grande11111

MLB – 2016

156-143-3, $ +3,079.95, +5.15% RoR

8/19, 3-0, +607.48

8/20, Flat $200.00 

Rays -109, +145, Griffin/Odorizzi

The matchup changes everything here. The Rays failing versus the lefty Hamels was predictable but now bettors are jumping on the Rangers bandwagon and the Rays have the better pitcher (72.2/62.2) and take a 41.5 rating, 7.20 oera and 10 quality performances in their last 15 shots at righty. (Rangers 36.8, 4.2, 7 qs)

Orioles -139, Fiers/Tillman

The Astros exploded last night but it was not an out of character performance for them as they got off to a great start by bombing the lefty Miley. Righty, especially good ones like Tillman are a different story. In that area they have given only 4 quality performances their last 15 and show a probable oera of 2.73. The O’s counter with 9 of 15 and 7.42.

Marlins +111, Phelps/Kuhl

There may be a lot of “gut feeling” on my part in this play but I think bettors consistently overvalue the Pirates and HFA.  I won’t even explain the differences as they are all pretty slim. If you don’t like it, don’t play.

Phillies +121, Weaver/Hellickson

The ridiculous line of the day. Lucas Weaver has not shown us much and Hellickson is having a great season. To top it off the Phillies are the much higher offensive probability team today and also have HFA, for whatever it is worth. False favorite here folks.

Red Sox -129, Pomeranz/Norris

No comparison here. The Red Sox hold every important categorical edge for a 61.7% win probability.

Royals -139, Santiago/Kennedy

Never stand in front of a freight train with a head of steam built up when they bring their best righty against an offense that is inconsistent and struggling at the moment. Again, last night I said the Royals are getting what they need and of course the offense came through in the tenth. Snapping at the Tigers heels now and they can smell blood in the water.

BOL  

Curious Key-what's your take on Maddon, Cub's manager? Everyone seems enamored with him and why not-Cubs on cruise control! However, last night, he makes a very curious move, bringing in a very rusty pitcher in a tough situation. He had other options but he brings in Rondon. Of course, the Cubs go on to lose a game they had in hand. No biggie right? I mean your up 30 games and it's cruise control. However, to my eye, it points out the potential achilles heel of the Cubs! There pullpen is still a crapshoot basis, especially in pressure situations. They literally have one shut down guy in Chapman.

No, it was "genius" Joe who screwed that game up. He brought in a pitcher who hadn't thrown in 10 days, completely rusty and the Cards, as one might assume,  lit him up! Seriously, Joe-you "had" to bring him in a pressure filled situation?

Lmao! Genius Joe, blows another game by bringing in a very rusty relief pitcher. Wait till the games really start to count and the noose tightens, lol. The Cuds are a  ways from a WS shoe-in !!!