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Everyone seems to be focused on the USC/Utah game but something else caught my eye.. 

North Texas 1H +5.5 -110 , 1.5u  BOL

Love the Wilson / Ekeler picks. Ridin with ya! Just a note about Conklin, White loves to check down to his TEs and RBs. Conklin could see a breakout game here if that's the case. BOL either way and thanks for sharing

Another one that fits... 

Correct Score Parlay: 

2:1 Poland over Mexico +1100 

1:1 France/Aus Tie +1000 

$10 to win $1,320 

GL

The first round of the world cup is when I'll gladly throw $10 on a lotto parlay to make the games more enjoyable. Anything can happen when you're on the world's biggest stage.. we saw this earlier this morning with the Saudis beating Argentina. 

Here's the parlay (SGPx on DraftKings) 

First game:

Mbappe Goal -140

Australia o2.5 total corners -150

Australia/Tie Double Chance 

Second game: 

Lewandowski goal +190 

Poland to win +195

Comes out to +12850 - $10 to win ~1,285 with the SGPx boost on DK. 

Again, this is unlikely to hit, especially with the conflicting nature of picks in the first game. BUT.. crazier things have happened in the world cup. 

My thought process: France hindered by injuries yet Mbappe should score because no Benzema. Australia will play their hearts out and try to limit their offense, while maybe even putting in a goal of themselves. 1-1 FT is my lean here, hence the double chance with mbappe goal. Second game, Lewandowski should be too much for this Mexican team. Probably see a goal here from both sides but thinking 2-1 Poland FT. 

Good luck GO SMALL IF TAILING. 

Nice call on the Saudis

Well there's a Hilliard touchdown to start. Is Tannehill just gonna sling the rock all game? Stay tuned

Seeing boosts all over for this man to score a touchdown and hit various rushing yard totals. Both teams are coming off four days of rest, and it seems like Tennessee could easily limit Henry's workload given that their playoff chances are looking great.. Worth noting though that Henry didn't see his ceiling workload on Sunday, so maybe they saved it for tonight in Lambeau? We'll see, just want to start a discussion. Took advantage of some of the extremely high alt-under for his yards in a few parlays I threw together..

I view Miami as my "second team" so I'm riding with ya. BOL

BOL  

Morning covers fam.. Did well in the college streets this week so we'll give NFL a stab here. Got a couple I like right off the bat, will update throughout the day if I see anything noteworthy. 

Bills/Vikings u45.5 1u (44.5 is fine too, but prefer 45.5 if you can get it) - Bills are coming off an embarrassing loss to the Jets. I expect the defense to be firing at full force here, and Kirk Cousins sucks on the road overall. its cold with possible weather issues in Buffalo today - Allen is used to thriving in these game environments regardless of his current injury woes. Look for the Bills to make a defense statement here, and for the weather to have an impact on offensive production. 

Bucs ML -145 1u - Brady can gash this Seahawk's secondary if he's on point this morning. Spread has moved from -1 to now -3 so that's promising in my eyes, although I'd rather play it safe and ride the ML considering TBs piss poor record ATS this year. Small play given the odds.. and nothing beats some early action. 

Rams ML -130 but moving.. 1u - Kyler Murray doubtful / overall consensus is he's not playing. We can't even make up how bad the Rams need a win... although this is a crucial game for both teams who sit at 3 wins. Rams defense should give the cardinals O some trouble, especially backed by the home crowd. Odds seem kinda trappy all things considered, but this could end up being a gift. I'll bite. 

BOL all, no matter what side you're on. Enjoy your Sunday!  Let someone know you care about them today. 

2-1 yesterday.. what a great read on the ECU/Cinci game. Fell a little short on the UNLV/Fresno game, but wasn't too high on that one anyway. 

I'll make a separate thread next week and for NFL tomorrow. For today I'll just throw a couple more picks I like in here. BOL

Liberty -13.5 1u, this team is SO much better than they get credit for. Gonna smoke UConn if the stars align here. 

Tenn -19.5 1u - you know they need it for a statement in the rankings, I'll take my chances.

South Florida +17.5 1u - Always weary with South Florida spreads but more than 17 at home against a bad SMU pass defense is enough for me to take. 

HAVE A GREAT SATURDAY, bol no matter what side you're on.  

Covers fam, got a couple I like for tonight.. 

We'll start out with the ECU/Cinci game - the first point to make is that Cinci has been a letdown all year. Super easy schedule compared to last year. To me, they're allowing teams to keep it close that Vegas thinks they should be blowing out fairly easily.. especially these past four or five weeks. ECU is an interesting one, on the other hand. This team is hot right now and keeping every game close. I think they're a lot better than the committee/general public gives them credit for. They're on a 3 game win streak, coming off a huge one vs BYU at their home field. Wins over UCF, Memphis, and South Florida - note that UCF beat Cinci and South Florida should have. 

I think ECU surprises here - a lot of people are riding the Cinci "must-win" narrative at home. 4.5 points is a lot to give to this ECU team. I also see both teams scoring 3 TDs each here no problem, given the nature of these conference matchups. 

Picks: 

ECU +4.5 -110 DK 2u 

Cinci/ECU o51.5 -110 1u

Fresno State/UNLV u61 -110 0.5u : I'll keep this one short. I was originally leaning toward the large +9.5 spread for home dogs UNLV, but I'm not exactly sold they'll cover here. What I am sold on is the fact that they've lost 4 games in a row, and this will be one of their last home games to try and prove a point. Fresno St is certainly the better team, but I expect UNLV to do everything in its power to prevent a boatload of scoring from the opposing side. Could see this being a 30-20 or 34-20 type of game in favor of Fresno. 

Best of luck everyone 

You've been an absolute legend lately Bruno, well done helped me win a parlay today

Gonna try to start doing this every week for both CFB and NFL as I've been profitable to start the season. It only takes hitting a couple of these every week to keep the ball rolling! BOL today Covers fam. 

* Navy ML +130 - If they control the pace with their run game, they could end up winning this one against a Houston team that's largely struggled compared to last year. Wouldn't go big here, I think the odds could be better, but wouldn't be surprised if they pulled it off. 

* Duke ML +300 - Miami might get exposed today. Duke has hung in there with GT, UNC, and Kansas - all just as good as Miami IMO. These odds are great value to me. 

* UCLA +190 - Two high powered offenses here, and the more I look at this game, the more I think we might be looking at a shootout. In terms of a more complete offense, I think UCLA takes the cake with Charbonnet and DTR. If they can limit Bo Nix and get the ball out quickly on offense, I think we're looking good here. Spread is just as good at +100 for +6. 

That's all for now! A few more I'm looking at but that I'll probably end up avoiding. Happy to give leans if anyone wants them though 

Have fun today, let's win some dough

@football_007

 Apologies, Woodruff* same train of thought applies. 10+ strikeouts L4 , exceeding 6+ IP in each of those outings. Looks good

Personally thinking the Brewers are in the greatest spot they could be in tonight. Burnes on the mound who's looked great in his recent starts (although can get smoked at any time). It's a must-win for them if they want a fighting chance at the playoffs. I'll be riding with Brewers -1.5 although I can't say I'm super confident given all the "tanking" theories out there. 

Phillies on the other hand, have a much tougher spot on the paper. Astros bats are elite and although Nola is great, they could easily give him trouble. I want to believe Nola can get the job done, but I'm also hesitant whether his team can even give him the runs he needs against McCullers. 

Also, seems like both these games could easily go under given pitching/playoffs around the corner. Thoughts? BOL everyone

I'm thinking the same... Just hope the bats can give him a lead at some point. BOL