Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
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ATS wins Home and away, DIV , Conference |
ColinMac | 12 |
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Another would be how do you know when to play a 6.5 or 7 point teaser? |
jowchoo | 34 |
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Are you doing your totals + or - 4 against the league Avg ? and still hit over 60%? Or some other system. |
jowchoo | 34 |
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Could you do that with Dall and WAS? (aren't they +or -4) With Dall being a Thanksgiving Day or short week play. |
jowchoo | 34 |
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Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo:
Quote Originally Posted by hoody: Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: teaser addition: AF and rest>12 and o:rest<=7 and line>-10 and 57>total>36 and season>1995 (61-29) 18. ARIZ +7.5 (double play) I get Bal and the NYG in Dec and nothing on the dog Just reran it and you are right..Some weird glitch, I do not know why it showed differently twice.
Good thought I was losing it buddy. |
jowchoo | 34 |
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Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo:
teaser addition: AF and rest>12 and o:rest<=7 and line>-10 and 57>total>36 and season>1995 (61-29) 18. ARIZ +7.5 (double play)
I get Bal and the NYG in Dec and nothing on the dog |
jowchoo | 34 |
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Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo:
teaser addition: AF and rest>12 and o:rest<=7 and line>-10 and 57>total>36 and season>1995 (61-29) 18. ARIZ +7.5 (double play) I don't get anything on either site with this one buddy. |
jowchoo | 34 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999: What happen to Colombia Medellin
Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999: Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: @jowchoo Pressure rates and other sack predictors are at the top of what I track. Amazingly, the team that statistically should win the sack and pressure battles are only covering at about 30%! This is what is driving me absolutely bonkers this season. I have always been a line of scrimmage kind of guy. Never see a LOS power rating anywhere,so I continue research this idea. Sacks, qb hits, red zone efficiency and rushing differentials properly combined should put a handicapper in good shape. Win the line of scrimmage and turnover battle and have a competent coaching staff will get you the money.............................gl going forward I don't think it will get you the money....turnovers for example...those with the average turnover advantage over their opponent cover about 47.3% of the time at an average of half a turnover a game.....with an average turnover advantage of over 1 per game it becomes 46.4%,....which means in essence if you take the the much worse team in turnover margin going into the game, you'll cover 53.6% of the time. If you delete from considering playing away dogs from consideration you'll cover 55.5% of the time. Query text.......tA(TOM)-oA(TOM)>1 and week>6 and playoffs=0 and AD, AF, HF, HD This is the query text you're looking for, for totals....p:ou margin<0 and pp:ou margin<0...which denotes a team has gone UNDER their two previous games. Again, so kind to share. You have been very quiet lately, was concerned. Thought you were zeroing in on CFL plays. Good Luck,we are going to need it if the mental midgets steal another US election. Have had the best season ever in the CFL....faded the Lions almost every game the last part of the season and was on Hamilton almost every game last part as well. "I have been seeing the field" as they say in sports "Better to be lucky than good" is never more apropos than when betting the NFL..... Should be a very good week in the NFL this coming week. Moved back to Oz a couple of months ago, and am strongly considering a move to Thailand or PI when the new year eventuates. |
jowchoo | 26 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999:
Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: @jowchoo Pressure rates and other sack predictors are at the top of what I track. Amazingly, the team that statistically should win the sack and pressure battles are only covering at about 30%! This is what is driving me absolutely bonkers this season. I have always been a line of scrimmage kind of guy. Never see a LOS power rating anywhere,so I continue research this idea. Sacks, qb hits, red zone efficiency and rushing differentials properly combined should put a handicapper in good shape. Win the line of scrimmage and turnover battle and have a competent coaching staff will get you the money.............................gl going forward I don't think it will get you the money....turnovers for example...those with the average turnover advantage over their opponent cover about 47.3% of the time at an average of half a turnover a game.....with an average turnover advantage of over 1 per game it becomes 46.4%,....which means in essence if you take the the much worse team in turnover margin going into the game, you'll cover 53.6% of the time. If you delete from considering playing away dogs you'll cover 55.5% of the time. Query text.......tA(TOM)-oA(TOM)>1 and week>6 and playoffs=0 and AD, AF, HF, HD This is the query text you're looking for, for totals....p:ou margin<0 and pp:ou margin<0... denotes a team has gone UNDER their two previous games. Or, you could do............ou streak<-3.......which means a team has gone UNDER at least four games in a row, or......ou streak>2 which means a team has gone OVER at least 3 games in a row.
This one fits Bal ou streak>=5 this week |
jowchoo | 26 |
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Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo:
Quote Originally Posted by hoody: Guess what I'm asking is do you play Phil+3 with NYJ +3.5 and Phil with Atl +8 ,Phil+3 with Cin+8 and Phil UN 56 with Bal, Phil with Cin etc... or I'm I missing something Yes each anchor is tied to each satellite, most are 6 and 6.5 teasers. The reason I would not use Wash +9 : is this anchor (PHIL) is really a regression play against Washington's ATS win record and the under the total is the same thing, (anti Wash over total ats record). Typically satellites hit 75+%,so if anchors split then my downside is -25%, lately they have covered easily, but on any given Sunday....;-) good luck pal
OK so let me see if I'm right I asked why not Was +9 as a anchor and at the time the OV /UN was 49 (on the 11th) so I could of brought the OV /UN either way , OV 43 or UN 54 and my anchors would still be good right? I'm not asking for your system but do you have one that said make this game your anchor? Just wondering because if I did it my way WAS +9 and I could of done OV 43 or UN 54 my anchors would still be good right? Looking back I didn't see and line that could make UN 56 unless you did a 6.5 teaser and not a 6. But either way WASH would still be good and my OV/UN would still be good right? You said your satellites hit 75% ,but what are your anchors hitting isn't that what you really need, if your anchors don't hit aren't you done? |
jowchoo | 46 |
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Guess what I'm asking is do you play Phil+3 with NYJ +3.5 and Phil with Atl +8 ,Phil+3 with Cin+8 and Phil UN 56 with Bal, Phil with Cin etc... or I'm I missing something |
jowchoo | 46 |
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@ Jowchoo
Do you know your record if you don't cross the O , you made Phil -3 to +3 and upped your total so do you play your +3 with the other teams that are with the spread and your Phil total with the other teams with just totals or do you mix them up, if you don't play a 3 or more team teaser and you satellite team or satellite total losses you lose everything right ? (why not make Wash your satellite at +9 or do you have something in your system to make Philly your satellite) I don't know your book but if you play a 4 or 5 game teaser and one is a push it drops to a 3 game or a 4 game but if one is a loss your ticket is a loss. Just wondering but looks like your doing well buddy keep it up. Sorry that should be anchor |
jowchoo | 46 |
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Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo:
@hoody thx pal. My best month historically has been dec and jan looking forward to temperature variables and have noticed certain coaches gameplan much better than their opponents during the winter. ..................................gl
I don't know why it show's some of these teams having a dome in post #12 unless it went by surface , I know some places have a full roof and some an opening I believe the bills and NYJ are open |
jowchoo | 14 |
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total <= 40 and season > 2014 and week >10 and week <20 and HF and surface =artificial and 50>temperature<75 and Dome and line>=-3 (0-6 ats) |
jowchoo | 14 |
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Also the ov/un and note the month and where there played as AD,HF do to grass and teams |
jowchoo | 14 |
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[Quote: Originally Posted by jowchoo]Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: Quote Originally Posted by dubz4dummyz: @jowchoo Jow are you able to look up the numbers for totals of 40 or less between weeks 4-16 since 2014 total<=40 and season>2014 and 4ATS: 155-155 OU: 156-166................Nothing total<=40 and season>2014 and 4[/Quote
@ Jowchoo , Here's a very rare one but you can play around with it just to give you an idea of things also do AD, total <= 40 and season > 2014 and week >3 and week<17 and HF and surface =grass and temperature<25 |
jowchoo | 14 |
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76ers -5
Pacers +4.5 Hornets +5.5 Grizzlies +3 Warriors -3.5 Suns +1.5 Pelicans -6 |
hoody | 3 |
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check your email got the lions one and the others going both ways. |
Indigo999 | 46 |
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Did you get an email from killersports? |
Indigo999 | 46 |
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sent you an email and you can change the yards to total. and still get a good one ( My plays?) So far NFL Minn, CAR UN, IND, DET-TEN OV but still playing around College Cin, Maryland, GT, CFL and still playing you'll see a thing in a email on why you played a team. And playing the team in the email and OV/UN |
Indigo999 | 46 |
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