berserker_76

And, he also wrote:

This Super Bowl 55 doesn't have the same taste for me the previous Super Bowls had. Somehow - the football fatigue created by two weeks of waiting and seeing the markets become overly popular and overly obvious with some bets made me wanna stay away from some trends and overly crunched up numbers.

This is a classic example of how an obvious trend has been so overly exposed and talked about that it makes it almost impossible to back: Brady has been a part of 9 Super Bowl's so far. And, how many points Brady's Patriots scored in those 9 first quarters? 3.   9 quarters have produced 3 points only and that happened against the Eagles in Super Bowl 52 and that was also the only time any of those 9  games had 10 or more points scored in the first quarter.

SUPER BOWL - TOM BRADY 1ST QUARTER SCORING

What do those stats tell us and are they valid for this game as well?

Ok. This is my read.

Tom Brady - being great passer and the defense reader - is always sure he can have the game directed the way he wants. He loses when he wants and wins when he wants. he also understand he can't win all the time. The last one to do it and understand the consequences later was MJ and no one else is doing that since. So, my take is that getting a bit older and understanding this Super Bowl is not like any other and this can also be his last one physically, and, knowing that he is being opposed by Football Steph Curry - kind of a Joker that can pull a TD from any piece of play - he will go and play hard from the beginning and the line also shows us that giving us TB TT at 5.5 in the first quarter. And all that after seeing the table I just drew for you above this paragraph.

So, my first pick is the Bucs Team Total Over 5.5 First Quarter"""

Do you see the similarities?  So, either you read it there too and took the same picks, or you actually are Phixer, or it is a crazy coincidence.

In any case -it is great to have you on Covers and I feel lucky we can have you here

Hey. Great job Allall.

Really.

But, I have a question. I came across a very strange -  to say the least - coincidence. 

You wrote: """

1. Brady has been 9 times in the Super Bowl first quarters. The only time his team scored was against the Eagles three Super Bowls ago. And those were the only 3 points scored in Brady's 9 first quarters combined. Why? Because he was quarterbacking the close to perfect team he could activate at any time and win or lose as he wanted to. He was in total control. I saw all those Super Bowls and I can tell you there is no one else who reads the defenses the way he does or manipulates them at his will. But, this is a new situation and he has Patrick Mahomes opposing him - the other new "Brady" that can win or lose at his will. Therefore Brady won't take chances here. He will be at full gear from the first snap.

2. Mahomes  - the new "Brady" is quarterbacking the "new New England Patriots". Same mentality. See the above.

3. See the two above.

4. See above.

5. The line tells it all. It asks for under.

6. Reid wants to erase Belichicks legacy. Brady wants to prove he is the only cause the Pats won 6 Super Bowls in last 20 years. The goals of both are matching. What is losing one Super Bowl for Reid if he can prove with that the only reason the Pats won was Brady. So, Reid will be the greatest coach after winning five more Super Bowls or even more with Mahomes while like Michael Tal -one of the greatest chess masters - he will sacrifice one battle to win the war. Today is the battle he will throw and Brady will gratefully grab it.

7. See 6 """

And Phixer wrote some 24 hours before you posted your picks:

"""

The thing is that while Reid is on his way to establish the dynasty to better the one of Belichick - the path of that is laying in discrediting Belichick's achievements first. And that is way more than winning one Super Bowl. If the Chiefs will lose to Brady with the Bucs - that will be an eternal proof that Belichick without Brady is just another coach that may be better than many but is totally dependent on his Super Brady.

You can argue the same will happen one day to Reid when Mahomes will leave his Chiefs... IF.

And, here we go with another argument in the favor of the narrative lead by me: Brady himself is very interested in delivering the very same message saying - it is me, Brady, who brought those Super Bowls to New England and without me - the Pats ain't worth much. The proof is in the pudding - here's my Super Bowl with the Bucs.

So, in this matchup between Brady and Reid - both parties are interested in the same outcome."""

Are you going to post the Chiefs-Bills too?

@dogball

 What is peeps?

Great job

BOL

@WrightTheBright

 Thanks a lot for sharing dear Sir

I assume from the thread title that for the next week games you'll create a new thread?

If not the Bills - the Colts wouldn't even make it here. The Bills are on a roll and obviously have an edge in every possible category. Let's go Bills

Thanks again dear Sir! Your effort is well appreciated. The gifts you're pouring all over us are very generous and I'm humbled and very grateful. 

Thanks for the most educated picks and the intriguing write ups. Thanks for the gifts. Keep on keeping 14allall41

Is 16-3 NFL good enough for you? If so - it is 14allall41

TheMK must be the real MK. 

They both had the same bet (check it yourself, now, once settled it can be seen by all at livegamestips.com) 

phixercode dot com records are correct? Can it be a 70-44-1 since the April 3rd as claimed in their get response mail? They say Scientific Betting System has been introduced? I just followed the results in the recent days and they were OK (7-2-1) but I need a bigger sample size. Can you help? Anyone  has there an accout?