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Teaser:
[712] NORTH CAROLINA -5-110 (B+4) [714] VIRGINIA -3½-110 (B+4) 5 Units |
gtrain | 2 |
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replied to
Time for your daily dose of "Oh no I bet against the warriors and just lost money again"
in NBA Betting
6 points against the mavs was kinda a joke tho- if you took the points, you prob deserve to lose that money
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gtrain | 6 |
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created a topic
Time for your daily dose of "Oh no I bet against the warriors and just lost money again"
in NBA Betting
Get it started now...
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gtrain | 6 |
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12.5 points seems tempting. But you just don't ever bet against the warriors.
Stick to the over/under, if anything.
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gtrain | 1 |
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You obviously don't follow sports trends that closely... this was a HUGE grudge match for the warriors, and always has been.
The warriors//clippers matchup will ALWAYS be a game that both teams go hard in no matter what. |
gtrain | 6 |
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The warriors are so ridiculously good this year, how you ever gonna confidently bet against them
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gtrain | 6 |
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O/U 23.5 points
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gtrain | 4 |
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Who is the backup pg if livingston is out? lol I legitimately don't know
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Proxyi | 14 |
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Points + Assists O/U 30.5
3 pointers O3.5 (+110) Anyone touching either of these?
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gtrain | 1 |
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Took Bobcats +7
Low scoring game so each point means more, and they are same conference so they know eachother well. Plus chicago isn't playing super well. And with the public POUNDING chicago, there's added value in bobcats right now. Bobcats +7
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SwaggerHouse | 3 |
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Took Bobcats +7
Low scoring game so each point means more, and they are same conference so they know eachother well. Plus chicago isn't playing super well. And with the public POUNDING chicago, there's value in bobcats right now. Bobcats +7
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Mancity | 10 |
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NY//Memphis U184
-NY is shit and memphis slows the game down, so even if they score at will they won't run it. Charlotte + 7 Same conference,so Charlotte knows how chicago plays, low-scoring game meaning each point worth a little more. Majority of action is on Chicago, so added value to fade public |
gtrain | 1 |
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Gotta take the under in the NY//Memphis game - knicks can't score, and it will just be exaggerated against a solid memphis defense.
Additionally, Memphis plays a slow style of ball, so even if they do score at will, they aren't going to run up and down. 184 is low but the under still looks like a LOT of value here. I'm also taking Charlotte + 7... low scoring game (o/u is at 191) and both teams are same conference - I'll give the edge to the underdog in these games. It's low scoring so each point in that spread means that much more. Additionally, they know how eachother play better than non-conference games, so these are typically closer. Charlotte won their last meeting by 10, so I'm thinking taking 7 points is value
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collegegambler | 14200 |
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ha what does that mean?
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gtrain | 8 |
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Can't find it anywhere
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gtrain | 8 |
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lol didn't realize the forum switched swear words like that.
Just messin' with ya ; )
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collegegambler | 14200 |
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Not watchin' a K play??
Might as well just tell us your jinxin us. garbage
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collegegambler | 14200 |
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Okay, cool - that's kinda what I was thinking.. that makes sense.
So, how do I judge what the "cutoff" point should be for whether a particular game is worth being bet on. Besides just saying, "Well I feel like this game is solid".... are there general parameters that successful gamblers setup with themselves, that allow them to have a solid, objective, understanding of when a game crosses the threshold from "not worth of being bet on" to "Worthy of being bet on"
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gtrain | 12 |
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Also - this is assuming that both individuals are betting 1% of their bankroll on every single bet, and never waivoring in that respect.
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gtrain | 12 |
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So, I'm just starting out and curious about this from a statistical standpoint
I've heard that it's most beneficial to bet only a few games every day. But, if I'm someone whose betting 1-2 games each day, and over the course of 100 days, I've bet on a total of 100-200 games and have a win % of, say, 15% (pretty solid).... What's the difference between that, and someone who goes crazy betting 20 games each day, and afte 1-2 months, has the same amount of total bets as the above individual, with an equal win%? Is it any more/less likely that the 2nd individuals results are "lucky" compared with the first individual? I guess I'm trying to suss out what the principle behind betting only a few bets each day is Thanks
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gtrain | 12 |
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