Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
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good luck, always look forward to your picks.
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PapaShango | 456 |
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wizards, atl, philly
scratch det
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Thenicktape | 13 |
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wizards, atl, phlly, det
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Thenicktape | 13 |
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if the line closes at where i need them to be, then:
philly orl clip i rarely play over/under, but like i said, if the line closes at where i need them to be, i would play: under den/mil under det/orl. Good luck!
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Frank the Bank | 117 |
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QUOTE Originally Posted by DeadPresidentz: we process data from previous games and years: if clippers close at -1 or -1.5, and the public is on the other team, clippers has a 55% chance of covering. if the over/under line for den/mil closes at 209 or 209.5 and slight to majority public on the over, the chance of it going under is 53%
I do like the Clippers. gL will keep an eye on that under to see how you do man! Thanks for your insight! if public is on boston and line closes at -3 or -3.5, philly has a 56% chance of covering. if public is on det, and line closes at -3 or -3.5, orl has a 54% chance of covering. if the over/under for det/orl closes at 202.5 or 203, the chance of the game going under is 52% still looking at atl/no, den/mil spreads. Good luck to whatever you decide! |
Frank the Bank | 117 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Frank the Bank:
Are these bets based on anything other then line movement? If not I'm not interested. Insight appreciated! gL we process data from previous games and years: if clippers close at -1 or -1.5, and the public is on the other team, clippers has a 55% chance of covering. if the over/under line for den/mil closes at 209 or 209.5 and slight to majority public on the over, the chance of it going under is 53%
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Frank the Bank | 117 |
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if the line closes at -1.5, take clippers!
if the over/under line for mil/den closes at 209, take the under!
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Frank the Bank | 117 |
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philly
orl under orl/det game
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Frank the Bank | 117 |
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Thank you, knew the line wasnt right, like i said, no way they should be giving -4 to the wizards coming off a west coast road trip n with a losing record at home.
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DeadPresidentz | 18 |
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also, wizards has a losing record at home, no way this line should be -4 with the way Durant and the Thunder are playing. its wiz or no play in my opinion.
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DeadPresidentz | 18 |
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they were giving -5 to brooklyn, one of the hottest teams in the NBA, now, they are gving -4 to a Wizards team that just came off a 4 game west coast road trip. I also see the public backing OKC. What do you guys think, fishy or not?
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DeadPresidentz | 18 |
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go with atl
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Joe-boy | 13 |
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suns moneyline
1)double revenge game for suns 2) refs are 1-14 against the home team when the spread is 0-4.5, memphis is giving 3. 3) suns is 3-1 as dog with spread between 3-3.5 4) so far, 60% public on memphis
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jjames9 | 18 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Sportacus: I was leaning Den for the same reasons but I was a little worry about the line. Okc gave 2.5 in last meeting with Westbrook. Now they give 3.5 without Westbrook. Something I can ignore :) GL this is my analysis. perception vs. reality. so last meeting, okc was giving 2.5 with westbrook, oddsmakers know bettors will remember this. so now they are giving 3.5 without westbrook. most bettors with perceive this as okc will cover this because they covered 2.5 with westbrook and now the line is 3.5 without him. those bettors will get baited to take okc. now, the reality, teams are figuring out how to play the thunder, let Durant score and shutdown the rest of the other players. okc is just 2-3 in the last 5 games. denver is on fire, quite frankly, thunder can't play the type of game they want to without westbrook, i read an article where the nuggets' players said Shaw is finally letting them play freely without having to run plays. that's why they are scoring at such a higher rate. remember, thats how they played last year, and they had one of the best home records in the NBA. either way, good luck!
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Sportacus | 6 |
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1) the refs are 14-8 in favor of the home dog.
2) okc had a tough time playing in a high altitude game against utah, a game they lost. Now, they are going to play in an even higher altitude game in Denver without Westbrook. 3) double revenge game for Denver 4) Denver, a small underdog at home, public pounding Okc, you have to like them in this spot. If you want to win some nuggets, take Denver! |
Sportacus | 6 |
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papa on fire!
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PapaShango | 40 |
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Quote Originally Posted by PapaShango: Don't really feel for it. If you like the Pacers, wait for the 2nd half. If you like the Pelicans, take them 1st half. |
PapaShango | 26 |
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how do you feel about pelicans vs pacers FG?
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PapaShango | 26 |
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lets get this money richie and company.
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RichieRich97 | 19 |
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haters gonna hate mike, i suggest you dont even respond to the haters, why waste time on them.
your record speaks for itself, keep doing your thing, your a good capper, everybody goes through rough stretches, the good ones find a way to bounce back, with that being said, lets make some money tonight mike and company!!!
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TriniMike | 96 |
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