Boisestateand8

@Fuse

@umgmu

@WahooS

I hope I hit it too brother! Tried to talk myself out of it, but I'm going with the better coach, with an extra week to prepare, and an underdog with a chip on their shoulder. I made a similar bet with a similar team under similar circumstances in the 2007 Fiesta Bowl, hence my user name, Boise State and 8. 

Ok, enough of the second guessing. That's what you do when you're having a bad year. I've had my eye on this game all season and I'm gonna snap the rubber band!

10* Indiana +11 over OHIO ST. - My one and only college game of the year. Lord have mercy. Eyeballing a couple others for later.

@Yanasaur

@umgmu

@Mskeets

Saturday night

Notre Dame -14 vs Army (at Yankee Stadium) - Still leaning Army but I don't know if I'll play it. Huge step up in class for the Black Knights. If they can jump on the Irish early they have a chance. But if they're down by two or three scores they're not built to catch up. Also, how healthy is Bryson Daily? He didn't play against Air Force and seemed limited at North Texas two weeks ago. He's had an extra week to heal up with the bye, but is he 100%? That's the question.

TEXAS ST. -21 vs Georgia St. - Still leaning towards the Bobcats, but there are better games on the board. They should win this one by however many they want.

OLD DOMINION -2' vs Marshall - I think the wrong team MAY be favored here. The Thundering Herd are a money making 7-1-1 ATS this year, but it's a little disturbing that they're just 2-6-1 ITS. They've gotten a lot of breaks. Weird stat: ODU is 5-18 SU and ATS when coming off a loss of 13 or fewer points. Leaning Marshall still, but this line smells fishy.

LSU -7' vs Vanderbilt - Diego Pavia is expected to start in this one, after he and several other banged up players had a week off to heal. Even after the loss to South Carolina two weeks ago, Vandy is 6-1 ATS as a dog this year with four outright wins! The Bayou Bengals are a dysfunctional hot mess right now and it kinda looks like Brian Kelly may have lost the locker room. I like Vanderbilt here. Another outright win?

Virginia Tech -3 at DUKE - It's Senior Day in Durham, the Blue Devils are 15-3 SU and 12-3 ATS at home over the last two plus years, including 5-1 ATS as a dog, and Manny Diaz is 10-1 ATS in his career as a single digit dog. I'm down with Duke.

Usc -4' at UCLA - Leaning Trojans but not playing it. Jayden Maiava gave them a spark last week and the road team has won the last four. 

My God! Worse QB play I've seen all year. 

Horrible. He's been staring down his receivers all night. How the hell did he pass for over 400 last week? 

@DrStrangelove

@mjm1012

@Macwestie1

 Good luck Mac! I'm on San Jose St. tonight myself. They owe me one after last week's bad beat! 

-17 units YTD. I'm due for a big week. Let's gooooo!

3* SAN JOSE ST. +7' over Unlv - game write ups on my other thread. More coming manana. BOL!

@dcgmt

 With you on San Jose St. 

@mrusso

 BOL to you this weekend! 

Saturday afternoon games

Ucf -3 at WEST VIRGINIA - I think the Knights may have found their QB. Dylan Rizk has passed for a combined 523 yards in his two starts and the Mountaineers have one of the worst pass defenses in the nation. Throw in RJ Harvey, the Big 12's leading rusher with 1328 yards and 19 TDs, and it's hard to imagine WVU keeping up in this one. I like UCF here.

Colorado -2' vs. Kansas (at Arrowhead Stadium) - Still leaning Jayhawks here, but I don't think I'll play it. They're certainly battle tested, having played the other top teams in the Big 12 (Arizona St., Kansas St., Iowa St. and BYU), and they're playing their best ball of the season. But the Buffs are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight since losing at Nebraska. Tough call.

TEXAS -20' vs Kentucky - Initial lean was with the Longhorns but they're just 2-4 ATS vs the SEC, all as chalk, and they may have one eye on the huge game at Texas A&M next week. Kentucky's bowl hopes are on life support, but they've covered all three this season as a double digit dog, vs Georgia, Ole Miss, and Tennessee, three teams that are similar in talent to Texas. Hmmm.

ARIZONA ST. -3 vs Byu - Was leaning Cougars initially, but they haven't played as well the last four weeks, and a lot of times when an undefeated team loses its' first game this late in the season there can be a carryover effect the following week, and the Sun Devils are on a bit of a roll. I think I'll just watch this.

CALIFORNIA -14' vs Stanford - Anything can happen in a rivalry game, but I'm backing off my Stanford lean. Maybe the Cardinal will catch lightning in a bottle for the second week in a row, but the Golden Bears are just the better team here and could just as easily run away with it. And there's no line value here after what happened a week ago. Which Cal team will show up?

Penn St. -11' at MINNESOTA - There's some line value here, with the Golden Gophers off a bye following their 26-19 upset loss at Rutgers two weeks ago, and the Nittany Lions coming off a 49-10 romp at Purdue and now having to travel for the second straight week. This one has a similar vibe to the Oregon-Wisconsin game a week ago. Still leaning Minnesota here.

@TRAIN69

 Thanks Train! That's high praise coming from one of the Covers legends. BOL to you this week.

@JFEEZEE

 Oh yeah there will be rain for sure, but it doesn't look like it'll be too windy. BOL to you as well. 

@DegenNaysh

 My pleasure. BOL to you too! 

Fine tuning my potential play list:

Friday

Unlv -7' at SAN JOSE - This line has stayed steady all week. Interesting that both teams are 1-5 ATS in their last six games, with each team covering at Oregon St. But the Spartans should've covered last week vs. Boise, outgaining the Broncos 483 total yards to 456 in a 42-21 loss. Four turnovers did them in, including a late pick six at the end that killed the 14' point spot. I see value in this line and I like San Jose St. here.

Saturday 

OHIO ST. -10' vs Indiana - This is the only early game on Saturday that I'm looking at. Three days ago I had a strong lean towards the Hoosiers, but the line has dropped three points since then. The Buckeyes have some big O-line issues, but it makes me nervous that so many people are on Indiana. I'm reminded of the Tennessee-Georgia game last week, where the Vols jumped out early, but Georgia wore them down at the end. This could be the same kinda game. I'm passing on this one for now. 

More later.

@Fuse 

Thanks brother!  BOL this week!

@theclaw

 BOL on the Browns. Not playing that one myself, but I love the PANTHERS off a bye, at home, catching double digits. There's a 20-2 ATS angle supporting that situation too. Plus you might have a deflated Chiefs team, coming off their first loss of the season at Buffalo and going on the road again.