cj380

@cj380

 nevermind, it works now. 

LAK/TB U6.5 -130

NYI ml -121

VAN/NYI U6.5 +105

ANA ml +195

CBJ ml +211

STL ml +163

Fav play: OTT ml +113

anyone else have a problem with making a post in the NHL forum where it says" Post text is empty? 

I have no idea what it means, but it will not let me post

NHL Picks 01/02/2024 King of Covers 2024 NHL contest: +791 units

Coming off a Senators moneyline loss a couple days ago.. which quite frankly, was done before it started lol.

These are all going to be smaller plays, and would probably be best put in a round robin together:

Flames moneyline +100:

While both teams are looking good at the moment, I think the Flames are starting to look a lot more competitive than their early season suggested. The Flames started off the road trip the right way, and I think the momentum will carry into this one. At glance, it definitely seems like a toss up, but I personally like what I see from Calgary a little bit more coming into this one. I know..not much of an analysis, but that's what I'm going with.

Blues moneyline +130:

I certainly don't want to look like a fool fading Vancouver again, but I think there are a couple things in favor of the Blues. First off is the motivation of wanting take revenge on their earlier season blowout loss to the Canucks. Second, the motivation in getting the first win of the New Year combined with the fact that they should've well rested and well prepared after having 5 days off. Vancouver is also flying two time zones eastward, which has been known to be a thing in sports where a mini jet lag can occur if travel is made on the previous day. I just think the Blue will have one of their more complete games in a situation like today.

Panthers moneyline -120:

An odd spot for Florida to be favored, but I truly think the post Winter Classic syndrome is something that may be in effect tonight. Not to mention, Florida has been in incredible rhythm for most of the season so far, and it is usually a good bet more often than not to be on their side...even against the very Cup Champions that they lost to. 

Senators moneyline +110:

See above. Again, Seattle would likely be favored by a bit more under the same circumstances outside of having just played in the Winter Classic. I feel as though books have considered that. You would also think Ottawa puts up a much better performance after that horrific start against the Canucks a couple nights ago. 

Red Wings moneyline +150:

By no means was this a comfortable take, as it is still a longshot. However, Detroit should be getting closer to fully coming out of their slump, and they have been settled in the West Coast for a few days now. The Kings, despite being an elite contender, appear to be in the worst rhythm they have been all season so far. LA is on a 3 game losing streak for the first time this season, and possibly counting. This is a good chance for the Red Wings to take advantage of a team that is in a temporary slump, and the value is definitely there tonight 

King of Covers NHL 2024: +1291 units season-to-date

Senators/Canucks:

We have a matchup between two teams that were heading in opposite directions during most of December. 

The Ottawa Senators have been disappointing this season, and the past month highlighted their inability to find any winning rhythm on the 23-24 campaign. However, they were able to finish 2023 strong, winning 3 of their last 4 games and scoring 16 goals in the stretch. Something had to finally give for Ottawa, as their rhythm looks to be a bit more positive coming into the New Year. I am not going to get into exact stats, but it was a good sign to see depth scoring in most of the blowout against Buffalo on New Year's Eve. 

While I am well aware that defense and goaltending have not exactly proven to be solved yet by the Sens, I do feel that coming out to the not-as-familiar West to begin a road trip against a team with quite a few dangerous offensive weapons will be the type of game Ottawa comes extra prepared for. Expect the defense to be a point of focus, and tonight's situation might be the perfect storm for the Senators. 

The Vancouver Canucks have been performing against all odds all season long so far, and many people are still anticipating a drop-off that seems to be long overdue. I think we just need to admit that the Canucks are actually a good team this year. However, the most recent 3-0 loss at home against the Flyers was probably the first time in over a month that the Canucks actually had a true letdown game. If that loss was any indication of an inevitable slump, then we can expect things to be less than optimal for at least a temporary stint.

My take is that the Senators might be finding groove just as the Canucks might have fallen out of theirs. Of course, this is just what I like to think is a mindful guess, but I think we can assume at the very least that there are a lot of reasons for Ottawa to play well in all departments and build off the last game. If the defensive focus is effective along with the 3rd and 4th line staying motivated, and the top guys like stutzle, Tkachuk, and Norris etc all just keep generating scoring... Ottawa should have a good chance at this one, and the value is definitely worth a shot tonight. 

Senators moneyline +131 

On a rare case where the Blue Jackets are not heavy underdogs, I feel that a few factors come into play. First off, CBJ clearly has the respect of oddsmakers and bettors after the 9 goal performance in Buffalo a couple nights ago. Second, Washington is likely not coming into this one under favorable circumstances after a tiring game and travel from yesterday night’s win.

With CBJ looking better lately, as well as a few of their players getting into rhythm, I think this is a good spot for Columbus to carry momentum over.

Obviously the value is never going to be fantastic when you’re betting below plus money on a team with a bad record, but I think it’s worth a play with the given situation.

NHL covers contest units ytd: +$2383

Jackets moneyline -110

On a rare case where the Blue Jackets are not heavy underdogs, I feel that a few factors come into play. First off, CBJ clearly has the respect of oddsmakers and bettors after the 9 goal performance in Buffalo a couple nights ago. Second, Washington is likely not coming into this one under favorable circumstances after a tiring game and travel from yesterday night’s win.

With CBJ looking better lately, as well as a few of their players getting into rhythm, I think this is a good spot for Columbus to carry momentum over.

Obviously the value is never going to be fantastic when you’re betting below plus money on a team with a bad record, but I think it’s worth a play with the given situation.

NHL covers contest units ytd: +$2383

Jackets moneyline -110

@BIGDTITLE

 terribly inflated imo. I think this is mainly because Carolina has very high advanced stat numbers (CORSI/ FENWICK etc) while detroit ranks near the bottom in those stats. I get it, but it means little to me, as the Red Wings have been effective with their style. Also, the fact that Larkin is still out also further more inflates the Carolina line. If anything, I think Detroit is a decent value play

@thehuntman

 I have the jackets on a round robin. By no means am I saying that this isn't a long shot, but I'm thinking along the same lines as you here. The value is great, and Toronto is known to have let down follow ups like that. Not to mention the overvalue being created by the fact that the Leafs have high volume betting potential as well as their recent impressive win against New York. Factor all that with CBJ looking like they are starting to budge a little, and you have a good stage for CBJ to put up a fight 

@Gainsford

 I like it. I think both sides tighten up for a full 60 after the back and forth on Saturday

@Digitalkarma

 agree. I think Jaguars winning so much has overvalued them a bit, and I know many don't have faith in the Bengals QB situation. I know this sounds insane, but it wouldn't fully surprise me to see the Bengals somehow win this game outright lol

Sabres ml 

oilers ml

wild ml

vgk ml 

Sabres ml 

oilers ml

wild ml

vgk ml 

@badlands

 Liking this a lot. I was at the THanksgiving Seahawks game and they definitely are gonna improve on a few things tonight..Plus seeing everyone on the cowboys to win by at least ten leads me to believe that the oddsmakers are too sharp to let so many ppl have this one so easily in an isolation game. We will see though I guess

@Yanasaur

 I like it. A decent amount of cushion and Boston doesn't play a style that necessarily needs to blow teams out

@thehuntman

 I kinda like the Ducks play. I feel like they are on the verge of budging to get out of this losing streak, and Washington has been a little off rhythm in California on offense so far despite sneaking out that win yesterday. 

Stars/Hurricanes:

Today, the Dallas Stars and Carolina Hurricanes will get their season series out of the way, as they face off in Raleigh for the final meeting this season. There are a few interesting things about this matchup. 

The Hurricanes are among the top in the league in CORSI stats. They rank 2nd best in most shots for (36.5) and third best in fewest shots against (29.2). Something worth nothing is that they are also the absolute worse team on the Powerplay, at just a 12.2% conversion rate, and Dallas is the number one powerplay team in hockey. Fortunately for Carolina though, they are the least penalized team in hockey..averaging just 4.8 minutes of penalties per game.

The Stars are neither here nor there right now. They sit slightly above .500 with a 9-7 record so far this season, and have yet to see overtime. With a 7-8 OVER/UNDER standing, it is clear that this team is still in an identity transition under coach Ken Hitchcock. It is also evident, however, that their defense has vastly improved. The only thing they need to strive for from here on out is consistency. Hitchcock stressed the importance of winning road games in his last interview, and they will have to do so under his style; which is a physical and responsible game. 

Carolina Head Coach Bill Peters has made it clear that falling behind 4-0 early in their previous meeting is something that is still fresh in the memories of the players. Expect a better effort this time around, and a much tighter game.

UNDER 5.5  -120   2*

Wild/Maple Leafs:

Tonight with have a rare interconference matchup between the Minnesota Wild and Toronto Maple Leafs, in which Minny has won seven straight encounters. Any hockey follower knows however, that the Maple Leafs have transformed drastically over the past couple of seasons, and have turned into a very offensive stacked hockey club.

Both of these teams went over in each of their first five starts to the season, and both operated on a very high tempo start to the 2017-18 season..for better or worse. In their past couple weeks however, we have seen a combination of a step up in defense or a decline in offense with both of these squads. To make matters worse, Auston Matthews will not be playing tonight for the Leafs. Normally, I do not like to put too much stock into injury influence, but in this case, Matthews is really the spark plug of that Leafs first line. Morning skates today indicate that Patrick Marleau will likely be centering Zach Hyman and James Van Riemsdyk on the top line, so I see a bit of a chemistry setback here. Babcock will also have his boys play back a bit more after blowing a two goal lead against Vegas two nights ago.

While Toronto still has a persistent offense, the Wild have been in much better defensive form, as only 3 of their last 8 games have gone OVER the total. Coming off a 5-3 loss in Boston, Minnesota will be wary of Toronto's offense today..despite the absence of their superstar. Minnesota will have to rely on a defensive game, as they too are also without key players, and really do not have much scoring depth outside of the top two lines. Look for the Ryan Suter and Jared Spurgeon top pairing to be the main factor and focus in the Wild's success today, as they contain the top lines of Toronto while Minnesota's forwards take a defensive but opportunistic approach.

UNDER 6 -115 3