Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
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@theclaw Yes, they might. |
theclaw | 30 |
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I did end up betting CLV, but I was late and just got CLV + 3.5/-113. Congratulations on grabbing a fine line, TC. |
theclaw | 30 |
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Good luck this week. |
theclaw | 30 |
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@Yanasaur That is a tough way to lose. |
Newtons Law | 7 |
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Quote Originally Posted by iConsciousness:
Quote Originally Posted by Cowbeagle: Lowest of 5 books I see at 23 1/2 is draft kings at -135, lowest at 24 1/2 is Fan Duel at -106 Thanks for that info. I live in a non-gambling state, so my choices are a local or an offshore book. CA definitely needs to legalize gambling so I can get my hands on a variety of options.
Las Vegas wants visitors from California, so naturally they want to keep sports betting illegal here and apparently they have too much influence over CA legislators. I'd love to have legalized sports betting here in CA. Congratulations on your winning day. |
iConsciousness | 11 |
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@theclaw I hope you are well. |
theclaw | 39 |
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Fabulous year. Many congratulations. |
jowchoo | 39 |
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Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
Bills -2 over KC --- 1.1 units Bills are strong at home but not so strong to be into regression. Bills consistently Been in the top 5 pts per plays margin while KC is below the threshold of .090 that neither Brady or Mahomes have Been able to win the SB. And KC well below that Treshold. KC 7-0 in close 1 score wins with no 14 pt blowout wins. Horrendous ratio. Mahomes or no Mahomes teams teams are not winning the SB with these numbers. Close wins is not a good indicator of strong teams. We just saw this with the Texans, 5-1 SU and 4-0 in close 1 score games. And coming off a strong showing last year in close wins. Similar to what the Eagles did last year starting 10-1 and then bang they lose 5 straight. Texans loss 3 of last 4 and go 1-3 in close 1 score games. Close wins are not repeatable, more luck based then skill based. Now I see NFL analyst stating how KC is so good at close 1 score wins, ha, funny stuff. KC day is coming. It is not "IF"but only "WHEN" Mahomes or no Mahomes. This close games query says KC is a good fade this week: AD and tS(0 < margin < 7.5, N = 7) > 4.5 SU: 8-29 (-8.9,21.6%) ATS: 11-26 (-5.0,29.7%) Away dogs who won at least 5 of their last 7 games by 1 to 7 points are just 11-26 ATS in their next game. Since they failed to cover by an average of 5 points, I decided to take a bit of a chance and sold 3.5 points for one unit: BUF -5.5/+159. Several of the ESPN Bet Live handicappers like KC, so beware. I am having a bad NFL season, so I hope I did not jinx this thread, TC. Good luck everybody. |
theclaw | 39 |
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Excellent season. Good luck. |
jowchoo | 46 |
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Gallego has defeated Lake: https://www.abc15.com/news/national-politics/election-2024/democrat-ruben-gallego-wins-senate-race-against-kari-lake-according-to-decision-desk |
Flynt | 393 |
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[Quote: Originally Posted by icemantbi]How long is it going to take to call these last two states? I have a final prop bet of Trump to win Georgia NC Arizona and Nevada. Arizona and Nevada are both showing healthy leads ifor trump don't understand why it's taking so long to call and the percentage reporting is barely moving.[/Quote] Congratulations. CNN has projected that Trump wins AZ: https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/trump-election-house-11-09-24#cm3auajb400003b6ntv5ryryj It might take days for the results to be finalized though. Unless you anticpate earning interest on your winnings, it shouldn't matter how long it takes (it won't take months). |
icemantbi | 12 |
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NPR called NV for Trump at 10:10 A.M. Eastern standard time: chttps://www.npr.org/2024/11/09/g-s1-33582/donald-trump-wins-nevada
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icemantbi | 12 |
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Election results could take up to 13 days, Maricopa County warns https://www.fox10phoenix.com/election/election-results-could-take-up-13-days-maricopa-county-warns Maricopa county is the most populous county. It includes Phoenix. |
icemantbi | 12 |
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Quote Originally Posted by unplucked_gem:
Quote Originally Posted by Midnight1: Frankly, I'm sick of this topic & will not spend anymore time on it. https://www.c-span.org/video/?539063-1/president-trump-campaigns-aurora-colorado Go to the 35:12 mark of his speech & you will hear exactly what I posted. If you don't believe this is a threat then Bless Your Heart. Nope, not a threat. This is why your side lost and remains perplexed. I cannot and will not speak to the allegations of anything done on the Harris interview. However what he is saying is that if they conducted an interview and manipulated it in an attempt mislead voters just prior to an election, shouldn't they lose their license. Now I don't know or care as to the licensing regulations of news agencies but I do know on its face it seems worse than Douglas Mackey. But if you're seriously trying to argue he's going to try and take their media license, you're nuts and write me when it happens!! I will agree with you in that Trump has made MANY empty threats that he never followed up on. However, tens of millions of people who value a free press and news in general will be outraged if Trump DOES take CSPAN's license. There would be blowback in the 2026 off-year elections. I want the Democrats to make gains in 2026, but not for this terrible reason. |
joe pockets | 232 |
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Good luck. |
begginerboy | 25 |
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created a topic
Project 2025's Hiring Rules --- This is hilarious. Trump fans and voters should skip it.
in Politics https://www.youtube.com/shorts/51JKSpmjSko While it is funny, it also shows that Trump thinks he's above the law and beyond any reasonable ethics. |
DogbiteWilliams | 12 |
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Nice hit. |
vanzack | 34 |
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replied to
Lamar is 5-14-1 ATS when the fav by 6 or more points the past 4 years. Do they cover tonight?
in NFL Betting MizuNoYoNiNaru is correct. CIN average points in the 4Q this year: Scored 5.9 Allowed 8.6 (their worst quarter) I am not a fundamental handicapper, so I have no idea if it's bad coaching or poor fitness. |
Interstellar | 10 |
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Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
This week 2 new teams moved into the top 5 in pts per plays margin. Chargers into 4th .124 and Ravens tied for 5th with Steelers at .118. Both new teams are above the .117 of past SB winners at least as of Nov 1st. Steelers have the better road/home splits. Where as the Ravens are strong at home but weak on the road. Not sure if this is meaningful but eventually I'll look into it. Seems to me SB winners should be good either at home or on the road. The Bears had the worst splits going into the Zona game last week being very good at home but outplayed by a decent amount on the road and Zona beat the pants off them in Zona. This is not a new phenomenon; it dates back to Lamar Jackson and seasons 2018 to date. Stats from Gimme the Dog (Killer Sports may differ): team = Ravens and season > 2017 and A SU = 35-21 (5.3,62.5%) ATS = 35-19-2 (3.9,64.8%) team = Ravens and season > 2017 and H SU = 38-20 (7.6,65.5%) ATS = 27-30-1 (2.7,47.4%) That is a stark differential, but it might not work in any particular game (just like any other handicapping method). |
theclaw | 40 |
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Quote Originally Posted by FredLeonard:
He's werfless he's on my disability fantasy team LOL! |
Docfergie | 12 |
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