Kokrak 2nd last time they played here 2019 while Henley was 42nd Kokrak was 8th here year before Both guys playing well right now but I think Kokrak is the better player
Schwartzel -110 v Zach Johnson Zach just isn't very good anymore while Schwartzel is in the upswing after suffering through some bad times with an injured wrist. Schwartzel and Louis made it to the playoff last week and Louie blew it not Schwartzel. Plus Schwartzel has extra motivation to play well and make it into the PGA tourney Going into last week event Schwartzel had made 3 cuts in a row while Zach had MC 3 in a row Schwartzel was 6th here 2017 and won this event 2016.
Reed +105 (now +100) v Hovland Hovland hasn't been as good lately as he had been. Last week in team event he and Ventura started fast but had a lousy finish over the weekend. Before that Hovland last 4 starts no top 20 (21,42,MC,49) Hovland has never played here while Reed has many times. Last 5 times here Reed has 3 Top 7 (2x 2nd) Reed has been good lately finishing 8th last time (Hovland 21 same event) Reed always plays well on tough courses which this is
Connors -130 v Casey Who is playing better than Connors right now? Maybe nobody? Last 3 starts 4/8/14 Connors finished 16th here in his lone start 2018 but was outright leader in 1st 3 rounds (faded rd4) 4 Top10s and a T14 his last 6 starts Casey did win this event the past 2 years so I tread lightly here. Just want to bet on Connors and this is the matchup.
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Kokrak +105 (now +100) v Henley
Kokrak 2nd last time they played here 2019 while Henley was 42nd Kokrak was 8th here year before Both guys playing well right now but I think Kokrak is the better player
Schwartzel -110 v Zach Johnson Zach just isn't very good anymore while Schwartzel is in the upswing after suffering through some bad times with an injured wrist. Schwartzel and Louis made it to the playoff last week and Louie blew it not Schwartzel. Plus Schwartzel has extra motivation to play well and make it into the PGA tourney Going into last week event Schwartzel had made 3 cuts in a row while Zach had MC 3 in a row Schwartzel was 6th here 2017 and won this event 2016.
Reed +105 (now +100) v Hovland Hovland hasn't been as good lately as he had been. Last week in team event he and Ventura started fast but had a lousy finish over the weekend. Before that Hovland last 4 starts no top 20 (21,42,MC,49) Hovland has never played here while Reed has many times. Last 5 times here Reed has 3 Top 7 (2x 2nd) Reed has been good lately finishing 8th last time (Hovland 21 same event) Reed always plays well on tough courses which this is
Connors -130 v Casey Who is playing better than Connors right now? Maybe nobody? Last 3 starts 4/8/14 Connors finished 16th here in his lone start 2018 but was outright leader in 1st 3 rounds (faded rd4) 4 Top10s and a T14 his last 6 starts Casey did win this event the past 2 years so I tread lightly here. Just want to bet on Connors and this is the matchup.
Watson +120 v Ancer Ancer not playing great Rd1 hit 67% greens while scoring -4 But it was all putting as he was +4.05 strokes gained putting Rd2 Ancer hit only 50% greens and scored -1 and again it was all putting at +1.10 strokes gained putting
Thing is Ancer is just an average putter so I would expect regression to the mean
Watson looked good to me yesterday scoring -4 and was rolling putts nicely at +1.45 strokes gained. Last time the event was held was 2019 and Bubba finished 4th
I favor Bubba here and the plus money makes this a no brainer
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Rd3
Watson +120 v Ancer Ancer not playing great Rd1 hit 67% greens while scoring -4 But it was all putting as he was +4.05 strokes gained putting Rd2 Ancer hit only 50% greens and scored -1 and again it was all putting at +1.10 strokes gained putting
Thing is Ancer is just an average putter so I would expect regression to the mean
Watson looked good to me yesterday scoring -4 and was rolling putts nicely at +1.45 strokes gained. Last time the event was held was 2019 and Bubba finished 4th
I favor Bubba here and the plus money makes this a no brainer
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