Doodlebop

This game has a 24-13 type score eagles

@googotts

 Kentucky’s star running back IS playing that just means Clemson has a lot of footage from the entire season to game plan for him.

@googotts

 Clemson is the play.   Yes, they have their back ups playing at some key defensive positions but guess what they’re not just some guys they pulled off the street there four star recruits and they’re probably close to being just as good as the starters.  

their talent level is just better than Kentucky’sFirst or second string players.

we just saw it with USC’s offense, back up wide, receivers, tight ends, a backup quarterback.  They are also four star recruits, and the Talent level was just so much better than Louisville.

Clemson 31-10 ish

@JoeyMargs

 Sorry Army doesn't cover this huge line.  Umass will put up a few scores.  Army was taxed last week.  They will be celebrating senior day and taking Umass lightly

45-18 type game.

Awesome.  10 out of 10x's someone makes this sort of comment its always a loss.   I now will take MD.

BAma defense is going to shut down the Miami offense.  Bama O will find it self mid way through and put up 28-31 points.  But more importantly the Defense will not let Miami score more then 7 points and the garbage TD will not happen against this Defense.  So Bama is a solid full game bet.  NOt sure of the first half.  But full game is Bama.

Teams taken out of routine.  i.e. they played a mid week game or a very early or late game the previous saturday have a tendency to come out and win on the road as an underdog.  Nebraska had there routine altered by cancelling game last week due to covid.  Anyway the pick here is Nebraska +4 buy the hook.  According to logic Northwestern should cover.   But there is something in between logic and ridiculousness which I cal "I don't know why these things happen but they do."  i.e. Qbs out, or starting red shirt freshman, defense is decimated, Rb is hurt, WR is out, windy, raining. should of, could of, bla bla.  Whatever

"I don't know why these things happen but they do."  I'm confident enough from experience to trust trust that.

GL

All these points are valid.  Thats why it makes no sense when these Friday upsets happen.

Throw out the numbers, the stats, injuries.   Friday night underdogs in late oct and early nov have a history of winning outright.  Tonight If i had to choose NC state wins.  Although San Jose State comes in second.  But NC state is home. So..   I don't know why this happens, but it does.

31-28 NC state.  Although after the upset no body will tear down the goal posts.....no fans........ :/

Also to note although GB was windy yesterday and the total went over.  I am in NYC as well and it is so Fken windy right now.  My gazebo tent was on the verge of being ripped off the frame.  I just now took the tent off.  Because thats what it takes for me to take it off.  When my wife tells me to take the tent down 50x's i just don't.  But when mother nature says to i listen.

Anyway. Windy, cold, the total went from 45 to 46.  wtf.  the bait line is at 13.  This game is going over...

So Tampa bay traveled across country last week to play da Raiders. Traveled back across country to Tampa after the game.  Doubt there was any significant prep for a Giant team that is terrible had covid issues last week.  Then took a flight North to N.J.   -13.5 or whatever seems like the typical bait line.  Tampa has the Saints next week plus they are a warm weather team not counting Brady who is use to it.   My gut tells me and past experience from 23 years of this are suggesting to me the disgusting Giants jump out to a 10-0 lead (some how) before the Bucs pull there act together.  Come back to make it 28-10 then the Giants score the garbage TD 28-17.  To make it worse they onside kick Tampa recovers, takes it down to the NYG 5 yard line, first and goal.  And thats where the Kneel down and end the game.   Most degenerates on TB will be feeling, fat, buzzed and disgusted at that time and depending on how much you bet on Tampa possibly getting ready to fill out an online Home equity load tomorrow.

GL. 

I think Tampa bay over 14 first half team total is a good bet.

GL

Thank you.  Everyone is on FSU and this guy is Hammering it!  Awesome. Syracuse it is.

Sorry but that is how it goes on this site.

I just think this game is 20-0 late 4th and you know it comes down to a 4th and goal for Miami.

I just think this game is 20-0 late 4th and you know it comes down to a 4th and goal for Miami.

I disagree.  Pitts QB 4th career start.  Pitt will play conservative.  Plus to cover 14 points you have to play perfect.  No turn overs. make all extra points and field goals no stupid penalties.  With that said and if Pitt does that there is always what if Miami goes up 7-0 or 10-0 before Pitt settles in.  To hard to cover a big line in the NFL especially when teams just want to come away with a W.

Teams that lose on MNF seem to win or cover the following week from my 20+ years watching the NFL.

What i do like about this game is the humidity is going to be nearly 83% at game time.  Games with high humidity often see players extremely fatigued.  High score games tend to happen.  I think the best bet here is to take over 40 and give it a quarter and a half and the score will come in bunches when defenders are sucking wind.

31-28 someone.

NE has a lot of injuries on offense.  Josh Gordon is out.  Jets have a very good LB coming back tonight.  Only makes sense to take the OVER

Bet against any NFL team that has a QB or multiple players from that team doing commercials on TV.  Bet against any team where there QB, Running backs solidified a big contract for themselves.    All these players don't care about winning like you think they would.  They are making as much money as they could while there relevant, that is where there priority lies.  They are in the league a short time and they are cashing in as anyone of us would.

Goff, Prescott, Mahomes, Mayfield, Cam Newton, to name a few.  

Zack Elliot. Guy is a modern day hippie with his hair and nose rings.  He just got him self a big contract.  He doesn't care about winning.  After a lost they will say the right things at the press conference.  But come on, he runs with a ball for a living and he is a multi millionaire.   If his team wins. great.  if not.  great.  He's paid.  He doesn't care.  Anyone reading this post wouldn't care.

Fade KC tonight.  Denver by double digits.  I'm sure Mahomes is thinking about his next State Farm payday....

Only exemption to this for some reason is Arron Rogers.  Maybe because he won a superbowl before doing state farm commercials.