CK19

CK19
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replied to 1 wager & betting info on all games!
in College Basketball
The 8pm wager was:
Mississippi +8.5(-110) 11u to win 10u… The jig is up on Tennessee. They have now lost home games to NC St & Texas A&M followed by a 26pt loss to Florida in their last game. The Vols are just an outright atrocious shooting team (They went 1 for 19 from 3pt range vs Florida). For a team that lacks so much talent on offense it’s no surprise that the Vols are just a 5-5su team vs top 100 teams this year. Mississippi is on a very nice 4 game run at the moment. Tennessee rates #267 in 3pt% defense and IMO that’s the difference in this game as Ole Miss will fire at will from behind the arc…

The 9pm wager was:
Arizona -6(-110) 11u to win 10u… Michigan kept it close vs Arizona with good 3pt shooters, UCLA kept it close with Arizona because they were able to push the tempo and get to the FT line 26 times. Both Michigan & UCLA handled their business vs Stanford as Mich beat them by 3 & UCLA ran Stanford off the court beating them by 17. The next closest game to those standards for Stanford seen them lose by 21 to Pittsburgh who’s tempo is nearly identical (#263) to Arizona’s (#261). Good luck here Stanford but even though you’re at home the theme reeks of being overmatched in the talent department in almost evert facet of the game, especially since Stanford seems to be a team caught in the middle of the tempo chart at #102. That pretty much signifies a team that doesn’t know their identity. And I didn;t even mention the home losses by 9 to BYU & 7 to Cali. Well now I did…
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CK19 13
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replied to 1 wager & betting info on all games!
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I won't be around to post the 8pm & 9pm (Playing ball with my kid) wagers that I made right before tip off. I'll have to get them posted after they have tipped just so some of you can at least track. Best of luck...
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CK19 13
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replied to 1 wager & betting info on all games!
in College Basketball
The 7pm wager was on:

George Washington -6(-110) 11u to win 10u… Lots of Revenge at home for GW in this one to be had. GW has now lost their last 5 games vs LaSalle. But lets be honest here as 4 of those games were with Ramon Galloway. LaSalle road on the back of that man for 2 years and got 3 NCAA tourney wins because of it. LaSalle’s 4 road losses this year have come by margin’s of defeat of 7, 21, 13 & most recently a 15pt loss to St Bonaventure. So LaSalle has already lost 3 games this year by DD fashion on the road (4 when you include their 15pt loss to Northern Iowa on a neutral court). The previous 2 years with Galloway LaSalle lost just 2 games on in regular season play by double digits (60 games). This year already 3 in just 19 games. Pure reason to think that LaSalle is not the same team without Galloway and prime reason for me to believe that George Washington who is a much improved team this year to coast to victory tonight at home with lots of revenge on their minds...

Iv'e seen GW play on multiple occasions this year, and I'm iv'e been impressed to say the least just about every time Iv'e watched them play. Really think they get some sweet revenge tonight...



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CK19 13
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replied to 1 wager & betting info on all games!
in College Basketball
I'll post the wagers at tip off. Thanks for the compliments...
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CK19 13
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replied to 1 wager & betting info on all games!
in College Basketball
Quote Originally Posted by greecd89:

Any shot u can post the info on here. I respect your insight. Big time!!!!
Here's the leans w/o the 3 wagers I made:

Leans:
*Dayton -4.5…
*VCU -19.5… Maybe just maybe VCU has found some offense. Key word “Maybe!”
**Umass +1.5… I don’t think St Bonaventure will get their revenge vs Umass.
*Va Tech +6…
*Ga Tech +5…
*Temple -5.5…
**Ohio St -12…
**Drexel -3.5…
*Delaware +3.5…
*Georgia -6…
**Illinois-Chicago +8…
**Toledo -3.5…
*Bowling Green +7…
*Ohio -14…
**Ball St +14…
*Western Mich +4.5…
*Memphis -8…
*Kent St -11…
**South Carolina -2…
*James Madison +6…
**Green Bay -2… This one was hard to pass on. Sykes is a phenomenal PG and he is surrounded by some very good players including some great size with 7’2’' Alec Brown….
*Evansville +11.5…
*Southern Illinois +4…
*Drake -2.5…
*Bradley -1.5…
*Richmond +9…
*Miami(fl) +5…
**Wake Forest +9…
**Florida St -2.5… 
*Iowa St +8.5…
**Wisconsin 1H -10… I’m not a big fan of Wisconsin vs good teams but my god how can I ignore this? Wisconsin’s margin of victory vs teams outside the top 100 this year: 18, 24, 9, 26, 25, 37, 27 & 14… That’s an average of 22.5 margin of victory per game. Northwestern is already 2-9su vs top 100 teams this year and 0-8su vs top 50 teams this year. That includes a 27pt loss to Wisconsin in Illinois on Northwestern’s home floor. A game in which Wisconsin was up 40-14 at halftime. Wisconsin has a real game in Saturday at home vs Ohio St so I’ll be on the 1H instead of the full game just to try an avoid any possible garbage backdoor from happening in such a heavily chalked game. Northwestern only outscored their opponents 5 times out of a possible 32 10min segments when you break down the games vs the top 50 into 4 quarters. That’s a rate of scoring more than the other team at just 16%. There is a reason this game is so heavily chalked. And then the chalk just scared me away when it was time to actually make the wager...
*Boise St/Air Force over 142.5… What defense?
*Butler +5.5… Both teams are complete fails this year. Hard to grasp a strong lean here besides taking the points…
**Morehead St +1 & over 152.5… Rebounding & size all point to Morehead St. Oh yeah wait a minute Belmont is the team that took down UNC in Chapel Hill, NC. Well so much for betting against that team. It’s all hinged on Belmont making the 3 ball or not. Could easily be a back and forth game of trading deuces for 3’s. Also lean over….
*San Jose St +8.5…
*Colorado St +3…
**Wyoming +2… Wyoming is 62 for 74(84%) from the FT line & 71 for 120(59%) from 2pt% in their last 4 games. 2 of those games were on the road and 2 were at home. Fresno is currently 1-10su in their last 11 D1 games including playing 3 overtimes in their last 2 games. Hard to see Fresno having enough in the tank for this game with almost everything they do coming up on the losing end. But I’m well aware of that #11 sos rating for Fresno and that’s what kept me from taking only 2pts. Thought about maybe teasing Wyoming +5 with say Arizona St +11. But then I said to myself that’s not how I like to do things...
*Portland +5.5…
*Gonzaga -11…
**Arizona St +6… Both of these teams have huge game son Saturday. Cal plays Arizona at home on Saturday & Arizona St plays Stanford on Saturday. But every game for both team at this point is so very important. Each win and each loss in a conference such as this will be dissected like no other. So now that I understand how important each game is within big conferences I can now move to the teams individually. I really like Arizona catching this many points vs a team like California mostly because I feel both teams to be overrated. But I just can’t seem to find enough to support an actual wager...
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CK19 13
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replied to 1 wager & betting info on all games!
in College Basketball
I have more info like this along with 3 wagers released for tonight now at OddsbusterSports.com. Best of luck and thanks for all the support of my hard work. Congrats if you played Missouri +6.5 with me...

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CK19 13
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replied to 1 wager & betting info on all games!
in College Basketball
Quote Originally Posted by Frank the Bank:

gL
Thank you. GL to you as well...
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CK19 13
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created a topic 1 wager & betting info on all games!
in College Basketball
Wager:
Missouri +6.5(-110) 11u to win 10u…


Leans:
***Missouri +6.5… Experience. Arkansas starts 1 freshman & 1 sophomore yet only has had a senior play more than 30 minutes in a game just 2 times all season long. Moving to the bench Arkansas’s bench is also young as 3 of the 4 top production players coming off the bench are either sophomore or freshman. It’s the experience of Missouri’s backcourt between Clarkson, Brown & Ross that have me excited for this wager as all 3 go 1, 2, 3 in scoring as they are all excellent shooters (Nobody less than 53% from 2pt% & nobody less than 76% from FT%). All 3 players stand 6’5’’ and play extensive minutes. These 3 players have gotten to the FT stripe a combined 334 times this year making 261 on those free throws (78%). Arkansas ranks 10th in 3pt% defense inside the SEC and DEAD LAST in personal fouls per game in the SEC (#278 overall at 21.1fpg). Absolutely dreadful numbers IMO when playing teams with solid backcourts with good shooters who look to drive the lane 1st and shoot 2nd. An experienced backcourt here should give Arkansas fits all night….
**Baylor -5.5… West Virginia has beating only 1 team inside the top 100 this year (Texas Tech #90). Baylor may finally feel like they have a comfortable matchup tonight though vs the undersized West Virginia squad. So not only does West Virginia have the down right horrible loss to #181 Va Tech on their resume they also are 0-3su & 0-3ats vs teams in the top 100 in 2 columns (offensive rebounding & Defense). Those losses were to Purdue, Texas & Kansas St as 2 of which were on West Virginia’s home floor. The one road game was vs Kansas St who’s offense is pretty bad at #261 in 3pt% & #188 in 2pt% as Kansas St pounded West Virginia by 22pts. Those 3 teams went 62 for 121(51.2%) from 2pt% vs West Virginia and grabbed a total of 126 rebounds. So that’s an average of 51.2% from 2pt% when the nations average is 48.5%, and an average of 42 rebounds per game when the nations average is 34.8. Of those 3 molded teams I mentioned Baylor has by far the best offense at #48 overall and by far the best off reb% at #4. I mean when this ball tips off, who is going to box out players like 6’9’’ Cory Jefferson & 7’1’’ Isaiah Austin? The only starter in West Virginia’s lineup that stands taller than 6’4’’ is a freshman who is 6’9’’ and has good size but he’s only played 19.75 minutes per game in the last 4 and only played more than 30 minutes in 4 out of a possible 20 games this year. Baylor beat this West Virginia team both times last year (once at home by 20 and then on the road by 3). Hard to see that model changing any unless West Virginia goes crazy from 3pt% tonight. SAD TO SAY MY 2ND LOOK HAD ME PASS ON THE CHALK HERE…:(
**Iowa -6… One thing I learned just recently from MSU is that when given the chance Gary Harris is a baller. But the rest of his team w/o Payne & Dawson? Well that’s a different story. Iowa is crazy deep and has size and can shoot, not to mention push tempo when needed. I’m sure a lot of people will be gladly willing to lay the points here just because MSU is injury riddled…
*South Florida +7.5… It’s still up in the air how good SMU actually is. Their 5 games vs the toughest opponents have resulted in a 1-4su record this far & they have Memphis on deck this Saturday…
*Wichita St -19.5… Congratulations if you’ve been blindly betting this team laying what ever up to this point. You’re cashing 82% of your bets on them. If you don’t think such sort of results have pushed the juice and chalk to a peak level now then you don’t understand market value. What’s going to be interesting is how the Shockers fair in their remaining 10 games 8 of those 10 games should be heavy chalk including being favored in every one of those games. Their 3 toughest games this year were vs BYU, Tenn & Alabama. I truly believe Wichita St is a good team but not a great team as come tourney time they will miss the ball handling and scoring ability of Malcolm Armstead who scored 60pts in 4 NCAA tourney wins last season. 
**Texas Tech +9 & ML(+380)…. Texas Tech is going to have a strong shot at winning this game. They have only lost 1 game in conference play by more than this number and that was vs the #11 tempo of Iowa St and their super offense of #28. Only 3 teams in B12 with tempo’s in the #300’s (Baylor, Texas Tech & Kansas St). Texas Tech beat Baylor already by 10pts as their 7 footer played a season high 38 minutes scoring a season high 14pts, and dishing off a season high 6 assists. Hopefully Tubby Smith seen that and reacts correctly by paling him some heavy minutes tonight. But I don’t wager on hope as Dejan Kravic (The played I’m speaking of) has only played combined 36 minutes in the last 2 games which both resulted in losses to West Virginia & Oklahoma. Texas Tech is 3-0 when Kravic plays more than 30 minutes in a game this year. If you can guarantee me that than Tech will have a solid chance. But you can’t guarantee me that, so I have to pass…
**Cleveland St -8.5… You give me Sebastian Douglas back tonight and the Vikings cover this road number easily vs the lowly EIU Panthers. But they may cover it even w/o him with was as well. That’s how bad EIU is. EIU has lost at home by 8 or more 3 times this year as 2 of those games were vs teams rated #166 & #126. Cleveland St is a very sound basketball team that plays good defense at #73 that doesn’t need to force the tempo to create success. Cleveland St has Detroit on Fri though. REALLY WANTED TO MAKE THIS WAGER AS WELL BUT PASSED!
*Notre Dame +3.5… When your only win in the last 5 games at the moment is Va Tech at home it becomes hard for me to think about wagering on you. That said UVa is 1-3su in their last 3 road games & Notre Dame is not a complete chump (At lest not to my knowledge just yet)…
**Creighton -12.5… You pull up a matchup report sheet and see that St John’s is #196 in 3pt% defense. STOP RIGHT THERE. What else do you really need to read…
**Kentucky -3.5… Liked them last night at -2. And to no shod the whole world likes them as well. Probably going to be the most popular bet on the board tonight. But I’m not into lots of freshman and road chalk inside a tough conference…
*Utah St -3… Same as above. Liked then at -1 last night but betting market has loathed up in this one as well as it’s now up to -3. Betting value is now gone as New Mexico is not a team to take lightly by any measure...
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CK19 13
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replied to No wagers tonight. But here's my leans/info...
in College Basketball
Wagers:
None

Leans:
*Duke +4… Pitt’s 1st of 2 games this year to be played vs a top 10 team. Duke has already played against 2 top 10 teams (Ari & Mich). 
**Charleston +4… Don’t forget this William & Mary squad is the same squad that lost by 37pts to West Virginia & 17pts to Hofstra & Wichita St. W&M is 5-1-1 as a road dog this year, but at home they have only been favored by more than -1 just 2 times this year. Can’t play though because Charleston can’t defend the 3 ball which is where W&M will look to score…
**Towson -10… Feed the ball to Jerrelle Benimon and look out. But -10pts, I don’t know about all that. But then I realize that Hofstra has not covered in 2 of their last 3 when catching +9.5 or more. Hofstra looked absolutely like garbage though in the 2H of their last game vs Northeastern a game in which they let the Huskies get score better than 1.23 points per possession. That’s scary!!!
*Norfolk St +2.5…
**Villanova -5.5… Syracuse proved that solid defense and slow tempo could be rewarded vs Nova & Creighton proved that light’s out shooting can beat anyone at anytime as they did vs Nova. As much as Georgetown’s defense can be respected, they have now lost 4 games in a row, 3 of which were by double digits in regulation time, including 2 at home to Seton Hall & Marquette. If this doesn’t set the record straight then I don’t know what will. Nova can get you from inside and beyond the 3 point line with just about every player on their squad, not to mention defend the 2pt% shot like no other (#8). That’s were most of Georgetown’s points come from  (#96 in 2pt scoring distribution). Nova’s 2 losses seen teams shoot 28 for 48 from 3 point land. Nova won this game on the road last year forcing 27 fouls as Pinskton was nearly an unstoppable force in the paint. Nova brings back pretty much the same team from last year and IMO a much better team…
*Oklahoma +4… Both teams won their home court match ups last season vs each other. Okie St can’t have Marcus Smart be a no show in this game and expect to win like they did the last game…
*Lafayette -2.5… Someone thinks so. Was a pk em last night and now is a -2.5. Maybe dig around and see what you can find as to why it may have moved so much…
*Texas Southern -12.5…
**Portland St over 151… Portland St has played just 1 team inside the top 100 in tempo. That game seen 168 points scored vs Portland. Portland was the #96 tempo and had the #138 overall defense. EWU is the #14 tempo and holds the #280 rated overall defense. If this isn’t excellent news than I’m missing something because it turns out that Portland St’s defense is rated #328. It’s no shock that 2 teams that don’t play much defense are both losers vs the spread at 5-9-1ats(EWU) and 5-8ats(Portland St), yet both teams favor the over at 8-6(EWU) & 6-5(Portland St). Last game between these 2 seen 169 points scored in regulation...

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CK19 2
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created a topic No wagers tonight. But here's my leans/info...
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CK19 2
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replied to Fridays are square days
in NBA Betting
Quote Originally Posted by TsikenBreast:

Ball is definitely square today. 
Tell that to the Nets -2 bettors who blindly tailed a 8-1su & 8-1ats streak...
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TsikenBreast 18
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created a topic Thank you Monta Ellis!
in NBA Betting
Dallas +2!
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CK19 8
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replied to Dallas at Brooklyn (01/24/2014)
in Pro Basketball
Thank you Monta Ellis! Dallas +2
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Covers 7
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replied to Dallas at Brooklyn (01/24/2014)
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All 3 people that commented in this thread pretty mud justify the theory of people just reacting as usual.
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Covers 7
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replied to Dallas at Brooklyn (01/24/2014)
in Pro Basketball
Slackers bet the Nets tonight just because they seen an 8-1su & 8-1ats run going, with little to no info as to why or how it happened. All those tickets are about to be saved just because Teletovic went crazy in the 2Q... #Slappies
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Covers 7
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replied to Leans for all games tonight + 4 wagers I made early this morning...
in College Basketball
Elon was a debacle wager tonight. 2-1 so far. Close this out Stanford...
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CK19 5
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replied to Why is Elon favored over Chattanooga?
in College Basketball
Quote Originally Posted by Wizerguy:

huge SOS advantage Elon
Yep, Chattanooga has played an overall sos rating of #344 yet still only rate #309 at defending the 2pt shot % wise. Chattanooga will have just 2 players that stand taller than 6'5'' for tonight's game (6'6'' Z. Mason & 6'7" Lance Stokes). So who will check 6'10" Lucas Troutman who is a very good post offensive player at 16.2ppg (He's only attempted one 3pt shot this year). Too much size and offense form Elon IMO for Chattanooga to handle. I took Elon -2 and feel very confident about it. Well at least feel confident about it right now. We shall see how my feelings are after the game...
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getem474 16
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replied to Leans for all games tonight + 4 wagers I made early this morning...
in College Basketball
FYI: I'm 33-27ats L15 days = 55% 
FYI: I'm 2-6ats the L3 days though...

Make your own decisions but never make an uneducated wager!
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CK19 5
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replied to Leans for all games tonight + 4 wagers I made early this morning...
in College Basketball
**Morehead St +8…
*Eastern Kentucky -8…
*Greensboro +4…
*Jacksonville St +3…
*Sacramento St +8.5…
*Southeastern Missouri -10…
*Western Illinois -2.5… 
*Tennessee Tech +8…
***Georgia St pk… Georgia St is on a 9 game tear right now with numbers of the following: 170 for 300 from 2pt range =  57% & 170 for 211 from FT stripe = 81% and only 68 turnovers in those 9 games = 7.55 pr game (That’s number #1 in the nation at protecting the ball). ULL’s 2pt% defense is #303 in the nation…. The Rajin’ Cajuns are in deep trouble IMO...
*Cincinnati -15…
*Texas-Arlington -7…
*Colorado +14.5…
*Tulsa -5…
**Utah +5… Find me another player that stands 6’5’’ or less that averages 72% or better from 2pt% with at least 100 attempts (Delon Wright of Utah = 89 for 124 from 2pt range). I’ll wait…. The amazing part of this is that he does this on a team with a tempo of just #275 which means he’s not getting lots of easy layups in transition (which in my opinion tells me the kid has talent that should be looked at by many NBA scouts). Oh yeah if you’re still looking, the closest you’ll find to his 89 for 124 = 72% from 2pt range at 6’5’’ or less is Zikiteran Woodley who stands 6’2’’ and is 84 for 125 = 67% from 2pt range. Only difference is Woodley plays for Northwestern St who runs the fasted tempo in the nation at #1 and plays in the Southland conference which is full of weak opponents for him to get easy layups vs in transition with that #1 tempo. So again I’d say Delon Wright has absolute talent and will be playing in the NBA soon enough one day if he continues this unreal skill set along with patience. Here’s a great article to read on him https://www.sltrib.com/sltrib/sports/57323208-77/wright-delon-utah-dorell.html.csp
*Northern Colorado -7.5…
**Eastern Washington -18… Southern Utah did show a will to keep close vs the last fast paced tempo only losing by 4 pts to #38 temp of North Dakota. EWU tempo = #21. So maybe Southern Utah is able to find some windows vs the faster teams that they can’t vs the slower teams that don’t push the tempo. This leads me to passing on laying the points...
**Montana pk… 
*Weber St -9…
*San Diego +18.5…
**Portland +5…
**Loyola Marymount +7…
*Pepperdine +11…
*Northridge +13…
**Riverside/Santa Barbara under 137… Talent favors Santa Barbara here. No question about it. But the 1 thing that Riverside does well is defend the 2pr% shot. I could see tho game staying under the total with so much struggle coming from Riverside’s offense at #307 overall, #329 3pt% & #290 2pt% with a point distribution rank of #48 of points scored from 2pt%. Earth to bettors that Santa Barbara is #17 on defense vs the 2pt% shot. So Santa Barbara should control this game with their #283 tempo while Riverside’s only chance will be to play that defense. 137 is just too high IMO. But I’m scared still. So I’ll pass. But I was so very tempted here...
*Poly -2.5…
*Davis +8…
**Oregon -2… Washington won it’s last 2 home games vs Utah & Colorado and that is keeping me away from making the wage here...
***Stanford +6… Loving the fact that Sanford is #13 from 3pt%, #52 from 2pt% on offense while being #71 from 2pt points scored distribution. That tells me that they look to score from inside the arc many times which in terms translates in my head to being disciplined on offense and not just jacking up 3pt shots. Of course 6’10’' Dwight Powell helps this situation out tremendously. Stanford runs very deep in talent and size & speed/tempo has gotten as well as playing a weak non-conference schedule of #254 has put UCLA into the realm of having lots of wins vs weaker teams. UCLA is actually just 1-2su vs top 50 teams including a home loss to Arizona and a 17pt loss to Duke at Madison Square Garden. Stanford’s 2pt% defense is much better than UCLA’s at #36 vs #153. Gimmie those points and a small shot on the ML as well...
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CK19 5
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created a topic Leans for all games tonight + 4 wagers I made early this morning...
in College Basketball
Wagers:
Elon -2(-110) 11u to win 10u…
Georgia St pk(-110) 11u to win 10u…
Utah +5(-110) 11u to win 10u…
Stanford +6(-110) 12.1u to win 11u & ML(+220) 1u to win 2.2u...




Leans:
*Seton Hall +4.5…
**Youngstown St -4… Kendrick Perry is a very talented guard and can get in the paint almost at will, especially vs weaker teams. Valpo = 0-5su vs teams in the top #150 so far this season. Their most recent lost was to Wright St 45-62 on their home court. The Penguins are currently #139. Last year these 2 teams split the match ups as both home teams won. Valpo had seniors Van Wijk, Broekhoff, Bogan, Kenney, Buggs & Boggs score 103pts of a possible 141pts. That’s 73% of the points scored from last seasons match up now long gone. Valpo was a 26 win team last season and no longer are in that same level of play as they lost all their starters as coach Bryce Drew is trying to speed things up to compensate for all that lost talent. Bryce Drew’s tempo since taking over at Valpo goes as follows #265 = 2012, #186 = 2013 & #181 = 2014. Love Youngstown St at home tonight in a big conference game. But I’m going to pass after 2nd thought’s...
*Old Dominion +5…
*Tulane +8… ECU plays no defense at #327 overall leaving many doors of possibility open for Tulane to cover this number...
**Ohio St -11… DMX said "Ay yo I'm slippin' I'm fallin' I can't get up, Ay yo I'm slippin' I'm fallin' I gots to get up, Get me back on my feet so I can tear shit up!” That’s exactly what Ohio St is doing right now. But do they get up enough to cover -11 tonight? Great question… Illinois has their own issues, especially on offense, but defensively they can hang. If I wagered on this game it would be the under at anything 125 or higher. 130 or higher would be a dream number that probably won’t be able to be found...
*Kent St -5…
*Florida -5…
*Western Carolina +2.5…
**Appalachian St -1.5… App St beat Georgia Southern w/o their best player and senior leader by 13pts. Citadel has lost 16 of their last 17 D1 games. Well hello value! But hello discipline!!!
*Wofford +1…
**Elon -2… Not enough size to check 6’10’’ Troutman in the post from Chattanooga. Nor does Chattanooga posses enough offense (#231 3pt% & #217 2pt%) to keep up. Beumont is a 6’7’’ slasher (53 for 117 2pt%) and Koch is a 6’8’’ deadly shooter (44 for 101 from 3) and Elon’s PD Hamilton has 16 assists to just 4 turnovers in the last 4 games. Chattanooga is in deep trouble in this game IMO...
*St Peters +4…
**Monmouth -3… Fairfield holds the worst offensive rating in the MAAC at #340. So a fade at a mild price is always going to get a first glance look from me when their on the road. That said Monmouth has their own offensive issues at #272. Fairfield is actually rated the #2 in defense in the MAAC and defense can always help balance a bad offense...
**Charlotte +12.5… So far La Tech w/o Appleby = 2-1su. The 2 wins came vs #260 & #281. The lone loss came vs #52. Hmmmm. So maybe just maybe he’s pretty important in bigger games seeing as that loss to #52 was a 9pt loss to Southern Miss. But Charlotte hasn’t seen a top 50 tempo all season and La Tech is a super deep team. This 12.5 could be the trap of the night as the betting market now is very aware of Appleby’s injury...
**Memphis -13.5… I fully expect the current #117 rating from Houston to be their peak point of this season with games left going vs Memphis, SMU, UConn, Rutgers, Louisville, Temple, Cincy, SMU, UCF, Memphis, Temple, South Florida & UCF. Maybe 3 or 4 wins in their at best. 3 of Houston’s 5 losses to top 100 teams this year have come by way of double digit loss margins. Memphis is very talented on both sides of the ball and very fast at #45 tempo. Memphis is 6-12ats the last 2 years as double digit favs, so in terms of law of averages tho game presents a solid spot at taking a step bcd in the direction of the 50% tile. Passing after 2nd thought’s. Trying to make less wagers in relation to that discipline thing to get this thing going...
*North Texas +2.5…
**Ball St +7… sos’s here has led to a number such as this IMO. Ball St’s sos = #42 & Buffalo sos = #232...
*Rice -1…
*Little-Rock -5…
*Penn St -4…
*ULM +2…
*Denver +2.5…
**Tenn-Martin -4… Tenn Martin’s last 8 losses came vs teams that are 86-56su or in other words 61% winners. EIU is 4-12 vs D1 teams this year for a winning % of just 25%. EIU’s road losses this year point margin of defeats = 17, 28, 15, 28, 27, 21 & 12… Still I’m a bit scared with laying chalk with Tenn-Martin as EIU does have 3 conference wins already compared to Ten-Martin’s 1. 


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CK19 5
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