herbshack

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replied to September Dogs - Starting with $4k in MLB Betting Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1: What a wonderful & interesting article Herbshack well put indeed Thanks. I've honestly never known exactly how the green bar meter below usernames is calculated here.....and I should figure that out. And it is nice to see some of the champs like you, Oldirty, barney and achilles and the rest of yalls shout out. I do my best. always thought of myself as pretty average because it is just very slow (but steady growth). Glad to contribute positively! Will continue through the playoffs; however, it is winding down here because I really just don't ever bet the playoffs much in any sport. Rarely any soft, exploitable lines. But if we have anything, will post! View Post \| View Thread	herbshack	1630	October 17, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to September Dogs - Starting with $4k in MLB Betting Quote Originally Posted by Roni7722110: Please allow more testimonials you champion! Cheers brutha! Short and sweet. Thanks for all the kind words guys. View Post \| View Thread	herbshack	1630	October 17, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to September Dogs - Starting with $4k in MLB Betting For today: Los Angeles Dodgers -0.75 +113 vs Milwaukee Brewers $27 to win $30.51 MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Team going into the weekend on a win streak of 8 or more: 16-32 SU (+23.19 units, +42.6% roi to fade) - Fade the Brewers KEY TEAM TRENDS: The Brewers are 29-44-3 (+16.1% roi to fade) AGAINST since Jul 08, 2016 as a home dog The Dodgers are 28-11 ON (+13.4% roi) since Aug 24, 2018 as a favorite View Post \| View Thread	herbshack	1630	October 12, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to September Dogs - Starting with $4k in MLB Betting Not much action lately in MLB playoffs...course there never really is for me. I know it is an MLB thread, but thought I'd share a somewhat relevant insight: Why it is relevant? Because, in the first place, betting dogs in September revolves around this concept where, as I see it, the $$$ in sports betting and most markets where human sentiment is involved and human error is the thing most capitalized on, doing the opositite of the public, a wise man once told me: you could make a career out of...and that's it. Don't overthink that he said or else you start thinking square like the rest. It isn't that the public is dumb....in fact I honestly believe...but it is only because they're usually bigger sports fans than me, that 'the public' is probably the #1 best handicapper of games. But do they understand the investing qualities such as finding value and pinching your nose....going against your sports fan convictions as they're generally unrelated to making money and often used against you? Or do they have the discipline to do that nose pinching and placing bets that twist their guts and make them feel unwise and uncomfortable and deal with a sub .500 win percent day to day? Usually no: And this is, I believe, why Vegas and Bookmakers even exist in the very first place. And what I like so much about any business endeavor I make the decision to delve into is: sustainability. There are many ways to skin the cat, and I do believe that going with the grain and being the best you can be and keeping the best tabs and listening to all the ESPN stuffed suits have to say: if you stick to your guns and make a system out of that and are able to leave day to day emotions a non-factor, then you've got money in the bank. Hard work does indeed pay off. But, and I am not honestly sure, but just guessing on this part: I doubt that the hard work, not factoring value against the public into your equation, hardcore sports fan approach works in the long term. And to me, being a bit older now and thinking about long term goals and thinking about all of you (who I do love and have a desire to see do well and take something out of what I'm doing).... ....I recall what some (not going to name names because it isn't relevant in this case I don't think) very well accomplished older guy, big shot...but very wise CEO of a large company had to say in a Forbes interview: He was asked, what would you like to pass on as a final thought to young folks trying to start a business of their own as you did and you had a lot of success. What was the most important one or two things you don't regret? The man answered, and it is something I remind myself of very often: "The best company will never ever assume that, the way they feel now: enthusiastic, proactive, willing to work all nighters because they love their young creation and see big potential....they're always going to burn out. UNLESS....they have a system. A system that does not rely on waking up every morning and being in the mood you were in yesterday. It is a human trait to have a mood one day, and react to negative news, by and large, with a decreased morale and good news with a proactive desire to continue forward enthusiasticly. But to assume that, any one of us is some kind of machine that wakes up each day the same exact way with the same motivation and energy, no matter the age (well and it is also a delusion that you'll never get old) is highly unwise. Rather, a system is the way to go. And specifically: a system that is automated as much as possible....NOT BY YOU...or your employees, but by some mechanism that you 100% know will never ever have ebb and flow moods....will never catch a cold and get sick...never get a little depressed and make a human error. Do this and you've done more than half the battle and are on your way to bigger and much more real LONG TERM success which you can compound. Why long term success is > flash in the pan explosive successs? That's another animal...I hope most of you understand why the former is much more valuable, but a topic for another time. To summarize, September is when people direct their attentions to NFL and we have a lot more exploits and 'soft lines' in MLB. But now we have the playoffs so we just do the same thing: direct attention to the soft lines where we have a plethora of non-marquee exploits: NHL right now is perfect. Not many ever realize it started. Soft lines. Go get em. I know you all want me to make an NFL thread or an NHL thread, and I may, but I'd like to see you guys do that. PM me for systems if you need. You can cite me as the source if you want, but try and apply the bigger concepts. Look for slow growth. Ignore the guys that pop into the thread and belittle what we've done because it took years. Those guys probably have nothing to boast of that beats it. Gambling is hard....slow, long term, under the radar, steady growth and a system that doesn't eat up all of your time = a solid, low effort side biz you hardly ever even think about. Cheers! View Post \| View Thread	herbshack	1630	October 12, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to September Dogs - Starting with $4k in MLB Betting Quote Originally Posted by MrECapps: New all-time highs for the thread, I believe! Yessir! Current Bankroll: $14,254.11 from $4000 (+256.35 units) View Post \| View Thread	herbshack	1630	October 12, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to September Dogs - Starting with $4k in MLB Betting Quote Originally Posted by herbshack: For today: Boston Red Sox +1.25 +103 vs New York Yankees WINNER! $33 to win $33.99 Whoa. Didn't watch the game, but big ole 16-1 win for the Red Sox... View Post \| View Thread	herbshack	1630	October 09, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to September Dogs - Starting with $4k in MLB Betting For today: Boston Red Sox +1.25 +103 vs New York Yankees $33 to win $33.99 MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Since 2008, Championship Series or World Series teams off of a loss are 93-62 +29.58 units (+15.9% roi) SU...on the blind. (Red Sox today) View Post \| View Thread	herbshack	1630	October 08, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to September Dogs - Starting with $4k in MLB Betting Quote Originally Posted by stretchrunner: LOWLIFE MAGGOT......go shill your BS somewhere else.....Douchebag Hey now... Posting a play soon. View Post \| View Thread	herbshack	1630	October 08, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to September Dogs - Starting with $4k in MLB Betting Quote Originally Posted by herbshack: Lean on the Yankees. Small play or pass though: New York Yankees -1 +142 vs Boston Red Sox $28 to win $39.76 WINNER! Big 6-2 upset win for the Yankees brings us to another all time high: Current Bankroll: $14,220.12 from $4000 (+255.50units) View Post \| View Thread	herbshack	1630	October 07, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to September Dogs - Starting with $4k in MLB Betting Lean on the Yankees. Small play or pass though: New York Yankees -1 +142 vs Boston Red Sox $28 to win $39.76 *Since 2004, in the playoffsin a series 4+ game, same site as last game, not the last game of the series, the team off of a win is just 23-41 -21.99 units (+25.0% roi to fade) Fade the Red Sox View Post \| View Thread	herbshack	1630	October 06, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to September Dogs - Starting with $4k in MLB Betting Lean on the Astros too. View Post \| View Thread	herbshack	1630	October 05, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to September Dogs - Starting with $4k in MLB Betting For today: Colorado Rockies +0.75 RL +137 vs Milwaukee Brewers $37 to win $50.69 The Rockies are 96-102 ON since Aug 25, 2015 as a road dog ***KEY SYSTEM: Team going into the weekend on a win streak of 8 or more: 16-32 SU (+23.19 units, +42.6% roi to fade) (Fade the Brewers) View Post \| View Thread	herbshack	1630	October 05, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to September Dogs - Starting with $4k in MLB Betting Quote Originally Posted by jaybucko: Nice work herb!!! Thanks Bruthas View Post \| View Thread	herbshack	1630	October 01, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to September Dogs - Starting with $4k in MLB Betting Quote Originally Posted by herbshack: Baltimore Orioles +1.75 RL +158 vs Houston Astros $70 to win $110.6 WINNER! Astros backers are feeling silly.... New thread all time high! Current Bankroll: $14,217.36 from $4000 (+255.43 units) View Post \| View Thread	herbshack	1630	September 29, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to September Dogs - Starting with $4k in MLB Betting Baltimore Orioles +1.75 RL +158 vs Houston Astros $70 to win $110.6 MLB TREND OF THE DAY: Fade plus .600 Favorites at the end of regular season: 218-185 -93.44 units SU +15.5% roi fade. Very simple, very powerful. (Fade the Astros) Use calculator with the +1 and +2.5 to create the +1.75 with the calculator out of two tabs. View Post \| View Thread	herbshack	1630	September 28, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to September Dogs - Starting with $4k in MLB Betting The Orioles, if they lose, qualifiy as a play in double header game two today; however, I am going to pass. Just never too fond of betting double headers in general. View Post \| View Thread	herbshack	1630	September 26, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to September Dogs - Starting with $4k in MLB Betting Philadelphia Phillies +1.25 +121 vs Colorado Rockies $47 to win $56.87 MLB TREND OF THE DAY: A team in danger of falling back onto .500 off of a loss playing at the same site as the loss goes 524-437 +73.98 units. (Take the Phillies today) View Post \| View Thread	herbshack	1630	September 24, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to September Dogs - Starting with $4k in MLB Betting Current Bankroll: $14,153.76 from $4000 (+253.84 units) View Post \| View Thread	herbshack	1630	September 24, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to September Dogs - Starting with $4k in MLB Betting ....a mean rare Sept. favorite winner. That trend was too good I thought. Normally have a bias against favs late season... View Post \| View Thread	herbshack	1630	September 24, 2018 View Post \| View Thread
replied to September Dogs - Starting with $4k in MLB Betting Quote Originally Posted by herbshack: St. Louis Cardinals -0.75 RL +106 vs San Francisco Giants $44 to win $46.64 A Rare September WINNER! View Post \| View Thread	herbshack	1630	September 24, 2018 View Post \| View Thread

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