DogbiteWilliams

Good luck.

Yeah, one you can sink your teeth into.

For those of you having trouble copying and pasting queries into the Reply field, I suggest trying this:

Copy the query, then enter the Reply field.  Type a few characters and, without moving your browser, right click and choose "Paste as plain text" and then delete those few added characters.

I uses Chrome and that nearly always works for me.  Good luck.

I was able to post that query from Comment #32 using my preferred SDQL at GTD:

PO = 1 and p:PY < 150 and A and -4.2 < line < 4.2

ATS:  15-5-0 (3.1, 75.0%)

Good luck everybody.

[Quote: Originally Posted by Indigo999]18)  A playoff away dog that passed for less than 150 yards the previous game.....29-17 ATS (+1.9), 19-27 straight up (-2.9).....if instead the line is between -4 and +4 this moves to 15-4 ATS (+3.4), 12-7 straight up (+2.4).......Bills   query text.......playoffs=1 and p:passing yards<150 and A and -4

Great query.  I strongly favor BUF and appreciate the extra support.

Dan Campbell became the DET coach in the 2021 season.

season > 2020 and po:team = Lions and p:WAD (SU 3-2) (ATS 2-3).  No decisive edge there.

season > 2020 and po:team = Lions and p:WAD and AD (SU and ATS 0-1).  One result is meaningless, so I don't think WAS is hopeless.

season > 2020 and po:team = Lions and p:WAD and p:margin > 6.5 (SU and ATS 1-0).  One result is meaningless, so I don't think WAS is a lock.

WAD teams probably did not get physically manhandled. Of course 5 takeaways may have made WAS look stronger than they really were; DET outgained WAS by 40 total yards.

I haven't found anything yet worth acting on.  The way this season has been going that's probably a good thing.

Good luck.

True.  I would never place any wagers based on query results of just 4 games, but it does show that dome teams are not doomed in frigid conditions.

HOU is 3-1 SU and ATS as a road dog when the temperature is under 28F degrees.

I think that sounded better in the original Martian.

I've got HOU and LAR, but good luck to you and your many tailers.  You are having a MUCH better season than I am.

Good luck tonight.

I salute your personal integrity in this forum.

Good luck to you and your many tailers even though I have the LAR tonight.

That was certainly informative.  Thanks.

The LAC went from 5 regular-season wins to 11 in Harbaugh's first season.  While they might continue to improve, they will be saddled with a much-tougher schedule next season.

From ESPN:

"Herbert threw a league-low three interceptions during the regular season but had four against the Texans, making him the first player in NFL history to throw more picks in a playoff game than in the regular season (minimum 200 attempts)."

https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/43378121/herbert-4-ints-critical-play-chargers-season-ends

I did not watch that game, so I have no idea if he stunk, the receivers played as if drunk on junk, or HOU's DEF made Herbert look like a punk.

@theclaw

Yes, "W" = SU win and "ATSW" = against the spread win.

BAL won SU but did not cover, so that query was a mixed bag.  The other query that said to fade PIT ATS did work.

@theclaw

From Comment #52 - We can make a case the hottest is also Ravens, off 4 wins and 4 ATS wins

You have a good point, TC.  This query for PlayOff Home Favorites is fairly easy to compose or understand:

PO = 1 and HF and p:W and pp:W and ppp:W and pppp:W and p:ATSW and pp:ATSW and ppp:ATSW and pppp:ATSW (Lower case "p" stands for "previous".)

SU:  14-7-1 (2.6,66.7%)

ATS:  7-15 (-4.5,31.8%)

I did not take PIT because I have another query that says fade PIT (it is 2-9 ATS) based on the difference in team wins and # of weak DEF efforts the last five games.

Great research.  Thanks for the time and effort.

Good luck.

Excellent point.  For the fourth straight road (Away) playoff games the query is very simple:

PO = 1 and A and p:A and pp:A and ppp:A

SU:  0-7 (-10.1, 0.0%)

ATS:  1-5-1 (-5.9, 16.7%)

This includes all fourth straight road games regardless of wins and losses.  Off 3 straight road wins road playoff teams are 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS.