DannySatan

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replied to Attempt at a baseball system! in MLB Betting has anyone ever been so desperate for a small profit that they bet both the ML (underdog) and the RL (favorite) in the same game? for instance, today, if i put $100 on both the whitesox ML (+120) and the blue jays RL (+150), i guarantee at least a $20 profit as long as i avoid the 30% chance that the blue jays win by 1, right? i'm considering this cuz i'm tryin to hit a rollover amount just so i can withdraw and cancel an account, and i'm $20 away. this seems like the "safest" way to lock in a small profit one time just so i can get the hell outta there. View Post \| View Thread	TobyG64	241	April 15, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Okc -4 in NBA Betting The play here is OKC or nothin. 16 of GSW's last 19 W's have come against lottery teams and the Thunder have held 5 of their last 7 opponents under 40% shooting. View Post \| View Thread	djforester	11	April 11, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic What's the hold up on the Sacto line? in NBA Betting Bovada's had this game scratched for hours... what's the deal? Is this all because patrick freakin Patterson is questionable? God, I hate Bovada. View Post \| View Thread	DannySatan	1	April 10, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Det +6 any ???? in NBA Betting i think the pistons are the right side, but i just can't trust that they'll give 48 minutes of effort. lottery teams on the road this time of year are where good bets go to die. View Post \| View Thread	BonLuu	3	April 06, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Anybody think Brooklyn is flat out tired in NBA Betting "Tired" is just NBA code for hungover, which is more likely to happen to guys on the road than at home. The reality is, these are world-class athletes whose training/practices are probably so brutal that it'd make most of us puke to even watch. You think they have 7 guys sit & watch, make substitutions, and take random TV timeouts during practice? Do they take a 20-minute break in the middle of it? For these guys, the games are the easy part, and I'll never buy in to the fatigue factor ever again when it comes to betting. View Post \| View Thread	TampaFan211	7	April 04, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Is The NBA Rigging Lakers Games? Fans Make Video Proving Most Likely! in NBA Betting I've bet on the Sacramento Kings against LAL the last 2 times they played. The Kings narrowly missed covering both times, despite heading to the locker room tied at LA, & with the lead Saturday night. The Lakers took 31 more FTs than the Kings did over the course of those 2 games, and it's not like Sacto struggles to get to the line (12th in the league... guess who's 1st?), but they only took 8 FTs in the game at Staples. Even the difference between the top FTA team in the league and the team that's dead last is only 11 per game, so a 31-attempt discrepancy is rather significant. I feel like the league office maybe sends certain refs who bow down to Kobe, and/or are just bad refs in general to these off-the-radar LA games where LA is the favorite. Just go back and check the box score of any random game, and you're likely to see the Lakers made 30-35 trips to the line. View Post \| View Thread	princess442	8	April 02, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Anyone notice this from Spurs-Grizz last night? in NBA Betting I'm posting this here because I literally couldn't sleep last night thinking I was right about this... Zach Randolph either played that entire game thinking he was about to crap his pants, or he DID crap his pants at some point during the game & played with the load in his shorts, or he did this numerous times throughout the game. Look at the way he was moving last night. Look at the faces he was making. Tell me I'm wrong. You can't. I'm not trying to be funny here, and I was wondering if I'm the only one who's convinced he had an accident. I'm guessing this probably happens in the NBA a lot more than we think. View Post \| View Thread	DannySatan	3	April 02, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Umpire assignments? in MLB Betting Lookin at totals and I was surprised to see Covers doesn't list the crew for each game the way they do for NBA. Anybody know a site where this info is available? View Post \| View Thread	DannySatan	2	April 01, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic 5 plays for tomorrow, how many should i wait for a better # on? in NBA Betting I like suns +11, philly-1, lakersU203.5, sacto+9, and memphis+1, but i'm thinkin i might be able to get better value on at least those first four. In a situation like this, do you guys find it's best to wait & see, or just lock it in right away? I ask because i'd be doin it as a round robin, so i can't just pick a couple now & just wait for the others til tomorrow. View Post \| View Thread	DannySatan	3	March 27, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to GS really wants to beat the lakers... in NBA Betting I think GSW might be the team that I've found myself betting against more than any other this year, but at the same time, I can't trust the Lakers. I'm leaning under here. View Post \| View Thread	v81	5	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic What would the Heat halftime line have to be for you to take Orlando? in NBA Betting Just thought I'd have some fun here and see what Covers members consider to be too many points to lay with the Heat 2H these days. Let's say the Heat are down 6 at the break and the line is like MIA -14; would that be enough to take ORL? View Post \| View Thread	DannySatan	2	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to nba monday in NBA Betting Well, I definitely was banking on nene to come up huge tonight in Gasol's absence, but he's not gonna play... neither is Webster, who sucks, so I shudder to think of who's gonna take his minutes. Found out this info about 20 minutes after I locked in Washington +4 (bought half a point), thinkin I wasn't gonna get a number better than that. Funny how that works... Enjoy your winnings, 3Ball! View Post \| View Thread	3BallBomber	41	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 1 Nba play in NBA Betting Quote Originally Posted by CaliHoops23: Curry said he expects to play but idk you think staff and coaches let him play? sitting 6th seed in playoffs we might see him get another days rest and back at it on Wednesday vs kings A Lakers win would put them just 2.5 behind the Warriors for 6th in the conference. This is a huge game for both teams. He'll play. View Post \| View Thread	HumbledGambler	23	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Utah at -7.5 is this a joke? in NBA Betting Quote Originally Posted by 666LES: Utah does beat the teams it needs to beat but with this the 1st homegame after roadtrip and Phil flying in and up in altitude from lastnite this screams UNDER 192.5... probably View Post \| View Thread	lurker123	18	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Utah at -7.5 is this a joke? in NBA Betting Quote Originally Posted by TyDarius: Very true, but how many wagers are won off it making sense? Nothing ever seems to make sense in the NBA. Chicago gets down 27 to a terrible road team in Portland and then takes down the Pacers without Noah next game. BOL. I'd say Utah is definitely due for a win. Well put. This line first gets posted, and my initial reaction was to take the points, but then you ask yourself why is the line 7.5 and you can kinda see how Vegas plans on makin their money in this one. I'm bout to roll with the terrible Utah Jazz and I love it. View Post \| View Thread	lurker123	18	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 1 Nba play in NBA Betting Quote Originally Posted by huskerdu25: Curry is injured and won't be playing Is this a fact? He seemed to be acting like the injury was nothing and last I saw he was listed as probable for tonight. View Post \| View Thread	HumbledGambler	23	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Utah Jazz -7 who's with me... in NBA Betting I'm definitely considering it, but why rush when the line is shrinking? View Post \| View Thread	HelloMoto	11	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Utah at -7.5 is this a joke? in NBA Betting Utah's bad, but still 20-13 ATS at home and they also have a winning record as a favorite. Philly 6-11 ATS in back-to-backs. I'd lean toward that performance last night in Sacto bein a bit of a mirage. It's one thing to shoot lights out (I think they shot 70% in the 2nd half) against a team with nothin to play for, but now they go into altitude to play a Jazz team desperate to try & stay in the playoff hunt. Utah always seems to get these "gimme" games when they need em most, and this might be one of em. View Post \| View Thread	lurker123	18	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to nba monday in NBA Betting Quote Originally Posted by 3BallBomber: lean: lal ? They're certainly takin their precious time releasing this line, probably waitin to make sure Curry is absolutely going to play. I'm guessin it'll be LAL -3 and I think I like the Lakers in this spot. They've been on a dominant run against the Warriors and I like the fact that they choked the game away vs Washington, as LA is on a nice 4-1 ATS run after a loss & based on Kobe and D'Antoni's comments, they should bring extra defensive intensity tonight. I also think there's a little added pressure on GSW cuz everybody's been pointing to this big stretch of home games coming up as the time when they'll supposedly make their finishing kick and lock up a playoff spot. I'm not sure how a young team like this responds to that pressure... has anyone besides Bogut ever even played in a playoff game? Cuz it'll be a playoff atmosphere tonight. View Post \| View Thread	3BallBomber	41	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to nba monday in NBA Betting Memphis will be without Gasol, and the Grizz have lost 3 straight on the road. Washington's won 5 in a row at home, and John Wall, who's been playing great, will have extra motivation after being ejected from what turned out to be a winnable game the other night at GSW. Don't forget, this Memphis team needed a once-a-year game from Jarryd Bayless last night just to beat the struggling C's without KG IN MEMPHIS. I'm gonna be all over the Wiz tomorrow after this line moves to 3.5 View Post \| View Thread	3BallBomber	41	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
replied to Attempt at a baseball system! in MLB Betting has anyone ever been so desperate for a small profit that they bet both the ML (underdog) and the RL (favorite) in the same game? for instance, today, if i put $100 on both the whitesox ML (+120) and the blue jays RL (+150), i guarantee at least a $20 profit as long as i avoid the 30% chance that the blue jays win by 1, right? i'm considering this cuz i'm tryin to hit a rollover amount just so i can withdraw and cancel an account, and i'm $20 away. this seems like the "safest" way to lock in a small profit one time just so i can get the hell outta there. View Post \| View Thread	TobyG64	241	April 15, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Okc -4 in NBA Betting The play here is OKC or nothin. 16 of GSW's last 19 W's have come against lottery teams and the Thunder have held 5 of their last 7 opponents under 40% shooting. View Post \| View Thread	djforester	11	April 11, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic What's the hold up on the Sacto line? in NBA Betting Bovada's had this game scratched for hours... what's the deal? Is this all because patrick freakin Patterson is questionable? God, I hate Bovada. View Post \| View Thread	DannySatan	1	April 10, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Det +6 any ???? in NBA Betting i think the pistons are the right side, but i just can't trust that they'll give 48 minutes of effort. lottery teams on the road this time of year are where good bets go to die. View Post \| View Thread	BonLuu	3	April 06, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Anybody think Brooklyn is flat out tired in NBA Betting "Tired" is just NBA code for hungover, which is more likely to happen to guys on the road than at home. The reality is, these are world-class athletes whose training/practices are probably so brutal that it'd make most of us puke to even watch. You think they have 7 guys sit & watch, make substitutions, and take random TV timeouts during practice? Do they take a 20-minute break in the middle of it? For these guys, the games are the easy part, and I'll never buy in to the fatigue factor ever again when it comes to betting. View Post \| View Thread	TampaFan211	7	April 04, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Is The NBA Rigging Lakers Games? Fans Make Video Proving Most Likely! in NBA Betting I've bet on the Sacramento Kings against LAL the last 2 times they played. The Kings narrowly missed covering both times, despite heading to the locker room tied at LA, & with the lead Saturday night. The Lakers took 31 more FTs than the Kings did over the course of those 2 games, and it's not like Sacto struggles to get to the line (12th in the league... guess who's 1st?), but they only took 8 FTs in the game at Staples. Even the difference between the top FTA team in the league and the team that's dead last is only 11 per game, so a 31-attempt discrepancy is rather significant. I feel like the league office maybe sends certain refs who bow down to Kobe, and/or are just bad refs in general to these off-the-radar LA games where LA is the favorite. Just go back and check the box score of any random game, and you're likely to see the Lakers made 30-35 trips to the line. View Post \| View Thread	princess442	8	April 02, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Anyone notice this from Spurs-Grizz last night? in NBA Betting I'm posting this here because I literally couldn't sleep last night thinking I was right about this... Zach Randolph either played that entire game thinking he was about to crap his pants, or he DID crap his pants at some point during the game & played with the load in his shorts, or he did this numerous times throughout the game. Look at the way he was moving last night. Look at the faces he was making. Tell me I'm wrong. You can't. I'm not trying to be funny here, and I was wondering if I'm the only one who's convinced he had an accident. I'm guessing this probably happens in the NBA a lot more than we think. View Post \| View Thread	DannySatan	3	April 02, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Umpire assignments? in MLB Betting Lookin at totals and I was surprised to see Covers doesn't list the crew for each game the way they do for NBA. Anybody know a site where this info is available? View Post \| View Thread	DannySatan	2	April 01, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic 5 plays for tomorrow, how many should i wait for a better # on? in NBA Betting I like suns +11, philly-1, lakersU203.5, sacto+9, and memphis+1, but i'm thinkin i might be able to get better value on at least those first four. In a situation like this, do you guys find it's best to wait & see, or just lock it in right away? I ask because i'd be doin it as a round robin, so i can't just pick a couple now & just wait for the others til tomorrow. View Post \| View Thread	DannySatan	3	March 27, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to GS really wants to beat the lakers... in NBA Betting I think GSW might be the team that I've found myself betting against more than any other this year, but at the same time, I can't trust the Lakers. I'm leaning under here. View Post \| View Thread	v81	5	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic What would the Heat halftime line have to be for you to take Orlando? in NBA Betting Just thought I'd have some fun here and see what Covers members consider to be too many points to lay with the Heat 2H these days. Let's say the Heat are down 6 at the break and the line is like MIA -14; would that be enough to take ORL? View Post \| View Thread	DannySatan	2	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to nba monday in NBA Betting Well, I definitely was banking on nene to come up huge tonight in Gasol's absence, but he's not gonna play... neither is Webster, who sucks, so I shudder to think of who's gonna take his minutes. Found out this info about 20 minutes after I locked in Washington +4 (bought half a point), thinkin I wasn't gonna get a number better than that. Funny how that works... Enjoy your winnings, 3Ball! View Post \| View Thread	3BallBomber	41	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 1 Nba play in NBA Betting Quote Originally Posted by CaliHoops23: Curry said he expects to play but idk you think staff and coaches let him play? sitting 6th seed in playoffs we might see him get another days rest and back at it on Wednesday vs kings A Lakers win would put them just 2.5 behind the Warriors for 6th in the conference. This is a huge game for both teams. He'll play. View Post \| View Thread	HumbledGambler	23	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Utah at -7.5 is this a joke? in NBA Betting Quote Originally Posted by 666LES: Utah does beat the teams it needs to beat but with this the 1st homegame after roadtrip and Phil flying in and up in altitude from lastnite this screams UNDER 192.5... probably View Post \| View Thread	lurker123	18	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Utah at -7.5 is this a joke? in NBA Betting Quote Originally Posted by TyDarius: Very true, but how many wagers are won off it making sense? Nothing ever seems to make sense in the NBA. Chicago gets down 27 to a terrible road team in Portland and then takes down the Pacers without Noah next game. BOL. I'd say Utah is definitely due for a win. Well put. This line first gets posted, and my initial reaction was to take the points, but then you ask yourself why is the line 7.5 and you can kinda see how Vegas plans on makin their money in this one. I'm bout to roll with the terrible Utah Jazz and I love it. View Post \| View Thread	lurker123	18	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to 1 Nba play in NBA Betting Quote Originally Posted by huskerdu25: Curry is injured and won't be playing Is this a fact? He seemed to be acting like the injury was nothing and last I saw he was listed as probable for tonight. View Post \| View Thread	HumbledGambler	23	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Utah Jazz -7 who's with me... in NBA Betting I'm definitely considering it, but why rush when the line is shrinking? View Post \| View Thread	HelloMoto	11	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Utah at -7.5 is this a joke? in NBA Betting Utah's bad, but still 20-13 ATS at home and they also have a winning record as a favorite. Philly 6-11 ATS in back-to-backs. I'd lean toward that performance last night in Sacto bein a bit of a mirage. It's one thing to shoot lights out (I think they shot 70% in the 2nd half) against a team with nothin to play for, but now they go into altitude to play a Jazz team desperate to try & stay in the playoff hunt. Utah always seems to get these "gimme" games when they need em most, and this might be one of em. View Post \| View Thread	lurker123	18	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to nba monday in NBA Betting Quote Originally Posted by 3BallBomber: lean: lal ? They're certainly takin their precious time releasing this line, probably waitin to make sure Curry is absolutely going to play. I'm guessin it'll be LAL -3 and I think I like the Lakers in this spot. They've been on a dominant run against the Warriors and I like the fact that they choked the game away vs Washington, as LA is on a nice 4-1 ATS run after a loss & based on Kobe and D'Antoni's comments, they should bring extra defensive intensity tonight. I also think there's a little added pressure on GSW cuz everybody's been pointing to this big stretch of home games coming up as the time when they'll supposedly make their finishing kick and lock up a playoff spot. I'm not sure how a young team like this responds to that pressure... has anyone besides Bogut ever even played in a playoff game? Cuz it'll be a playoff atmosphere tonight. View Post \| View Thread	3BallBomber	41	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread
replied to nba monday in NBA Betting Memphis will be without Gasol, and the Grizz have lost 3 straight on the road. Washington's won 5 in a row at home, and John Wall, who's been playing great, will have extra motivation after being ejected from what turned out to be a winnable game the other night at GSW. Don't forget, this Memphis team needed a once-a-year game from Jarryd Bayless last night just to beat the struggling C's without KG IN MEMPHIS. I'm gonna be all over the Wiz tomorrow after this line moves to 3.5 View Post \| View Thread	3BallBomber	41	March 25, 2013 View Post \| View Thread

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