htz

I was reading this thread and thinking about losing streaks. I know it's impossible to predict when a capper will go on a losing streak but eventually they will. I was playing around with a losing streak calculator and came up with some numbers. 

One of them was that in a 15 game series length, a capper picking games that are 50/50 (a coin flip) has a 90% chance of losing 2 in a row. If I were to follow all new cappers who haven't lost 2 in a row after 15 games and fade them after a loss that they will lose their next game. 

The same for say a 3 game loss. If a new capper hasn't lost 3 in a row after 30 games, there's an 89% chance of someone losing 3 in a row during that stretch. So after 30 games, fade the next game after they lose 2 in a row.

Do you think there might be anything to this or am i just chasing air.

Record 

0-0 -$185.00

series 1 (g6) Seattle Mariners over 6.5 / Cleveland Guardians over 6.5 / Houston Astros over 6.5 $60 to win $397.91

series 2 (g3) Detroit Tigers over 7.5 / Boston Red Sox under 9 / Minnesota Twins over 8 $15 to win $101.66

series 3 (g3) Chicago Cubs over 6.5 / Cleveland Guardians over 6.5 / LA Angels over 8.5 $15 to win $96.39

series 4 (g3) Cleveland Guardians over 6.5 / Washington Nationals over 8.5 / LA Angels over 8.5 $15 to win $99.89

series 5 (g3) Cleveland Guardians over 6.5 / LA Angels over 8.5 / SD Padres over 7.5 $15 to win $105.05

series 6 (g3) Washington Nationals over 8.5 / LA Angels over 8.5 / NY Mets over 7 $15 to win $101.04

series 7 (g3) Cleveland Guardians over 6.5 / NY Mets over 7 / Milwaukee Brewers over 7 $15 to win $97.39

series 8 (g1) Chicago Cubs over 6.5 / Minnesota Twins over 8 / LA Angels over 8.5 $5 to win $31.97

series 9 (g1) NY Mets over 7 / Houston Astros over 6.5 / Milwaukee Brewers over 7 $5 to win $32.28

Sept 27

series 1 (g5) Minnesota Twins over 6.5 / Cleveland Guardians over 6.5 / SD Padres over 7.5 $40 to win $216.27

series 2 (g2) Boston Red Sox under 9 / Detroit Tigers under 8 / Chicago Cubs under 6.5 $10 to win $66.27

series 3 (g2) Pittsburgh Pirates over 7 / LA Angels over 8 / Chicago Cubs over 6.5 $10 to win $59.51

series 4 (g2) LA Angels over 8 / Detroit Tigers over 8 / Chicago Cubs over 6.5 $10 to win $62.58

series 5 (g2) LA Angels over 8 / Chicago Cubs over 6.5 / Washington Nationals over 8.5 $10 to win $56.64

series 6 (g2) Detroit Tigers over 8 / Chicago Cubs over 6.5 / Boston Red Sox over 9 $10 to win $60.97

series 7 (g2) Boston Red Sox over 9 / Milwaukee Brewers over 8.5 / Detroit Tigers over 8 $10 to win $65.64

Sept 26

Record 0-0 -$85

No plays today

and s1 g1 should be $25 to win $164.29

the line on s1 g1 should be vikings over 52

record 0-0  -$30

series 1 (g4) TB Buccaneers over 42 / TB Rays over 6.5 / Minnesota Vikings over 52.5 $25 to win $93.86

series 2 (g1) Cincinnati Reds under 8.5 / Indianapolis Colts over 51 / NY Jets under 45 $5 to win $31.00

series 3 (g1) LA Chargers over 42.5 / NE Patriots over 44 / LA Dodgers over 9 $5 to win $28.26

series 4 (g1) NE Patriots over 44 / Minnesota Vikings over 52 / LA Dodgers over 9 $5 to win $29.54

series 5 (g1) NE Patriots over 44 / LA Dodgers over 9 / Arizona Diamondbacks over 8.5 $5 to win $28.56

series 6 (g1) Minnesota Vikings over 52 / LA Dodgers over 9 / Oakland Athletics over 6.5 $5 to win $29.13

series 7 (g1) TB Buccaneers over 42 / Miami Marlins over 7.5 / Miami Dolphins over 53.5 $5 to win 33.39 

record

0-0  -$30

Sept 24

no plays

record 0-0  -$15.00

Sept 23

series 1 (g3) Colorado Rockies over 11 / Syracuse Orange over 53.5 / LA Dodgers over 8    $15 to win $91.37

record 0-0 -$5

Sept 22

series 1 (g2) Oakland Athletics over 7 / Baltimore Orioles over 7 / LA Dodgers over 7    $10 to win $60.90

not sure why it posted twice, if a mod could delete one thread

I ran a 2 team parlay system that was successful but didn't like how a few series losses could wipe out a bunch of series wins. Been trying a similar system using 3 games and have had some good results so I thought I'd share it here. It's an 8 game progressive system. If the bet amounts are to large feel free to divide it in half. It's a totals system so I'm just going to list the home team when listing games.

The bet amounts are as follows $5, $10, $15, $25, $40, $60, $90, $125

Sept 21

series 1 (g1) Texas Rangers over 8.5 / Oakland Athletics over 7.5 / KC Royals over 7.5     $5 to win $31.09

I ran a 2 team parlay system that was successful but didn't like how a few series losses could wipe out a bunch of series wins. Been trying a similar system using 3 games and have had some good results so I thought I'd share it here. It's an 8 game progressive system. If the bet amounts are to large feel free to divide it in half. It's a totals system so I'm just going to list the home team when listing games.

The bet amounts are as follows $5, $10, $15, $25, $40, $60, $90, $125

Sept 21

series 1 (g1) Texas Rangers over 8.5 / Oakland Athletics over 7.5 / KC Royals over 7.5     $5 to win $31.09

oct 2

no plays today

sept 30

record 48-0  +$1295.88

no plays today

sept 29

record 45-0  +$1255.65

s46 (g1) ny mets u7.5 / minnesota u9     $5 to win $12.97

s47 (g1) ny mets u7.5 / san francisco u8     $5 to win $13.40

s48 (g1) ny mets u7.5 / seattle u7     $5 to win $13.86

@sports_Network

hopefully soon I'll feel comfortable enough to wager lager amounts

sept 28

s44 (g3) atlanta u7.5 / texas u9     $15 to win $42.72

sept 27

record 44-0  +$1212.93

no plays today

sept 26

record 43-0  +$1209.55

s44 (g2) cincinnati u9.5 / tampa u8     $10 to win $25.24

s45 (g1) la angels u8 / minnesota u9.5     $5 to win $13.38