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replied to Ravens +2.5 is $$ in NFL Betting I'm not a Ravens fan, but look for situations like this. Money is money and this looks like not only a cover but a SU win. If like to know why you like Miami to cover in this spot. View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	6	October 01, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Ravens +2.5 is $$ in NFL Betting The Dolphins were exposed (IMO) on MNF in that if you can pressure Tannehill and spread the ball on offense you can be successful. Ray Rice isn't 100% but should still have a good game and Flacco will spread the ball well as did Brees did. Miami is on a short week and Baltimore has yet to put together a good game. With Pitt in the cellar and Cleveland scrapping together games, Harbaugh knows he needs to win games like this if they want to compete with Cincy for the division. I had Baltimore @ -2 with Miami coming off a short week, Baltimore opened @ +3 and now @ +2.5 so I believe there is a lot of value with Baltimore (never mind the points). Baltimore - 26 Miami - 21 View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	6	October 01, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic KC -3.5 is $$ in NFL Betting Although the Chiefs are away, Jacksonville is AWEFUL and relies only on MJD. Gabbert will be scrambling and forcing throws which will lead to mistakes. Alex Smith has something to prove after being traded and simply put the Chiefs have too many weapons for the Jaguars that will go 3-13 this year. 27-14 CHIEFS Titans +7 Packers +4.5 Colts -10.5 Cleveland pk Arizona +4.5 Texans -3.5 View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	1	September 06, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Incognito in Horse Racing Really liking Incognito given his breed history and length. Anyone have any thoughts on this horses chances of winning? View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	1	June 08, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic 75% of the $$ on Pacers in NBA Betting Aside from game 3, the Pacers have covered the big spreads like fonights and look like the better team right now, so why does Vegas not make this a 4 point spread? They know the public will take the Pacers again in large number so they put it at 7.5, which explains the 75% on the Pacers. Heat back home after the road trip and will be amped to show the home crowd why they deserve to hoist the trophy again. Lebron will have 36 points and Wade will put up his 18. Heat are 8-0 L8 following a SU loss. The O/U between these two teams hasn't been above 184 since March 10th and it has gone over every time since. You think, pacers = defense, they HAVE to hold opponents to under 90. WRONG, playing a quick, smart, jump-shooting team like the Heat, not the 76ers let's not forget. When you play the Heat you are usually trying to play catch-up all game or you are ahead and you can expect the Heat to go on a 10-2 run and put the game into OT. 98 - 89 Heat Good luck View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	4	May 30, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Itsmyluckyday in Horse Racing $20 on Itsmyluckyday (pending a dry track) $2 tri box - 1, 2, 7 $2 exacta part wheel - 1 with 7 and 8 View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	12	May 18, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Itsmyluckyday in Horse Racing I like Mylute, a lot of ppl like Departing but I'm thinking 4th @ best. I may add a box of Orb, Mylute, and Will Take Charge. View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	12	May 17, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Itsmyluckyday in Horse Racing On top of taking a bit of a long shot on Itsmyluckyday, thinking of boxing 1, 2, and 7 and hope to make a couple hundred bones. View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	12	May 17, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Itsmyluckyday - Preakness in NBA Betting We are all gamblers/degenerates in here be it NBA, MLB, NFL, hockey and even horse racing. I thought given no games today and only 1 tomorrow (Pacers win if Hill plays) that we could get a Preakness discussion going and make some $ going into game 7. Thinking of putting $100 on Itsmyluckyday to win @ 12-1. Not worth a bet on Orb IMO and I think this medium shot has a great chance to pull off the win. I'd rather not waste my $ on a tri or super with Orb but rather chance a horse to win with a good payout. If not Itsmyluckyday, who would you take? Also thinking that IF IF IF I DO take Orb I will box him with 2 (Goldencents) and 7 (Willtakecharge). Good luck. View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	2	May 17, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Itsmyluckyday in Horse Racing Worth putting $100 on Itsmyluckyday to win @ 12-1? Not worth a bet on Orb IMO and I think this medium shot has a great chance to pull off the win. I'd rather not waste my $ on a tri or super with Orb but rather chance a horse to win with a good payout. If not Itsmyluckyday, who would you take? View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	12	May 17, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Slicks Goy #1 Goy #2 picks for thursday in NBA Betting I usually follow your picks and have the Spurs -1.5, but have the Over on the Pacers game. Curious as to why you don't hedge Spurs -1.5 and the Over in that game? If the Knicks cover and the Over hits you are down 4k (pending the Spurs single game bet) given the fact that you like the Over in that game. You have a lot banking on the Pacers/Knicks game. Good luck though, keep it up View Post \| View Thread	bigslick24ak	32	May 16, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Bulls/Heat line analysis in NBA Betting How often do we see a line like this in a playoff game? The line is right in Vegas's wheelhouse and it has bounced around from Miami -14 to -14.5 to -14. Think about it: if this line was Miami -10 the public $ would be 90/10 Heat and if it was Miami -20 it would be 80/20 Bulls. This line draws both Heat and Bulls $ fairly equally, right now @ 53/47 Heat. A polarizing Heat squad versus a depleted and injury-riddled Bulls team that hung with the Heat in the regular season with ones team post season on the line? This has back door cover written all over it as the Heat will most likely rest the Big 3 if/when they are up by 20-22 with 3 minutes left. I'm not touching this line, but am taking the Under 181. If the Heat blow out the Bulls it will look something like 102 - 77 and if the Bulls play good D, slow the game down, and force the Heat to take bad shots, a score around 92 - 85. I know "you can look at any game this way" but not too many playoff games resemble this one given all the factors. Neither play on the line seems like a solid pick unless you feel that the Bulls have given up and I certainly don't believe that to be the case. Good luck with your picks, just wanted to put my thought on this game out there. View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	2	May 15, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Thunder -4.5 and Over 185 in NBA Betting OKC will speed up the tempo and KD will step up to carry the team, knowing that he HAS to for them to win. Memphis is 9-1 L10 (9 in a row) and I believe this is a perfect spot for this run to end. The Thunder know that they have to dominate the boards and play better interior D, which will force Memphis to take a lot more outside shots. The Over is 20-6 the L26 meetings. Durante will go off with 44 points. 101 - 94 Thunder View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	3	May 15, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Shumpert, Martin, Smith in NBA Betting All three are game time decisions, but it looks like Shumpert is most likely out according to Rotoworld. The public $ is on the Knicks @ +5 and it has moved to +5.5. There is some hostility amongst the Knicks players and I think the frustration will continue. Like someone said in a different post Carmelo can't do it by himself, and unless he scores 60+ the Pacers will run away with this one. 103 - 91 Pacers View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	3	May 14, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Why is everone on MIA -7.5? in NBA Betting Also, the Bulls are 4-0 ATS L4 following a DD loss @ home. Tibs will have his team ready and I see Noah going off with 30 points and 14 rebounds. View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	9	May 13, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Why is everone on MIA -7.5? in NBA Betting Taking Bulls +8 and Under 185.5 NOW while the value will be @ it's best. Wouldn't surprise me to see it fall to Heat -7 to draw more Heat $ around 2 hours before game time, but looks like the total will drop even more. View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	9	May 13, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Why is everone on MIA -7.5? in NBA Betting The Heat opened @ -8 with most of the public on them (naturally) and the line dropped to -7.5. Deng and Hinrich are ruled out and it hasn't moved. The Bulls will give 110% behind Tibs that is a coach that makes something out of nothing. This will be the Bulls last home game before heading to South Beach (pending a W) and will play very physical, smart basketball. Butler and Noah played well last game and dominated the paint, and although they will miss Deng they can win without him. If not for the 34 point 4th quarter last game the Bulls would have covered and we all saw that thrashing coming in game 2. I see a defensive battle, Bulls coming out hotter than the Heat and losing by a handful of points late. 94 - 91 Heat Also taking: OKC +4.5 and Under 184.5 88 - 87 Grizzlies View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	9	May 13, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA in NBA Betting Noah logged 13 minutes last game and will most likely see a lot more time tonight. The Nets had 20 more points in the paint and I believe if Noah plays significant more time the Bulls cover the 13 points that they didn't ATS last game. I like your picks, just wondering your thoughts. View Post \| View Thread	LVTruck	19	April 22, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic $ Todays Picks $ in NBA Betting Timberwolves +6.5 Wizards +9 Suns +14.5 TOR/CHI UNDER 185 CHA/MEM UNDER 185.5 Bucks +6 OKC ML View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	2	April 09, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to CHI/BKNY Over 187 is $$ in NBA Betting I did see that. Every game is different. Injuries, refs, venues, rest, playoff implications. If you like the under wait until 7 when it's 189.5. View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	3	April 04, 2013 View Post \| View Thread

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
replied to Ravens +2.5 is $$ in NFL Betting I'm not a Ravens fan, but look for situations like this. Money is money and this looks like not only a cover but a SU win. If like to know why you like Miami to cover in this spot. View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	6	October 01, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Ravens +2.5 is $$ in NFL Betting The Dolphins were exposed (IMO) on MNF in that if you can pressure Tannehill and spread the ball on offense you can be successful. Ray Rice isn't 100% but should still have a good game and Flacco will spread the ball well as did Brees did. Miami is on a short week and Baltimore has yet to put together a good game. With Pitt in the cellar and Cleveland scrapping together games, Harbaugh knows he needs to win games like this if they want to compete with Cincy for the division. I had Baltimore @ -2 with Miami coming off a short week, Baltimore opened @ +3 and now @ +2.5 so I believe there is a lot of value with Baltimore (never mind the points). Baltimore - 26 Miami - 21 View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	6	October 01, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic KC -3.5 is $$ in NFL Betting Although the Chiefs are away, Jacksonville is AWEFUL and relies only on MJD. Gabbert will be scrambling and forcing throws which will lead to mistakes. Alex Smith has something to prove after being traded and simply put the Chiefs have too many weapons for the Jaguars that will go 3-13 this year. 27-14 CHIEFS Titans +7 Packers +4.5 Colts -10.5 Cleveland pk Arizona +4.5 Texans -3.5 View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	1	September 06, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Incognito in Horse Racing Really liking Incognito given his breed history and length. Anyone have any thoughts on this horses chances of winning? View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	1	June 08, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic 75% of the $$ on Pacers in NBA Betting Aside from game 3, the Pacers have covered the big spreads like fonights and look like the better team right now, so why does Vegas not make this a 4 point spread? They know the public will take the Pacers again in large number so they put it at 7.5, which explains the 75% on the Pacers. Heat back home after the road trip and will be amped to show the home crowd why they deserve to hoist the trophy again. Lebron will have 36 points and Wade will put up his 18. Heat are 8-0 L8 following a SU loss. The O/U between these two teams hasn't been above 184 since March 10th and it has gone over every time since. You think, pacers = defense, they HAVE to hold opponents to under 90. WRONG, playing a quick, smart, jump-shooting team like the Heat, not the 76ers let's not forget. When you play the Heat you are usually trying to play catch-up all game or you are ahead and you can expect the Heat to go on a 10-2 run and put the game into OT. 98 - 89 Heat Good luck View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	4	May 30, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Itsmyluckyday in Horse Racing $20 on Itsmyluckyday (pending a dry track) $2 tri box - 1, 2, 7 $2 exacta part wheel - 1 with 7 and 8 View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	12	May 18, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Itsmyluckyday in Horse Racing I like Mylute, a lot of ppl like Departing but I'm thinking 4th @ best. I may add a box of Orb, Mylute, and Will Take Charge. View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	12	May 17, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Itsmyluckyday in Horse Racing On top of taking a bit of a long shot on Itsmyluckyday, thinking of boxing 1, 2, and 7 and hope to make a couple hundred bones. View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	12	May 17, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Itsmyluckyday - Preakness in NBA Betting We are all gamblers/degenerates in here be it NBA, MLB, NFL, hockey and even horse racing. I thought given no games today and only 1 tomorrow (Pacers win if Hill plays) that we could get a Preakness discussion going and make some $ going into game 7. Thinking of putting $100 on Itsmyluckyday to win @ 12-1. Not worth a bet on Orb IMO and I think this medium shot has a great chance to pull off the win. I'd rather not waste my $ on a tri or super with Orb but rather chance a horse to win with a good payout. If not Itsmyluckyday, who would you take? Also thinking that IF IF IF I DO take Orb I will box him with 2 (Goldencents) and 7 (Willtakecharge). Good luck. View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	2	May 17, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Itsmyluckyday in Horse Racing Worth putting $100 on Itsmyluckyday to win @ 12-1? Not worth a bet on Orb IMO and I think this medium shot has a great chance to pull off the win. I'd rather not waste my $ on a tri or super with Orb but rather chance a horse to win with a good payout. If not Itsmyluckyday, who would you take? View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	12	May 17, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Slicks Goy #1 Goy #2 picks for thursday in NBA Betting I usually follow your picks and have the Spurs -1.5, but have the Over on the Pacers game. Curious as to why you don't hedge Spurs -1.5 and the Over in that game? If the Knicks cover and the Over hits you are down 4k (pending the Spurs single game bet) given the fact that you like the Over in that game. You have a lot banking on the Pacers/Knicks game. Good luck though, keep it up View Post \| View Thread	bigslick24ak	32	May 16, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Bulls/Heat line analysis in NBA Betting How often do we see a line like this in a playoff game? The line is right in Vegas's wheelhouse and it has bounced around from Miami -14 to -14.5 to -14. Think about it: if this line was Miami -10 the public $ would be 90/10 Heat and if it was Miami -20 it would be 80/20 Bulls. This line draws both Heat and Bulls $ fairly equally, right now @ 53/47 Heat. A polarizing Heat squad versus a depleted and injury-riddled Bulls team that hung with the Heat in the regular season with ones team post season on the line? This has back door cover written all over it as the Heat will most likely rest the Big 3 if/when they are up by 20-22 with 3 minutes left. I'm not touching this line, but am taking the Under 181. If the Heat blow out the Bulls it will look something like 102 - 77 and if the Bulls play good D, slow the game down, and force the Heat to take bad shots, a score around 92 - 85. I know "you can look at any game this way" but not too many playoff games resemble this one given all the factors. Neither play on the line seems like a solid pick unless you feel that the Bulls have given up and I certainly don't believe that to be the case. Good luck with your picks, just wanted to put my thought on this game out there. View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	2	May 15, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Thunder -4.5 and Over 185 in NBA Betting OKC will speed up the tempo and KD will step up to carry the team, knowing that he HAS to for them to win. Memphis is 9-1 L10 (9 in a row) and I believe this is a perfect spot for this run to end. The Thunder know that they have to dominate the boards and play better interior D, which will force Memphis to take a lot more outside shots. The Over is 20-6 the L26 meetings. Durante will go off with 44 points. 101 - 94 Thunder View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	3	May 15, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Shumpert, Martin, Smith in NBA Betting All three are game time decisions, but it looks like Shumpert is most likely out according to Rotoworld. The public $ is on the Knicks @ +5 and it has moved to +5.5. There is some hostility amongst the Knicks players and I think the frustration will continue. Like someone said in a different post Carmelo can't do it by himself, and unless he scores 60+ the Pacers will run away with this one. 103 - 91 Pacers View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	3	May 14, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Why is everone on MIA -7.5? in NBA Betting Also, the Bulls are 4-0 ATS L4 following a DD loss @ home. Tibs will have his team ready and I see Noah going off with 30 points and 14 rebounds. View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	9	May 13, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Why is everone on MIA -7.5? in NBA Betting Taking Bulls +8 and Under 185.5 NOW while the value will be @ it's best. Wouldn't surprise me to see it fall to Heat -7 to draw more Heat $ around 2 hours before game time, but looks like the total will drop even more. View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	9	May 13, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Why is everone on MIA -7.5? in NBA Betting The Heat opened @ -8 with most of the public on them (naturally) and the line dropped to -7.5. Deng and Hinrich are ruled out and it hasn't moved. The Bulls will give 110% behind Tibs that is a coach that makes something out of nothing. This will be the Bulls last home game before heading to South Beach (pending a W) and will play very physical, smart basketball. Butler and Noah played well last game and dominated the paint, and although they will miss Deng they can win without him. If not for the 34 point 4th quarter last game the Bulls would have covered and we all saw that thrashing coming in game 2. I see a defensive battle, Bulls coming out hotter than the Heat and losing by a handful of points late. 94 - 91 Heat Also taking: OKC +4.5 and Under 184.5 88 - 87 Grizzlies View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	9	May 13, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA in NBA Betting Noah logged 13 minutes last game and will most likely see a lot more time tonight. The Nets had 20 more points in the paint and I believe if Noah plays significant more time the Bulls cover the 13 points that they didn't ATS last game. I like your picks, just wondering your thoughts. View Post \| View Thread	LVTruck	19	April 22, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic $ Todays Picks $ in NBA Betting Timberwolves +6.5 Wizards +9 Suns +14.5 TOR/CHI UNDER 185 CHA/MEM UNDER 185.5 Bucks +6 OKC ML View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	2	April 09, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to CHI/BKNY Over 187 is $$ in NBA Betting I did see that. Every game is different. Injuries, refs, venues, rest, playoff implications. If you like the under wait until 7 when it's 189.5. View Post \| View Thread	adsitar	3	April 04, 2013 View Post \| View Thread

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