Bermax

Prospect

Posts: 239

Member Since: January 2015

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replied to Moving to Vegas to become a full time pro handicapper in The Archives Well, CG, if you want to keep on posting text without too much of a hassle you can always do that on the discussion page of your youtube channel. If you don't want to have anything with covers anymore that is. View Post \| View Thread	collegegambler	14200	April 10, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Moving to Vegas to become a full time pro handicapper in The Archives February 28 19 1 59.57% $4,000 March 26 30 1 46.43% -$11,217 April 3 9 0 25.00% -$6,240 Yield Profit/day -11.56% -$221 View Post \| View Thread	collegegambler	14200	April 10, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Moving to Vegas to become a full time pro handicapper in The Archives W L P Win% BrEven % Profit Parlays 0 2 0 0.00% 26.29% -$1,200 Moneylines 2 8 0 20.00% 45.05% -$7,590 Sprds/tots 55 48 2 53.40% 52.57% -$4,667 Grand total 57 58 2 49.57% 51.33% -$13,457 https://goo.gl/lfl5IT View Post \| View Thread	collegegambler	14200	April 10, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Moving to Vegas to become a full time pro handicapper in The Archives College gambler pocket dictionary. Grind - throwing three 3K mini bombs in quick succession. Discipline - "grinding" instead of throwing 10K bomb. Humbled - a state of mind of deep introspection where no further bombs are thrown. Mean duration 22.6 minutes. Handicapping - identifying value on one side, fading yourself just because. Wholesome fun - DUI to MILF Bankroll - a pile of crisp C notes, primarily used for buying blow/filling up sonata/shopping for tilapia. Occasionally used for "grinding". Money management - increase stakes when bankroll shrinks, like a "pro/boss/legend" Pro/Boss/Legend - an NCAA/NBA/NHL/MLB bettor with a proven record in the NFL. Family - synonymous with "bad luck" Bad luck - every time a bet doesn't win. Sickening - see "bad luck" Line shopping - doing miles in a hyundai sonata. Snap - word used at end of agitated YouTube videos. Meaning unclear. Mojo - something that gets lost when "family" comes to town. Tall Boys/TBs - increases "mojo" Sacramento Kings - goto NBA team when the "proven" "pro/boss/legend" is "handicapping" Advice - no dictionary entry View Post \| View Thread	collegegambler	14200	April 10, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Moving to Vegas to become a full time pro handicapper in The Archives Quote Originally Posted by zooyorkinc: bermax- can we add an "if" column to the spreadsheet...if cg hadn't had all those bad beats where would he be? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nauLgZISozs View Post \| View Thread	collegegambler	14200	April 09, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Moving to Vegas to become a full time pro handicapper in The Archives Earlier on CG would be in the green if he had staked sensibly but now that his picking has gone south he wouldn't be in profit on any flat or %age based plan. Profit to date if staking from start was: Flat $550 -$2,020 Flat $1100 -$4,041 3% of BR -$3,609 5% of BR -$6,377 See the bet history chart for same figures over time. (Stakes are reduced for very long odds ML or Parlay plays) View Post \| View Thread	collegegambler	14200	April 09, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Moving to Vegas to become a full time pro handicapper in The Archives W L P Win% BrEven% Profit Parlays 0 2 0 0.00% 26.29% -$1,200 Moneylines 2 8 0 20.00% 45.05% -$7,590 Sprds/Totals 55 47 2 53.92% 52.57% -$1,667 Grand total 57 57 2 50.00% 51.34% -$10,457 https://goo.gl/lfl5IT View Post \| View Thread	collegegambler	14200	April 09, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Moving to Vegas to become a full time pro handicapper in The Archives Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: Love the new color scheme and nicknames (blowjays etc). Also like how you capitalize "LIVE DOGS". Kind of like yelling out something with a catchy name will make it true. "smart to bet dogs early in the season" - based on what? Do you have some evidence of this? Do dogs do better earlier in the season than later? Do you just say these things because they sound good and you are practicing for your next career as a tout? For the past five MLB seasons, flat betting $100 on every dog during april (4) and may (5) would result in a loss of -$3.11 on every wager on average (-$12.455 spread out over 4,006 bets): https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/5628798/MLB%20dogs.png This is actually better than the average loss on dogs for the rest of the season, which amounts to -$5.46 per $100 wagered. So, believe it or not, CG in a way happens to be right this time around (though betting each and every dog early on is certainly not a profitable strategy). View Post \| View Thread	collegegambler	14200	April 08, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Moving to Vegas to become a full time pro handicapper in The Archives Quote Originally Posted by shaawn: Hey! New to covers but I've been betting for years. Just wanted to throw my 2 cents in this thread for CG since I blew my chance a couple years back. Your living the dream right now bud! But if you don't start focusing on your discipline and betting with your head instead of on emotion you'll blow it. That's pretty much a guarantee. Its already almost happened once. And nothing is worse than going back to making 2,3,4 red chips an hour, having a boss and a set schedule after living the life you have right now.... So Hope to learn how to approach sports betting and make money over the long term by following your lead. Also hoping you re- evaluate your gameplan, so this thread can continue for years to come and we can actually see someone winning over the long run for a change!!!! Live The Dream Man!!!! Don't blow it Are you new to the thread also? Don't waste your breath, the CG takes no advice. View Post \| View Thread	collegegambler	14200	April 08, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Moving to Vegas to become a full time pro handicapper in The Archives W L P W% BrEv % Profit Parlays 0 2 0 0.00% 26.29% -$1,200 MLs 2 5 0 28.57% 44.57% -$4,590 Sprds & Tots 55 47 2 53.92% 52.57% -$1,667 Grand total 57 54 2 51.35% 51.48% -$7,457 https://goo.gl/lfl5IT View Post \| View Thread	collegegambler	14200	April 08, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA line making model. Will post interesting/strange lines. in NBA Betting Please read entire first post carefully. Picking games without any further analysis from a full card raw retrospective stats line will not be profitable long term. This thread was started in order to identify and discuss interesting lines. I'm not picking games, I don't trust my own "system" to do that at all. But please if you have some thoughts or input on generated lines do share. View Post \| View Thread	Bermax	192	April 03, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Moving to Vegas to become a full time pro handicapper in The Archives CG, 5K bomb on 3 game NHL o/u parlay and the Empire is back at peak profit. View Post \| View Thread	collegegambler	14200	April 03, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA line making model. Will post interesting/strange lines. in NBA Betting Post tomorrow's generated lines today, will be away from computer tomorrow: New York Knicks 88.1 11.0 187.1 Washington Wizards 99.1 -11.0 Charlotte Hornets 98.8 0.6 198.1 Indiana Pacers 99.3 -0.6 Toronto Raptors 103.7 -1.5 206.0 Brooklyn Nets 102.2 1.5 Milwaukee Bucks 93.8 8.2 195.8 Boston Celtics 102.0 -8.2 Oklahoma City Thunder 101.1 1.7 203.8 Memphis Grizzlies 102.7 -1.7 Orlando Magic 104.0 -1.5 206.5 Minnesota Timberwolves 102.5 1.5 Detroit Pistons 98.3 2.8 199.4 Chicago Bulls 101.1 -2.8 Denver Nuggets 94.5 11.5 200.5 San Antonio Spurs 106.0 -11.5 New Orleans Pelicans 103.3 -3.6 203.1 Sacramento Kings 99.7 3.6 Portland Trail Blazers 106.3 -6.1 206.5 Los Angeles Lakers 100.2 6.1 View Post \| View Thread	Bermax	192	April 02, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA line making model. Will post interesting/strange lines. in NBA Betting Post tomorrow's generated lines today, will be away from computer tomorrow: New York Knicks 88.1 11.0 187.1 Washington Wizards 99.1 -11.0 Charlotte Hornets 98.8 0.6 198.1 Indiana Pacers 99.3 -0.6 Toronto Raptors 103.7 -1.5 206.0 Brooklyn Nets 102.2 1.5 Milwaukee Bucks 93.8 8.2 195.8 Boston Celtics 102.0 -8.2 Oklahoma City Thunder 101.1 1.7 203.8 Memphis Grizzlies 102.7 -1.7 Orlando Magic 104.0 -1.5 206.5 Minnesota Timberwolves 102.5 1.5 Detroit Pistons 98.3 2.8 199.4 Chicago Bulls 101.1 -2.8 Denver Nuggets 94.5 11.5 200.5 San Antonio Spurs 106.0 -11.5 New Orleans Pelicans 103.3 -3.6 203.1 Sacramento Kings 99.7 3.6 Portland Trail Blazers 106.3 -6.1 206.5 Los Angeles Lakers 100.2 6.1 View Post \| View Thread	Bermax	192	April 02, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA line making model. Will post interesting/strange lines. in NBA Betting Post tomorrow's generated lines today, will be away from computer tomorrow: New York Knicks 88.1 11.0 187.1 Washington Wizards 99.1 -11.0 Charlotte Hornets 98.8 0.6 198.1 Indiana Pacers 99.3 -0.6 Toronto Raptors 103.7 -1.5 206.0 Brooklyn Nets 102.2 1.5 Milwaukee Bucks 93.8 8.2 195.8 Boston Celtics 102.0 -8.2 Oklahoma City Thunder 101.1 1.7 203.8 Memphis Grizzlies 102.7 -1.7 Orlando Magic 104.0 -1.5 206.5 Minnesota Timberwolves 102.5 1.5 Detroit Pistons 98.3 2.8 199.4 Chicago Bulls 101.1 -2.8 Denver Nuggets 94.5 11.5 200.5 San Antonio Spurs 106.0 -11.5 New Orleans Pelicans 103.3 -3.6 203.1 Sacramento Kings 99.7 3.6 Portland Trail Blazers 106.3 -6.1 206.5 Los Angeles Lakers 100.2 6.1 View Post \| View Thread	Bermax	192	April 02, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA line making model. Will post interesting/strange lines. in NBA Betting If you wonder how much the ref bias that's calculated into the line is, model lines would be approx CLE no difference HOU -2 GSW -18 without it included. View Post \| View Thread	Bermax	192	April 02, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA line making model. Will post interesting/strange lines. in NBA Betting Quote Originally Posted by bobmaloogatimesfive: Thanks Bermax -- looks like value on the Rockets I don't know much about basketball but do you think it's a correct assumption that the mav's performance last game is what's inflating the line and their team total at the books? View Post \| View Thread	Bermax	192	April 02, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA line making model. Will post interesting/strange lines. in NBA Betting Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: Bermax. I posted Houston+2 as my POD earlier in my thread...and under. I capped Houston to win by 4.19. Starting to dig your system more each day. I am more of an old school pen n paper guy... THANKS FOR POSTING. Then I guess you looked into the game in detail, would be interesting to hear what your take is on the game and what sets it apart from previous games; facts that you could use to adjust the projection - remember that my line is a pure retrospective stats line giving equal weight to last 6 / last 12 / season. Team news, new lineups and tanking/extra motivation is never incorporated but have to be capped to adjust the line. That's why I wouldn't trust it very much on games like charlotte and philadelphia last night where tanking / fighting for a play off spot are factors very much in play and hard to quantify. View Post \| View Thread	Bermax	192	April 02, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA line making model. Will post interesting/strange lines. in NBA Betting Phoenix Suns 92.8 17.1 202.7 Golden State Warriors 109.9 -17.1 Phoenix Suns 98.5 12.5 209.0 Golden State Warriors 110.5 -12.5 View Post \| View Thread	Bermax	192	April 02, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NBA line making model. Will post interesting/strange lines. in NBA Betting Houston Rockets 105.1 -3.0 207.2 Dallas Mavericks 102.1 3.0 Houston Rockets 104.0 2.5 211.5 Dallas Mavericks 107.0 -2.5 View Post \| View Thread	Bermax	192	April 02, 2015 View Post \| View Thread

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