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Hey guys, won a pool last year making 5 picks a week all at different units. These picks are weighted 5U to 1U. The 5 is worth 5 units, the 4 is worth 4 units, etc etc. Most amount of units you can win or lose on any given week is 15U (5-0/0-5).
I ran away with it last year, won a large sum of money and am a few units shy of first place this year. We're early into the season and figured I'd start posting these plays weekly. Hoping to help some of you and myself win some serious units. Here are my plays this week (HOME in bold): 5. Chargers -2.5 4. Packers -7.5 3. Titans -2.5 2. Cardinals +5.5 1. Bengals+3.5
Can also find me on Streak Survivor, good luck
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cy2828 | 2 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Straightbets:
Purdue money line is also solid but nothing like Illinois
Or you could just parlay Penn St. ML and Wisco ML because they're both legit home teams playing teams who play poorly on the road. That's what I have but hey you do you man ????? |
Straightbets | 402 |
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Quote Originally Posted by TheSquare:
The most important part of reading other people's picks is not the "pick" it self. It's the thought process. See how they analyze the situation, pick out the aspects that you like about their analysis, modify it to your liking so you can come up with your own unique process that is tailored to you. Everybody thinks differently and will not agree on an outcome. Who knows, you may see something that other have missed. Also, don't EVER blindly follow the crowd. Look at the data yourself, process it and come up with your OWN conclusion. Even if it doesn't agree with the majority of the "experienced" cappers/consensus, so be it. After all, how many times has the forum been on one side and it results in a "covers bloodbath?" It happens more than you think.. The process with which someone picks a game is all subjective and actually somewhat meaningless. You could do research for days leading up to the game, use all the trend data possible, know all the players and injuries inside and out, and you could make a pick based on that info only to have it lose. Someone who took the opposite side as you may have been less informed, had less data to work with, and merely selected it for no data-driven reason and win a game. Not sure the process matters. For example, if you go to one handicappers page he'll give you info on why team A wins and another handicappers page gives info why team B wins. You could agree with one of them and end up being wrong. My point being that the process has nothing to do with it. You wanna know what does? Clicking the right button. Oh you weren't on the right side of game 741/742? Must've clicked the wrong button ????? |
guest864845 | 16 |
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Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:
Upgrade at QB plus 4.5 points of line value.
Upgrade at QB?! Really?!!! Trevor effin Siemian???? BAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA |
KC_4_LIFE | 7 |
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dirk is out, gortat idk, kaman is probly out
https://www.rotoworld.com/player/nba/535/dirk-nowitzki https://www.rotoworld.com/player/nba/932/chris-kaman Phoenix playing under interim lyndsey hunter seem to be re-energized and buyin into system. especially after beating the lakers...phoenix minus the pts |
thesheepdog | 14 |
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where are the picks today bauer? lets hear the fades of the day, you clown
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derekbauer | 22 |
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playin a back-to-back, coming off of a heartbreaking loss @ Portland, and another tough loss @ Golden St last night. Despite winning 9 out of the last 10 times theyve played, there is no dirk, no kaman and with a team coming off of beating the lakers (not the lakers of old, yet still encouraging for a struggling tm like phoenix) it just all points to a phoenix win and cover. The play of dragic and m-beastly of late is something to look forward to for a team playing under the tag of an interim coach, lindsey hunter, and is hungry and willing to follow his defense first mentality. PHOENIX, please sir....
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Covers | 6 |
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i respect that ur trying to do something new and unique but like i said before just be simple. Maybe you dont know everything about the sport or tms ur betting on which once again makes my case for you being in the wrong industry. The dont knock it til you try it statement doesnt work for me, if it did everybody would be a flaming guy "just to try it"....The fact that you have even a few followers watching you on this is absurd and you should be given no sort of attention based on streak for cash %'s and ive probly given you too much times as it is but seeing such a stupid post made me feel like i had to shut u down on it. Sorry...
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derekbauer | 22 |
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i dont think there is any truth to games getting harder throughout the wk purely on the basis that oddsmakers make it that way. If you look at the week in a sports sense, the majority of high end games (top ranked ncaab tm vs another, lakers vs okc heat vs celts) happen on the wkend for television purposes. Not because vegas is trying to recooperate from losing early in the wk....
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derekbauer | 22 |
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ur theory is a waste of time, just bet a team that you think will cover. very simple. If you cant do that and you need to find "systems" or "theories" like streak for cash %'s which have nothing to do with anything then ur probly in the wrong business...
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derekbauer | 22 |
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darn= me gettin censored
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Covers | 3 |
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who the darn is panhandle st? and how have they not played a game yet? whatta joke
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Covers | 3 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Laroja: Big NE fan for a long time,Pats line is a joke, give me Houston and the pts against NE. How is the line a joke? They lost by 4 tds a month ago lol, and if you watched the game vs cincy there is really nothing good to take away from that game heading into foxboro. The texans are gonna be in the same boat they were in a month ago. They're gonna try and pound it with arian and setup the playaction to daniels, andre, and checkdowns. Same thing every time, no ingenuity with this offense. Schaub cant line up like an aaron rodgers or peyton or brady spot coverages and shred you up. Thats not his style. Against a Patriots team with a week of preparation, not "rest", i dont see how the texans keep pace as we go no huddle like last time with a somewhat healthy gronk back in the mix...Good luck with the texans... |
Europa | 21 |
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AROD and the PACK ML.....LARGE!!
These two met earlier in the season and the result was a sf win, now with a hot hand like rodgers i think they get exposed and aaron goes off!!! I wouldnt wanna play the pack or the falcons right now that much i know. Clay mathews, woodson, both on the field at the same time. A healthy receiving options and a newfound dejuan harris burstin up the gut and king of the checkdown...All im sayin is as good as SF has been im not sure they can keep up with the pack in this one. Im sure they send a TE like finley or crabtree to chip on aldon smith too and keep him in check... PACK ML thankyoucanihavesomemoreplease |
Crashdavis565 | 51 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Jspikes80: What happened with all the sharp money on kstate? .Angle2Win (Angle2Win) (Angle2Win) who gives a flying you know what about sharp money...in terms of game wagering you can fade the public and tail the public but when it comes to "sharps" you cant fade em cuz theyre just "too damn good" all the sharps out there with k-st tonight must not have ever seen oregon play cuz if oregon can jump out to a lead k-st's methodical offense cant really keep up. So when it comes to things like this it has zero effect on my actual decision, 30k on notre dame is a chunk of change and its too many points to be giving... |
angle2win | 7 |
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you like the over that much huh? I might be in with you on it
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LiLMonsta | 21 |
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Quote Originally Posted by LiLMonsta: Lousiville Over.... im riding round im getting it.. im riding round im getting it... its mine i spend it... its mine i spend it!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Lets play big bank take lil bank, you are looking at a shark in a fishtank... or a Gator, cuz Gators -14 is str8 homie |
LiLMonsta | 21 |
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Quote Originally Posted by estes1717: cy2828.. Hey man like i said I have a small play on Florida -14. I dont make large plays on heavy favorites and I know what Florida has I watch alot of sec ball since i live in sec land they're basically a home game for Gators since there in the Sugar Bowl. Just saying anything can happen for a back door cover fair enough |
Dbarsch | 15 |
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Lynch had zero touch, he was hearin footsteps in the pocket all night. When he had a guy open he felt he was rushed before anybody would get to him and hed throw low, high, outside and anywhere in between. Guy just did not bring his "A" game tonight when the game was still hanging in the balance couldnt capatilize. Turnovers in 2nd half killed them....a key one from lynch...
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Lance1981 | 12 |
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Game was over, relax...take a drink, take a nap, and recognize that northern illinois' Jordan Lynch played like he was in high school all over again, they didnt deserve it and blew many opportunities before ST took over in the 4th qtr....
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Lance1981 | 12 |
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