Dezi

Dezi
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Posts: 41
Member Since: September 2014
Last Activity: 24 September 2022
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created a topic CFB Week 4 - Top 3 Picks
in College Football

Hi Everyone,

YTD CFB Posted Plays: 5-1

 

Clemson -7.5

 

Michigan State +3

 

Texas -7

 

GL to all an_cheers

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Dezi 1
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created a topic CFB Week 3 - Top 3 Picks
in College Football

Hi Everyone,

YTD CFB Posted Plays: 3-0 

Penn State -3

 

Oregon -3.5

 

Texas Tech +10.5

 

GL to all an_cheers

 

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Dezi 1
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created a topic NFL Week 1 - Top 3 Picks
in NFL Betting

Hi Everyone,

Ravens -7.5

Titans -5.5

Bears +7.5

 

Good luck to all an_cheers

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Dezi 1
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replied to CFB Week 2 - Top 3 Picks
in College Football

3-0 sweep moneyeyes 

 

 Nfl posting soon…

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Dezi 2
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created a topic CFB Week 2 - Top 3 Picks
in College Football

Hi Everyone,

 

Wake Forest -12.5 

 

BYU -2.5

 

Houston +3.5

 

GL to all an_cheers

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Dezi 2
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replied to Trust me Redskins is the play
in NFL Betting
Got them too.  

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DatExpert 30
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replied to Dont buy the hype on Cousins
in NFL Betting
Can we buy the hype for the Redskins run defense?
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ElCapitan 7
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replied to TNF week 4
in NFL Betting
Got Skins too.

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Norbert 10
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replied to *** MONDAY NFL ***
in NFL Betting
BOL
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badlands 13
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replied to Week 4
in NFL Betting
I like the Skins and Lions too.

BOL
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amd 177
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replied to Week 4 NFL Picks/Breakdown
in NFL Betting
Lions pk
The Lions have allowed the fewest yards per game this season.  They are also 3rd in fewest points allowed.  The Jets and Lions are number 1 and 2 in fewest rushing yards allowed.  However, the Jets rank 2nd in rushing yards per game while the Lions are in the bottom third of the league in running the football.  The Lions are 6th in passing yards while the Jets are 18th.  This shows that the Jets rely heavily on the run, and the Lions are equipped to stop it.  Meanwhile, the Jets have a makeshift secondary and will be challenged to stop the best receiver in football in Calvin Johnson and his receiver teammates.  Stafford should have a big day through the air spreading the ball to the receivers and tight ends.  Geno Smith continues to hurt his team with turnovers.  He has 3 touchdowns to his 4 interceptions thus far.  He has also fumbled once.  I don't think he will be able to make enough plays against this Detroit defense to keep pace with Stafford.

Falcons -3
Matt Ryan vs a rookie QB in Bridgewater.  The Falcons have their struggles on the road, but I don't see it happening against a mediocre Vikings defense who they have had more than a week to prepare for.  Atlanta doesn't have a great defense, but their offense is ranked number one in points per game in the NFL and it is a tough task for a rookie QB making his first career start to match that kind of production.  He will not have the safety valve that Adrian Peterson would have been either.  This is a confident Falcons team coming off a huge blowout win against Tampa.  I see them carrying the momentum into this game.

Patriots -3
I don't see Tom Brady losing to Alex Smith in primetime.  The Patriots defense has been excellent so far, as they rank in the top 5 in points allowed and in yards allowed.  They are also tied for the league lead with 6 interceptions.  Kansas City doesn't have explosive receivers, and one of them will be on Revis island at all times.  Alex Smith will have trouble finding his targets and will rely heavily on his tight end, as he has done all season.  Charles is expected to return but he doesn't have the offensive line to run behind as last year.  Bill Belichick knows this and should gameplan accordingly.  On the flipside, Tom Brady should be able to be efficient against a defense that has only forced one turnover this whole season.  KC is not as strong of a team as last year and it will be made more apparent on Monday night.
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Dezi 3
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replied to Week 4 NFL Picks/Breakdown
in NFL Betting
Redskins -3
Kirk Cousins has done a nice job filling in for the injured RGIII.  He has just as many TDs as Eli (5) despite playing a game less.  The Redskins are in the top 10 in both rushing yards and passing yards allowed.  Last week, they were able to keep McCoy and Sproles contained on the road in a losing effort.  If the Giants are unable to run the football, they will not be able to win this game relying on their air attack.  Even though it looked better last week against the Texans (the worst team in the league a year ago who did not have their number one draft pick playing), their passing game has looked out of sync for most of the season.  The new offensive coordinator just doesn't seem to be the right fit.  The Skins did lose to the Texans, but that game was on the road and Kirk Cousins did not play in that game.  The Giants secondary should give up big plays to Jackson and Garcon and the Redskins should force the Giants to become one dimensional and force Eli into some mistakes.  I like the Skins at home to win this one.
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Dezi 3
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replied to Week 5 NCAA Picks/Breakdown
in College Football
UCLA -4
A hobbled Hundley is likely to start against this Arizona State team who will likely start their backup capable backup QB due to injury.  Arizona State has put up an impressive 47 points per game, which is 7th in the nation.   However, when you analyze the level of competition so far, it is not so impressive.  They have played Weber St, New Mexico, and Colorado thus far.  UCLA has played tougher opponents that include Virginia and Texas.  They are a very defensive minded team and I expect they will be able to slow down the hot Arizona State offense.  Both teams are coming off a bye week and therefore should be focused for this one, despite the look-ahead situation both have with tough conference opponents ahead (Utah and Oregon for UCLA, USC and Stanford for ASU).  I believe the defensive ability of UCLA combined with the inexperience of the ASU QB will lead to untimely turnovers that will ultimately push UCLA to victory.
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Dezi 2
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created a topic Week 4 NFL Picks/Breakdown
in NFL Betting
YTD Posted Plays:

Listed as Win-Loss-Tie

NCAA: 7-8-0
NFL: 7-4-0
Total: 14-12-0 (54%)

This week's NFL picks:

Redskins -3 (teased 1/2 point)
Lions pk
Falcons -3
Patriots -3

Write-ups to follow.
Best of luck to everyone this week!
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Dezi 3
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created a topic Week 5 NCAA Picks/Breakdown
in College Football
YTD Posted Plays:

Listed as Win-Loss-Tie

NCAA: 7-8-0
NFL: 7-4-0
Total: 14-12-0 (54%)

This week's college picks:

UCLA -4
Temple -6.5
USC -9
Texas -13 (teased 1/2 point)

Write-ups to follow.
Best of luck to everyone this week!
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Dezi 2
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created a topic Week 3 NFL Picks/Breakdown
in NFL Betting
YTD Posted Plays:

Listed as Win-Loss-Tie

NCAA: 5-6-0
NFL: 4-3-0
Total: 9-9-0 (50%)

This week's NFL picks:

Falcons -6.5
They are a completely different team in the Georgia Dome than on the road.  The Bucs have really struggled this year.  They are 0-2 with the losses against the opposing quarterbacks Derek Anderson and Austin Davis.  To make things worse, those losses came at home.  Now they travel to a division rival, and have to face Matt Ryan (a much better QB than those previously mentioned).  This is a bounce-back game for Atlanta and I think they will find ways to spread the ball to their talented receiving core.  Defensively, Atlanta is nothing special...but they should make enough plays at home in a primetime game.  

Other games:
Cowboys pk
Texans -1
Cardinals +3

I will post write-ups for these games tomorrow.
Best of luck to everyone this week!



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Dezi 1
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created a topic Week 4 NCAA Picks/Breakdown
in College Football
YTD Posted Plays:

Listed as Win-Loss-Tie

NCAA: 5-6-0
NFL: 4-3-0
Total: 9-9-0 (50%)

This week's college picks:

Auburn -7 (teased 1/2 point)
Both team's have similar offenses that feature a dual threat QB.  Auburn, however, has a SEC defense that is built to compete with teams like Texas A&M, Alabama, and LSU.  K-state had to deal with all they could handle at Iowa State in their last game, barely pulling it out in the 4th quarter.  I believe Auburn is going to wear that defense down, and since they are a deeper team I believe that depth will show itself in the second half.  I expect a close first half due to the Wildcat's home crowd with Auburn pulling away late in the game.

Other Picks:
Missouri -13 (teased 1/2 point)
Texas A&M -33.5
Boise State -17

I will post write-ups for the rest of these games tomorrow.
Best of luck to everyone this week!
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Dezi 1
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replied to Week 2 NFL Picks/Breakdown
in NFL Betting
Cardinals -2.5
Assuming Carson Palmer is healthy, this team should have no trouble against the Giants.  The Giants offense looked silly against the Lions defense, and the Cards D is a completely different monster altogether.  I do not see the receivers finding much space against this defense, forcing Eli to make too many risky passes.  The Giants defense looked helpless against Megatron last week.  While the Cards don't have him, they do have a very, very good receiver in Larry Fitzgerald.  Also, it became apparent in the MNF game that Palmer will throw to whoever is open rather than forcing the ball to one player.  That means a big day for Michael Floyd if the Giants choose to double Fitzgerald.

Saints -6
Saints should put a hurting on the Browns in this recovery game for them.  Hoyer is solid enough at QB to drive the ball, but I am not sure he can keep pace with Drew Brees the way Matt Ryan did.  Rob Ryan should have the defense ready to go after grilling them all week in practice for giving up 37 points in week 1.  I predict a double digit win in this one for Who Dat.

Seahawks -5.5
I'm rolling with the Champs in spreads under a touchdown until someone proves they can score on them.  That defense is just too good and the offense looks explosive with the addition of a healthy Percy Harvin.  Everyone knows what Lynch can do and now it seems Wilson will be deadly with the play action passes to Percy Harvin and Doug Baldwin.  On the Chargers side, Rivers is a good QB but I do not believe he will be too successful throwing against this extremely talented secondary.  

That's all I'm playing for now.  Will add a play later if I like anything after looking into the games some more.
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Dezi 3
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replied to Pix Picks Week 3 college football
in Penalty Box
Good luck Pix 
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Pix 44
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replied to Week 3 NCAA Picks/Breakdown
in College Football
North Texas/Louisiana Tech over 48
Combined, both teams average 57 points per game while allowing 56 points per game.  Both teams played one of the traditional darlings of the Big 12 in their opener (Texas and Oklahoma) and got rocked.  However, they both played very well last week and were able to get their offenses rolling, scoring 43 and 48 points.  This pick is more about me following a trend in the early season, as LA Tech has been over both games, and North Texas is 1-1, with the under only being off by 2 points.  I foresee a high scoring battle in this one.

I posted this write-up for now as the other games are not until Saturday.  Will post those tomorrow.

Best of luck to everyone this week.
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Dezi 4
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