desertspade

I'm going to leave this here. I'm going to get laughed at without a doubt but I have to put it out there... meanwhile I'll keep wearing my tinfoil hat and drinking the Kool-Aid. Just to note, I'm by no means a Falcons fan so this isn't coming from any sort of saltiness.  

If Falcons take the NFC South this coming weekend, they will win it all. My hypothesis is that the NFL is corrupt/rigged (I think most find the league at the very least questionable in regards) and, if such is indeed true, they are (ahem... Mr. Blank is) "owed" a Super Bowl given the one they gifted the Patriots under rather suspicious circumstance in 2017-- not only owed a Lombardi but owed one in opposite, spectacular manner. Barely making and then running the playoffs with a subpar record to boot would be just that. It seems to me that there is a trend (and this goes with several sports), perhaps in collusion with the outstanding $ at the books, to have certain teams underperform during the regular season and then turn it on when the playoffs come. Collusion between books and leagues = guaranteed profit. I know what's accepted is that books simply want to balance both sides of the wagers but I tend to believe that, while this is likely the case 98% of the time (particularly most regular season games), there are instances wherein the books actually are yearning for lopsided money given insider information.   

I see a Bills-Falcons SB and the Falcons come out on top. 

Postponed.

Something fishy there...

I'll take it.

Washington ML @ +225 (0.5u) 

Record: 2-1 (+0.86u)

G'night all!

Scratch a "key player", load the opposite side, but "key player's" team wins. There was some fanfare about Murray being scrapped for Denver and tons of money loaded the Jazz, it didn't happen, and Denver won. If the hypothesis plays out, both Philly and Washington will win. It's a far-reach but hey... 

@IntuitionBets

 Apparently it was the day and not the hour eh? 

Hard to stop the Nugs when Jazz go ice cold and Jokic ties his all-time scoring high. Tough break but the L it is. 

Utah ML @ -115 (1u)

Record: 1-1 (-0.26u)

To end the day, I'm going a bit smaller. Washington ML @ +225 (0.5u) ... this isn't really the value play that it was this morning but I still like it for a spec. Riskier bet but bigger potential payout if they pull it off too. BOLTA

@Themachine11

 It still has to hit though, nothing in the bag until the game is over. Anything can happen.  Alright, alright... I'm done hijacking the thread and the forum. 

@Themachine11

 Yeah, I'm gonna pass. I'm on Utah @ -115, not gonna try to get greedy and hit the split. Something tells me that people are going to buy up the Jazz Spread now though and I think that's exactly what books want. Who knows... 

@Themachine11

 Thank you, I appreciate that!

@Themachine11

Sorry, didn't see you had just posted that. Yeah... I'm watching the lines right now. Something is up. I think you were spot on, Jamal probably won't play tonight. That's the only logical conclusion to the movement really.

Actually, ML already jumped from -115 to -145 and spread headed to -2.5, probably will settle around -3.5 if it really gets steam. If it gets there, I'd be rather tempted to take Denver with the +3.5 or +4 to be honest. 

@Themachine11

 Ah ok, I thought it was an official called that he was pulled. I think you're right, it could happen... let's see what the lines do.

@Themachine11

 Where you getting this info?

@Themachine11

I like all of these picks except for the Pacers and the Clippers but basically because I don't really have any lean on those games honestly. I like how you took the Washington spread to avert some risk with the Washington ML. Always a smart move when you have strong feelings towards a particular result. Good luck today!

A good start yesterday in a very close game. 

Lakers ML @ -135 (1u) 

Record: 1-0 (+0.74u)

Today I'm backing the Utah ML @ -115 (1u). Let's see how that one plays out and then perhaps I'll have something else for the later games. GLTA and hope everyone has a good Sunday!