DaCards

I placed a bet a couple days ago on the golf tournament this week, and was shocked that they were offering a match bet on Tommy Fleetwood vs. Scott Stallings, and gladly put my money down.  Unbeknowingst to me at first, that bet was cancelled and the money refunded.  I just so happened to notice the different balance in my account today. I never got any sort of notification that what happened actually took place. When I emailed support asking what happened, the response I got was essentially "We made an error listing this, so we cancelled your bet."  

 

After a couple exchanges back and forth, they threw the book at me with this from the user agreement...

 

"Immediately upon discovery, wagers placed on an event with an obvious erroneous line resulting from human error will be graded no action or voided.  It is the sole discretion of 5Dimes regarding the partial/complete voiding of parlays, teasers, and IF wagers when a play includes a selection with a line error.  Line errors include (but are not limited to) backwards lines, price errors; typos, misspellings or incorrect wordings that affect the essence of the line intended; incorrect team/players listed in match ups, etc."

 

I guess what I'm wondering is should I be as pissed off about this as I am.  Something tells me that human error on my part wouldn't receive any leniency from them  I couldn't see a Vegas book ever trying to pull such a thing.  I thought bets were action ??

 

 

 

Evidently he bruised his knee against UNC and was questionable all week.  I suppose the news yesterday was the deciding factor. 

Just announced Lee isn't playing. WTF

Rarely post here, but this is a phenomenal spot.

Love those easy winners.  Great pick CB.

You locked in on the Saturday games yet?

He's a scumbag, but he's OUR scumbag!

There was a good deal of controversy surrounding the UL quarterback situation over the past few weeks, at least to those close to the program.  RS Sophomore Will Gardner won the position battle this Summer, but struggled mightily with his reads, checks, decision making, protecting the football, and overall throwing accuracy during the first three games.  Gardner went down with an alleged torn meniscus(The University released a statement yesterday, but was extremely vague - I have heard from a fairly reliable source he should be out 4-6 weeks), which makes Reggie Bonnafon the starter this week...

Bonnafon played for Louisville Trinity as a WR for his first three years, but was moved to QB his senior year.  He has all of the talent to be a star - speed, a very strong arm, and size, but Trinity already had a D2 prospect at QB and Reggie's talent could be used elsewhere on the field.  Bonnafon is raw at this stage, but there's no denying his ability.  Given that he's still fairly new to the position(despite being a 4 star QB recruit coming out), he has been groomed as the heir apparent to the QB position for the foreseeable future, but the Gardner injury sped up the entire process.

There's obviously much more to this matchup than QB play, but the reason I'm harping on this so adamantly is that Bonnafon has something Gardner doesn't - speed and the ability to scramble.  This is huge for UL because the offensive line leaves much to be desired.  Gardner has been beaten up against virtually every team that he's faced, and this has led to multiple fumbles(2 in the red zone vs Miami), interceptions, and rushed throws.  Bonnafon was actually inserted as the 2nd half starter at Virginia, but was put in an impossible spot as the first two drives started inside UL's 5 yard line, and in a conference game on the road(as a true freshman).  Reggie's arm strength opens up the downfield passing game, especially with play action.  Gardner's limitations virtually eliminated the downfield play ability of the offense, but I would fully expect multiple big plays in this game, especially on play action rollouts that Petrino has made a staple of his offense. 

Wake is, well Wake Forest.  The same team that scored 10 points against UL Monroe and 23 against Gardner Webb.  Louisville's defense has been rock solid this year, and Wake should struggle to put points on the board.  Petrino has been very vocal this week about his disappointment with the offense, and the Cardinals return home after disappointing showings on the road against UVA and Florida International. Petrino is lifetime 23-1 at home during his career at Louisville, and I certainly don't see this game being his second loss.

Homer disclaimer - this is the first UL game that I've bet this year

Cards roll 38-7 and Bonnafon becomes the new full-time starter, likely for the remainder of his career.  I hate making the(unfair) comparison at this stage, but he looks an awful lot like Bridgewater did as a freshman.

I was looking at the MVP prop bets, and couldn't help but notice that Wilson was +400 and Lynch is +600(the flip side is Manning is +110 when the DEN money line is -140).  All other players on SEA are +2000 or more.  Assuming that it's highly unlikely a defensive player will win the MVP award, can someone help me with the math of betting DEN -140, and then Wilson +400, Lynch +600, Harvin +2000, Thomas +3000, Tate +4000, Baldwin +4000 and Miller +7500. 

Is this too good to be true?

Have allegedly good info that Parker will start tonight and has been good in practice all week.  Completely different team in the red zone with him.  Cards had three red zone meltdowns last week against Rutgers-Parker brings back the ability to run the end zone fade. 

IMO the important factor in this bet is how stubborn UL's OC decides to be with the run.  Watson runs a balanced West Coast attack, but Rutgers run D is strong and UL's major weakness is their ability to dominate up front and run between the tackles.  Easy over if they throw it 25 times in the first half.

Looks like Devante Parker will play tonight.  Big difference maker - will likely draw double coverage and open up the middle of the field/the running game.  Line up to 19 - hate either side. 

Everyone is obviously entitled to their opinion, but there's a lot of ignorance flying around here. That tough team from last year that has disappeared? 19 starters returned, including every single skill position player. Yes the competition has been crap, but look at the defensive numbers. We must be watching very different games. Last year's team was very marginal until the Sugar Bowl. This year's team is last year's with a much improved defense.

Louisville's #1 receiver(and only serious deep threat) likely out this week with a Sprung AC joint in his shoulder.  Day to day for now, but probably won't play. 

Cards will be tested by Rutgers' big receivers, but those of you who think UL is a fraud need to have your heads checked-been listening to the "experts" on TV too much. 

Still think 17 is too many...

The guy was like 70% for the season in NFL last year.  Are we ready to throw him under the bus after two bad weeks?

There are tons of systems that fade public money and are long-term winners.  People are just too degenerate to stick to them and ride a 55-58% win rate...

As a Cards fan, I absolutely hate this line.  I figured UL would get money all the way up to 21. Not sure what Vegas was thinking by opening this at 7.5, but they definitely have one-sided action if they wanted it.

IMO it all comes down to UL's special teams and how well they're able to throw the ball(should be easy, but you never know).  Kick coverage is absolutely atrocious again this year, and UK will score points with Smith in the game.  I'm thinking Cards win but don't cover  --   35-24

Fair enough!  Obviously a little jaded here...

They are playing their best of the season now, so that's always a good thing.

Respect your opinion MM, but how do you think Oregon is going to overcome its turnover issues?  Last in the Pac 12 in total turnovers and turnover margin, and facing the top defense in the country. 

I bet UL to win it all at 12-1 earlier this year and want to hedge some off here, but just seems Oregon is grossly overmatched and will need to shoot lights out from 3 to even have a chance. 

Adding Valpo +10.5  2**



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@fadethesquares

2-2 last night for +0.7 Units, now 4-3 on posted plays for +3.5 units.

Today's card

Davidson +3.5  3***

Bucknell +4  2**

Oregon +2  2**

Pittsburgh -4

St. Marys +1

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@fadethesquares