Big_Hoss

I also think there’s something to be said about teams rallying in situations like this when one of their stars gets injured in this case Luck retiring and that motivating them through this like you said. Seriously considering adding Colts season wins over I think it’s at 6.5 now 

No doubt the public will overreact to the Luck news while the AFC South is open and I think Colts & Brissett can still get to 8 or 9+ wins and potentially win the division. Colts check a lot of boxes and if they play to their potential and Brissett is solid which I think he will be, and they win their division there might be some value on Frank Reich right now for coach of the year.

There’s obviously a lot of season left but Jags now too, with a top defense and upgrade at QB, should take advantage of this opportunity and make a move for receivers and could be competitive as well

This

Added

GB over 9.5 +115

and parlayed GB/TB/OAK +1000

I’m done with season totals I’ve bet like maybe one of these a year, I like these picks though.

Good luck and see y’all before Week 1

Added:

Bucs OVER 7.5 +158 1u

Bengals UNDER 5.5 +125 1u

Raiders UNDER 5.5 +115 1u

Lol yeah there’s a lot of season to win just a normal bet, had an itch when that hall of fame game was on the other night 

cant wait until i hit my 6 month anniversary on Covers when i'm finally qualified to talk sports with someone such as yourself. do i need to have 1000 posts too? is it just one or both

Aside from their impossible schedule, last years defense was 28th DVOA and dead last in pass rush and pass defense efficiency. What did they do in the offseason to address that? Should be improved, but average is their ceiling and they're playing against some top offenses this season.

Carr has potential and they picked up AB but their o-line coach, Tom Cable, has been terrible. Carr struggles under pressure and Cable has averaged 27th in the league during his 13 year tenure in the NFL (2nd in Oakland). Incognito might be a solid pick up, but also might not with all his baggage and controversy. 

Overall the roster might be better than last year but add the terrible situational spots and I don't see how anyone is buying Raiders this season. 

Best of luck if you tail.

The Oakland Raiders are playing tough divisional games at home to the Broncos & Chiefs to start their season, and then play 5 straight on the road (Vikings, Colts, Bears, Packers, Texans; all playoff caliber teams including one international game in the UK).

They don't even get to take full advantage of the bye as they lose some time traveling from London the week before, travel all the way back to Oakland of course, before going back on the road to cold ass Green Bay.

I wouldn't be surprised if this team is 0-7/1-6ish and totally checked out by mid-season and looking ahead to next years draft hoping for Trevor Lawrence. It's been established that Gruden and Carr are not fond of each other.

The Raiders have another Thursday night game on short rest to a Chargers team with Super Bowl aspirations, an early away game traveling across the country at Jets, before another road game at Kansas City on a back to back. They close the season out at Chargers and at Denver in altitude.

That's fucking brutal.

The highlight of this team's season is gonna be their season on Hard Knocks which in my opinion is just another distraction.

This could get ugly quick.

I barely see 4 wins on this schedule. Giving a half game to get plus money.

Oakland Raiders u5.5 wins +125 1u

How do you get easy?? Raiders conceivably can be 0-7 by week 9 they play the Chiefs at home and then 5 straight road games against strong teams including one in London. Brutal schedule for them this year.

And Falcons had injuries last year and their offense should thrive playing in domes most of this season they literally play just 4 games outdoors and none of them will have any clear weather advantage playing in warm weather. What’s your thinking here?

Hey bud Big Hoss here i'll probably see you around this season and want to let you know that Im far from negative just sharing my thoughts.

The game results from last year or the years before that have no impact on what's going to happen this year with a brand new Kliff & Kylar Murray led offense, and Patricia at Detroit for just the second year now, in a week one game, when everybody will be fresh and motivated to start their season strong.

It's prudent to know trends but some trends have more value than others and many of them, especially the ones you hear about most are already baked into the line by oddsmakers and a lot of other bettors know about them too which means you likely don't have the edge you think you have.

Thank you and good luck this season.

Thank you for your contribution to this forum!

Oh is this the trend where you bet against the Super Bowl losing team in week 1? I thought I was the only one who knew about that. Easy money 

^useless information with no predictive value 

(as of 7/8)

1. Clippers (top defense, they can score/have shooters, organization/culture/mgmt, coaching, added Kawhi and PG ) 

2. Lakers (can't count LeBron & AD out if they're healthy)

3. 76ers (could represent the East in the NBA Finals) 

4. Rockets (if they figure their shit out this team can ball)

5. Bucks (could represent the East in the NBA Finals)

6. Warriors (if Klay comes back in time their core 3 is proven, tough out for anyone in the playoffs)

7. Jazz (trendy underdog, wouldn't be shocked to see them in the West conference final)

8. Nuggets (not sold they can beat out the teams above in a best of seven)

9. Celtics (no Kyrie should help team chemistry, Kemba can ball, maybe a sleeper?)

10. Pacers (trendy underdog, Oladipo back should be back, wouldn't be shocked to see them in the East conference final)

Kawhi wanted to sign with the Clippers the whole time he just wanted a teammate and they closed one. Toronto was his fall back plan. Lakers never had a chance. That is all

Kawhi and PG WOW

I wouldnt count LeBron out with AD they can still get some guys and compete with anyone but I wouldn’t bet on them winning at current odds either. If you like them surely will be better opportunities throughout the year

^this