cropduster

Doolittle got cranked already in Washington by Hiura this year. If the game gets to a point where Doolittle is called upon, I'll guarantee he gets hammered again.  Max Shermer in his own words says this was a "frustrating" season.  I realize that statement is based on his  injuries  primarily, but Sherzer is just another right hander to the Brewers. 4,5,3,1,4 are the number of earned runs in each of his last 5 starts. That's not Cy Young material folks.   Strasburg isn't used to coming out of the pen, and  the Brewers hit Patrick Corbin pretty well even though he's a lefty.  

Woodruff is fresh and should be able to pitch 5 innings strong before giving way to Jordan Lyles. Lyles does have alot of experience coming out of the pen since he was a relief pitcher with the Brewers at the end of the year.   Then you have the dynamic left handed trio of Sutter, Pomeranz, and Hadr, that just recently formed.   That'll be enough to close out this  game and get the Brewers into Los Angelas. 

The Brewers pitching is made for this sort of a  situation, Washington's isn't.  Pitching is the main part of the game.

After the Brewers win this one, they'll be primed for revenge to take out the Dodgers. 

BREWERS +165

RISk $2000 To WIN $3300

Season Total -$1550

Both Grishem and Gamel will have to fill in for Braun and Yelich. But the new left handed trio in the bullpen should help pitch the Brewers to title town. Suter, Pomeranz , and Hadr have been money down the stretch.

BREWERS -155

RISk $1550 To WIN $1000

Season Total $0

Zach Davies has every motivation in the world to pitch well tonight.  If he clears the 7.1 inning marker he qualifies for league ERA.  If he wins nicely, he will show that his getting snuffed from the playoffs last year was a mistake.  A good performance will cement a playoff starting spot for him. Hitting wise, it seems Grishem should be due to light up Senzatela.  Senzatela is just another right handed pitcher who will find it hard to get his bearings against a good left handed hitting team in the Brewers. 

I'm also taking the Cubs to win, thinking the Cards can't take pressure to well.

BREWERS -162

Bet #1 RISK $1300 to WIN $802

2 Team Parlay BREWERS -162 & CUBS +177

Bet #2 RISK $200 to WIN $695

Season Total +$1500

Jordan Lyles has been a great reversal story this season. Hopefully his good fortunes continue. Counsell will have to find some others out of the bullpen to save the game other than the mighty lefthanded trio though. 

Again , Cincinatti is putting Mahle, another righthander on the mound. The Brewers shouldn't be afraid of this.

BREWERS -145

RISK $508 to WIN $350

Season Total $1150

Sonny Gray is a right handed pitcher that gave up 6 hits in 4.1 innings during the late June contest against the Brewers. Yes, Gray came back on July 3rd and pitched 8 innings to get a win against the Brewers but the Brewers  had a messed up batting order. They were batting Moustakis 2nd and Pina was in the lineup instead of Grandall.  Ryan Braun is hitting better as well of late. The Reds are up 5 games to 4 this season and the Brewers will even the score today.

Houser should do fine on the mound for the Brewers.

BREWERS +115

RISK $1000 to WIN $1150

Season Total $0

Elias Diaz is hitting .400 against Woodruff.  Adam Frazier is hitting .444 against Woodruff. Starling Marte is hitting .300 and has gone deep on Woodruff already. Colin Moran is hitting .375 against Woodruff. Cabrera and Newman are at .286 and .273 respectively. Newman  has also gone deep on Woodruff. 

Trevor Williams is no Cy Young, but I'm thinking he'll be stronger in this start with his very early exit against the Cubs last start.  He's shown he can compete and is relatively due for a nice performance here. It would be a feather in Trevor Willams's cap to get this win and break up the Brewer steam roll. 

PIRATES +250

Risk $524 to Win $1310

Season Total +$524

Hard to find reasons to bet against the Brewers.  Left handed bats should have a field day on the right handed rookie that that the Pirates put on the mound.

BREWERS -225

Risk $363 to Win $161

Season Total +$363

I like the right handed batting going for the Brewers tonight.  It'll be interesting with Chase Anderson on the mound.

BREWERS -220

Risk $250 to Win $113

Season Total +$250

Jordan Lyles has become a reliable starter since switching to the Brewer rotation.  Braun, Cain , and Huira, possibly Grandall,  give the Brewers enough clutch right handed hitters to win this game against lefthander , Joey Lucchesi

BREWERS -170

Risk $3400 to Win $2000

Season Total -$1750

Adrian Houser is due for a nice bounce back today. With the bullpen starting to gel behind him and the Padres not taking these games seriously, I expect the Brewers to win. 

Dinelson Lamet is a right hander that the Brewers should have the equalizing left handed bats to destroy. 

BREWERS -150

RISK $1350 to Win $ 900

SEASON TOTAL -$400

Chris Paddock is in his final start for the season. Paddock has just been spectacular and the Padres don't want to damage their best proven hurler. Paddock takes this as a challenge, and I think he'll succeed. 

Woodruff is coming back from being on the shelf from an injury. Will he go 2 innings, maybe 3 innings? Then Gio Gonzalez who is pitching like a ticking time bomb takes over.  I'll admit that Gio has gotten out of some jams even when his fastball was up and over the middle of the plate.  I  just can't see a pitcher surviving every start doing what Gio is doing. 

Padres should  do better offensively than yesterday. How can they not? 

Padres +125

RISK $400 to WIN $500

Season Total $0

Zach Davies seems to pitch down to lower winning percentage teams. For instance, he only lasted 4.1 innings in his last start giving up 3 runs at Miami. On August 25th he gave up 4 runs to Arizona and only lasted 4 innings.  But in his last 3 starts against the Cubs and St.Louis he gave up only 0,1, or 2 runs.  It's just a recent trend I noticed. So,  I  think the Padres will get a  minimum of 3 runs off Davies, but could go as high as 6 or 7.  The Padres can hit and one of their guys is on a decent hitting streak.

Garrett Richards is auditioning to hold a starting spot in the Padres rotation for 2020.  He'd coming off Tommy John surgery and the Padres have him pegged as their #2 starter.  I didn't think his stats were very impressive the last couple of years, but he used to pitch a  high number of innings years ago. So, I'll assume the Padres coaching staff think he has the talent in order to stay competitive in games. 

The Brewers are coming off a  high energy series winning in St. Louis, where there should be little let down today. Ryan Braun , Grandall , and Moustakis, all were key clutch hitters in the St. Louis series. I have a hard time believing they'll wake up today and be just as focused. 

Hadr got crushed yesterday. Yes, statistically he got a save, but he walks a batter in the bottom of the 9th and gives up a 2 run homer on an 0-2 pitch.  Moving forward, it's going to be very dangerous to close with this guy because he only uses his 4 seam fastball, and his 2nd pitch is the slider which is the changeup. 

If Hadr is used today it would be 3 days in a row. 

Padres +145

Risk $437 to Win $633

Season Total +$437

After such a devastating loss, 10-0 on Friday, the Brewers actually have a chance to win the series in St. Louis today. Chase Anderson will need to pitch his best. There does seem to be decent arms in the bullpen with lefties Pomeranz, Suter, and Hadr available. 

Wacha, looks like he's got alot of pressure on him today. I think the key left handed bats of Grishem, Grandall, Moustakis, and Thames, can have another good day.

I realize Flaherty did not have his best stuff yesterday but I think there is too much pressure on Wacha to win today. 

BREWERS +130

Risk $190 to Win $247

Season Total +$190

Time for the Brewers to even the score.  They've beaten Flaherty before and will do it again.

BREWERS +190

RISK $100 to WIN $190

Season Total $0

Adrian Houser should be ready to pitch a good game. Houser could've pitched longer in his last outing but Counsel is deciding to aggressively use his bullpen in the month of September.  Brent Suter has been near perfect and could easily close with a 2 or 3 inning today.  The Brewers beat Wainwright getting 5 runs off him on August 21st and got Wainwright to exit early on August 26th after 3.2 innings.  Also, a small advantage to the Brewers team being finished with their game yesterday a couple of hours before St. Louis. Both teams have to fly to St. Louis.

BREWERS +115

Risk $768 to Win $883

Season Total +$768

The Brewers are looking ahead to their series with St.Louis.  The focus is on tomorrow, not today. Ryan Braun went 0-4 yesterday wearing Yelich's uniform top under his. Maybe Braun needs to get his head into what is currently happening to help the team and try to break away from the news of losing Yelich.  

Caleb Smith is pitching better lately and especially being a lefthander that has success at home, he will stifle batters that are still dumbfounded over the Yelich injury, like right handed batting, Ryan Braun.  The Brewers will also need Cain, right handed batter to perform well, and he's had knee issues. Cain most likely will produce today, but who else?  

Moustakas is not having to big days in a row. Grishem had the one homerun yesterday, then went hitless. Tyrone Taylor, another rookie, will have to show that he can hit the left hander , Caleb Smith. Tyler Austin, right handed batter,  will likely start at first, to give Thames, left handed batter,  a  break who also went hitless yesterday. 

And with Pina  out, Grandall needs somebody to give him a rest. Either Frietas or Nottingham will have to either start or fill in a few innings to keep Grandall fresh for St. Louis. 

The Brewer bullpen has spent Suter and Hadr yesterday, and the others showed flaws: Claudio and Jackson. 

Junior Guerra is probably a  good option , but Gio Gonzalez does not last long. 3 starts ago Gonzalez was ripped for 9 runs by St. Louis. 2 starts ago, Gonzalez only lasted 3 innings before having to be removed.  Last start, Gonzalez got lucky , got some balls to go where he needed them to go and survived 5 innings.  What list of pitchers will cover the bulk of the game after Gonzalez makes his early exit?

MIAMI +120

Risk $560 to Win $672

Season Total +$1328

With Yelich out, this give others the opportunity of a lifetime.  Zach Davies pitched well against the Cubs in his last outing and I don't think he lays an egg against  the worst team in the majors, Miami.  Pablo Lopez is not beating the Brewers twice this year. Grishem, Gamel, Moustakis, and Grandall are all competent left handed hitters that should knock Lopez around today. This is the kind of game where the battle cry will be "Let's do it for Yelich". 

BREWERS -145

Risk $786 to Win $542

Season Total +$786

Basically just riding the Brewer hot streak here. Betting solely on the Brewer sense of urgency.

BREWERS -175

Risk $175 to Win $100

Season Total +$686

Hopefully the trip down to Miami doesn't have a jet lag effect on the Brewer team. The Brewers got lit up pretty bad by Miami when Miami visited in Milwaukee earlier in the summer. I think the Brewers remember that and definitely won't take Miami lightly. Robert Dugger seems to be pitching pretty well, and has something to prove. So, the Brewers will have their hands full, but team playoff motivation and outright talent should catch up to Dugger at some point in the game. 

As far as Jordan Lyles goes, I  can't explain it. I've never seen a pitcher do an about face like he's done this year. The Brewers did say they were going to "tweak" a few things and they felt Lyles would be alright. But, this is night and day difference, like Lyles got rid of his old arm and now has new arm. Lyles credits Grandall and  Pina. Pina now, is on the injured list by the way. So, as  long as Grandall is catching and not Notingham or Freitas, there shouldn't be any worries.  I just don't know about the two backup catchers, and what they know at this point. They might actually be ok. 

BREWERS -190

Risk $450 to Win $236

Season Total +$450

Brewers are in a must win situation type scenario.  The Cubs are trying to prevent the Brewers from winning 3 of 4 from them by pulling a switch in the rotation. Up until the day before this game, Kyle Hendricks, a right hander was scheduled to start. But the Cubs recognize that the Brewers fair much better against right handers than left handers. On top of that Jon Lester pitched shutout ball against the Brewers in his only two starts against them this year. This includes 7 innings of shutout ball in Milwaukee about a month ago. The Cubs want to revisit that scenario. 

As  shown yesterday, the Brewers will pull out all the stops to get the victory.  It stands to reason that the Brewers won't let a switch in starting pitchers foil their plans  to win this series at home. Let's face it, Lester is not the superstar pitcher he was years ago. Yes, he stumbled upon some luck against the Brewers earlier this year, but lacks the same talent to keep the Brewers down in such a critical moment of the season.

Adrian Houser is the "ace" of the Brewer staff right now, and should  keep things competitive.

BREWERS -110

Risk $236 to Win $214

Season Total +$236