay away from wagers that involve matches I have bet on recently. I had Thornberry last week and lost. Following him pretty closely he did not strike the ball very well from what I saw. He putted lights out. I think a US Open set up will eat him alive based on what I saw last week. Kodaira is a solid top 50 player in the world and I thought he played really well at the Masters this year. He's made the cut in his last three majors played and I think that will be enough here. I do not think Thonrberry will make it to the weekend.
Rahm -140 vs Woods: I still believe in Rahm to be a force going forward. He is higher ranked in driving distance, accuracy, greens in regulation and shots gained putting. I also think the groupings favor Rahm as well. He is playing with fellow Spaniards Cabrera Bello and Garcia. Meanwhile Tiger is playing with DJ and Justin Thomas. I think the speed of Johnson and Thomas may influence Tiger to swing quicker as well.
Harman +115 vs Z Johnson: Both guys are bulldogs and frankly either guy could win this match up. I like that Harman was T2 last year in this event. His average drives are longer, more accurate, more greens in regulation, higher ranked in shots gained putting and his world golf ranking is higher as well. Plus I feel Zach likes a lower ball flight which I believe will be a disadvantage this week. I think the wrong guy is favored here.
Willet +125 vs Li: I feel a bit sketchy on this one but I have reasoning for this one. Willet in my opinion is starting to turn a corner and play better golf again. He was a T8 in his last event two weeks ago in Italy. He beat Li by two strokes in that event. I have a sneaky feeling that Li will be caught up in the Tiger effect in rounds 1 and 2. He will be playing in the group behind Tiger, DJ and Thomas. There will be a lot of noise along with a bunch of movement when the group in front will be finishing on the green. I have zero stats to back this up. I got caught up in the Tiger effect when I was a young kid playing in Junior events back in the day in Socal. The effect is real in my opinion. Li may be able to get over this issue and play well but I am willing to take a shot in this match up.
S Akiyoshi +130 vs Els: Again this is another stab but I will take a swing here. Akiyoshi is coming off his first pro win two weeks ago in Japan. The 27 year ols is ranked 183rd in the world. Els is playing this event on a special exemption. He is currently ranked 696th in the world. I'll take a shot with the 27 year old against a 48 year old who is in the twilight of his Majors career.
While I am playing all of these for one unit, I did list them in order of preference. I normally don't do so... Fade or follow best of luck and enjoy the tournament!
I too had Thornberry last week who I followed closely and he was not good. As u correctly point out his putting was tremendous and kept him close. Rd1 I think he hit 20% fairways and 33% GIR.
I was looking at this one as well and just not sure what to expect from Kodaira. I think Thornberry will MC off his weak play last week. I’m gonna join u on this play.
Funny thing is we often think alike.
I agree Willet may be turning corner.
He has been so bad for 2 years after his Masters win.
He was pretty good as u mention last event at the Italian Open BUT if you go back the past 2 years the only event he was any good at after the Masters win was a 2nd that year at that very Italian Open where he lost to Molinari. This is from memory only so maybe he had another decent tourney ??
I remember this because I had Willet at 8-1 to win the Race to Dubai 2 years ago and I followed him closely and he came in 2nd losing his year long lead to Stenson at the very end. And Willet was also 2nd in Race to Dubai the year before behind Rory.
2 years in a row 2nd Race to Dubai means he was a talent.
Somehow he fell apart so he is worth watching to see if he gets his game back. Just not sure I’m ready to pull the trigger on him just yet.
Good luck
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RB
I too had Thornberry last week who I followed closely and he was not good. As u correctly point out his putting was tremendous and kept him close. Rd1 I think he hit 20% fairways and 33% GIR.
I was looking at this one as well and just not sure what to expect from Kodaira. I think Thornberry will MC off his weak play last week. I’m gonna join u on this play.
Funny thing is we often think alike.
I agree Willet may be turning corner.
He has been so bad for 2 years after his Masters win.
He was pretty good as u mention last event at the Italian Open BUT if you go back the past 2 years the only event he was any good at after the Masters win was a 2nd that year at that very Italian Open where he lost to Molinari. This is from memory only so maybe he had another decent tourney ??
I remember this because I had Willet at 8-1 to win the Race to Dubai 2 years ago and I followed him closely and he came in 2nd losing his year long lead to Stenson at the very end. And Willet was also 2nd in Race to Dubai the year before behind Rory.
2 years in a row 2nd Race to Dubai means he was a talent.
Somehow he fell apart so he is worth watching to see if he gets his game back. Just not sure I’m ready to pull the trigger on him just yet.
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