hoody

Its that time of year again. Welcome to the 12th Derby pool. Horses and amounts below. 

The rules are, each person has $10 to play. You will pick $10 worth of horses. You cannot go over. Most points wins. Tiebreaker determination is the best positions based on all the horses chosen. In case of exact horses by two or more participants, it will be a draw. Points are 4 for the winning horse, 3 for second, 2 for third, and 1 for fourth. 

In case of scratch, you may choose another no later than 6 P.M. on Friday.  

In honor of our 12th year, Colin has put together an amazing prize package. The first place winner will get a swag pack, consisting of covers hoodie, hat, travel mug, and money clip. The second place will get to choose between a hoodie and a hat, and the 3rd place winner gets the remainder. 

Its Derby Fever! 

This is how we did it then, I got the person's name, it says Colin here but I remember something like dibrow for a name (unless there the same) and date if you need it. I won never got the mug or money clip asked for a XL and got a MED :) so make sure the person gets the prize.

But I would do the big 3 and make the combo of the 3 a bigger winner and then do a Saturday race every week say for a hoodie or hat and then I'm sure we can come up with something for the breeder's cup.

What's the AMA with the Experts? and how would you do a poker contest or would we be playing each other somehow?

Do the derby like they did it a couple years ago, but I would also add some racing during the year. I would do the Derby, Preakness, and Belmont as day events (contests) and combine them for a contest. Then I think I would do a weekly race until the Breeders Cup and then make a contest out of the Breeders Cup. Want more?

I would guess rule change helped on the overs.

Looking at DBW's HF the only time before 2013 that it hit 50% ats or more 2 times in a row was 1990-91 and 92, so it did it again in 2016-17 and the last 2 years, did any big rule change happen that would help a HF.

I'm with DBW on this one (However, I suggest a cautious approach to the upcoming season which could very well favor the dogs.)

I believe this is where the market was a year ago?

Played with this one, only thing is there aren't many per year

season>=2018 and p:HO and op:HO and H and surface=grass and op:surface=artificial and op:D and total<48.5 and day!=Monday  (since 2018 10-3 ats and 3-10 O/U)

Thanks again,

season>=2015 and week and op:O and D and op:W and 3<line<10

I'll try that

Thanks DBW   I think things change every time I plug something in I think week 2 was over 70% last time, now week 9 also looks good,I put this in killer.

 season>=2015 and week and op:O and D and op:W and 3

#314 isn't too bad changed a couple things but still a few good weeks in there. (week 10 is also very good) 

season>=2015 and week and op:O and D and op:W and 3

Thinking I was going to get more plays going back 10 years for #277 I only got 9 more games, and I made it AD, so in 1 year you got 5 plays and the other 9 we only get an avg of 1 play a year.

season>=2014 and p:L and day=Thursday and AD and op:W and line<9.5 (4-10)

Try putting a p: in front of (

season=2024 and p:PY

Number 282 & 283 are kind of after the fact query's, aren't they?

This gives a few more years to #255 and a couple changes, still over 70% again not many per year, how far from the quake are you? 

season>=2019 and p:day=Thursday and surface=artificial and F and 40

(# 247)      op:HW and opp:HW and p:L and pp:L and D and 48.5>total>36.5 and season   (by the looks of it there's about 4 or 5 plays a year)

Some nice one's but most seem to only be good for last the last couple seasons # 210 I went back to 2018 and is 21-9 so i added the following (and A,H and D,F) also depends on what site you look at, nice job buddy, I'm on to the CFL soon.

season>=2018 and p:day=Monday and p:HF and op:W and line<3 and 17>week>2 and A,H and D,F

Did you ever run any of these on both sites? I got one somewhat to what you have, and it came out 34 or 38% on killer and over 60% on the dog, so I changed a number and still got the same thing so I changed it again and still got the same thing, and it was a number that should have changed things but didn't. I was just wondering.

jowchoo, I have the edit on mine, dont know why you don't

season>=2016 and AD and 9>line>2 and week<7 and op:AL

if this works it's almost 70% but it's not 23-0, now lets see if it copied and pasted 

This only has 5 teams in 2024 add (and week and team) or just add and team, if you look at 2023 your 10-9 i think but your 68% OV, I think this would be a tough one to track.

season=2024 and week>1 and sacks/o:sacks>1 and p:W

55-22-1 ats (71.4%)

In the teaser records +6 it's 71-7 (91%)

season=2024 and week>1 and TO-o:TO>1

This one is 17-80(17.5%)

In the teaser records -6 it's 8-90 (8.2%)

On to the CFL buddy

and if you add p:L it's (14%) ats and 3-54 in teaser records -6 (5.3%)

Thing with this is most of it is week 17&18

This would be half my teaser  SU: 1-5   

                                           ATS: 3-3

                                           OU: 6-0

season=2024 and AD and DIV and week>16 and 51>total>41.5 and day=Sunday  (6-0)

So if this is half my teaser drop the line  to 41.5 and play the OV and it;s 14.9-100% this year so I still need another half, note the  1-5 SU says the Eagles win and the game goes OV Now I play around with Jowchoo"s on yours you can play A,D,F,H and get 10-3

season=2024 and D and week>16 and 51>total>41.5 and day=Sunday SU: 11-2     6.9- 76.9%  Note this is as D so the S/U Was-Buf

                                                                                                         ATS:7-6

                                                                                                          OU:10-3

I like this teaser Jowchoo

Here's a small one for ya buddy

ACD and playoffs=1 and DIV and p:margin>8 and total>46

It's 4-0 ats   on Wash

0-3-1         U/N