Icculus

OK, (+$160) on this card. 

Completely wrong on wonderboy.  Next fight I bet him.. I am now a Captin Wonderbread fan ! 

Wish I bet the over in a few more fights. Should have laid the juice in the sampo fights over... someone please remind me to always bet the over in the 125lb division...please.  

I also think Eye got screwed she took round 1 and 3 in my eyes. Wish I laid more on the Cormier fight... JOKE!   That was easy money. 

+580 YTD    See you next fight.   G'Night !

Last add's of the night.  Going out for a friends birthday so no more posts tonight from me. 

Good luck everyone end remember to always bet against the idiots that dance to the ring...

Cormier Under 1.5 Rounds (+125)

100 to win 125

Demian Maia to win +255

50 to win 128

 it took all of 90 seconds

Added

Thompson vs Whittaker Over 2.5 rounder (-135)

I waited too long and the line jumped from -125.

135 to win 100

Just Added

CORMIER WINS INSIDE DISTANCE (-155)

155 to win 100 

 2 for 2 on the Fight Pass.  Thank you Mr. Koch.. looking good at 155

I bet a UFC fights at +400-600 and hit them.  No way am I putting $$ on a basketball game +350....

A Punching chance is not beating the spurs at home.... 

RONDA ROUSEY VS. SARA MCMANN

Last fight, going to make this simple.  Rowdy beats a solid % of fighters on this card. Plain and simple.  McNugget will try some wrestling move, get her McNugget rear hip tossed, and then Arm Bared.  Bet it anyway you like...  I will most likely take a prop bet on this one something like Rowdy ITD or Sub.  I don't think she is going to stand with Mcnugget, did you see those tree trunk arms at the weighin.  It looks like she mounted my thigh's on her shoulder.  Rhonda is going to get hit harder then ever in this fight but her judo is too good.  I hope Ronda isn't caught thinking ahead to Cat Zingano....

Fight under 1.5 rounds (+145) 50 to win 70

I am sure I will have more to place on this fight, this is the only one I placed so far.  

I learn a lot of weighins.

I have also missed out on some great odd's because I almost always wait until after to place my bets.  I want to see who cut too much weight, who misses weight, who looks scared or confident, people that come out in gimmicks and masks at the weighin I like to bet against.. as well as people who dance... I hate dancers.

Daniel Cormier Vs. Pat Cummins

This fight is a joke.  Pat Cummins was working as a Barista last week.. yes he was whipping dudes frappachino's for $5, and now he is fighting a future UFC champion.  The whole pushing and drama stuff is BS.  These guys have PPV shares and they needed to hype something because its a joke.  Let me push you at the press conference and start some drama so we actually make more then show money.  Everyone took a pay cut with Rashad not fighting so they needed some drama.  Not taking the bait but still gonna watch someone get KTFO

Did anyone watch the Erik Silva fight last week?? Another Joke.. Expect a similar result. 1st round stoppage Cormier.    

Demian Maia Vs. Rory MacDonald

I will take brazil over Canada any day unless it was GSP..and Aries is supposed to be the heir of GSP, hasn't looked that way in his last couple fights though.  Aries tries to be a perfect fighter and forgets to actually fight sometimes.  He can gas out also easily because lets be honest, this dude is a BIG welterweight. Speaking of WW, Maia has looked great since dropping to this weight.  Rory hasn't fought anyone with close to the wrestling skills of Maia and Demian has a lifetime of experience compared to Rory. Both guys have serious chins and Rory has youth on his side. Be careful, I think Rory is more motivated now that he wouldn't have to fight GSP possibly.  Maia fights to win though and lets be honest, his losses are Weidman, Shields, and he went 5 rounds with The Spider when the GOAT was unbeatable.  I think he takes down and tires out the heir apparent and grinds out a win. Oh and I say Rory cries too at some point.  I like the odds in this fight as long as Maia stays above +200.   Will post my bet later.   

Like the writeup on the Rory/Maia fight.  I think Maia dominates in overall experience and well roundedness.  He has also looked great at this weight.  Rory is a beast, his problem is that he tries to be the perfect fighter and forgets to actually fight.   If he comes out pissed off and engages he will beat the snot out of Maia.  I though predict and Maia has a serious chin and he will take Rory down.  I think once Maia gets him down he will grind out either a submission or a decision.  I also think at +240 , I am getting great value for my $ .  Maia wins this fight 50% of the time.

TJ Waldburger Vs. Mike Pyle

I am really looking forward to watching this one.  I think these guys are gonna come out banging and this will be a Fighter Bonus Check fight.  Both guys have been KO'd before.  TJ got KTFO (think the movie Friday if you don't know what that means) by Big Rig and a Crazy Russian and Pyle just got Matt Browned. I see a KO coming in this fight, I just don't know when.  I am giving the advantage to Pyle and to a finish.  The Over/Under to me is a dangerous # so I am going to stay away from this fight.  (I might make a small play and just not tell anyone...)

Stephen Thompson Vs. Robert Whittaker

Ok so Main Card time.  Daniel Laruso vs A Kiwi !  When wonderbread fights, there could be an amazing headkick knockout coming at anytime.  I don't know if its possible to kick a kangaroo in the head so I doubt we will see that tonight.  Whittaker went toe to toe with Court Magee and was able to stop a TUF winner who was a wrestling specialist so I give a big advantage to the well roundedness of Whittacker.  Wonderbread has won 3-4 with his loss coming from a beating that Matt brown gave him for 3 rounds.  I know he can take a punch so I don't see him getting KO'd.  I see multiple takedowns from the Kiwi coming tonight off blocked kicks and this fight going the decision since Thompson has good ground defense. 

Robert Whittacker by Decision.  I just haven't decided if I am taking the kiwi at -110 or over 2.5 rounds at -125.  I will keep you posted.   

I will do a writeup on Thompson soon... a quick take.

Thompson throws crazy kicks from every angle.  I think Whittaker can handle the kicks because he is a more well rounded fighter.  Thompson has weaknesses and one is his ground game. I think Whittiker takes him down and grinds out a victory.  This fight goes to a decision through snooze fest with whittiker winning by split decision. .

I almost always make plays on the UFC underdogs on anycard.  Unless its a true professional (GSP) or a massive favorite (Silva last card)  Cards like the one where Overreem lost to Big nog (+600)  I have cleaned up on (I bet everydog on that main card and came out up BIG)   Its also hate paying juice

Putting $50 on 4x prelim underdogs at +300 in the ufc you are bound to hit at least one.  People that fight to eat (Brazilians) and the stone faced Russians are usually good $$ on the undercards because the are often unknown to the world.  Joe Silva will pair an upcoming TUF fighter oftern against an Eastern European fighter no one in the US nows about and the juice is always on the TUF alum who grew up in suburbia even though the Eastern European ate granite and dandelions growing up.

As far as tonight, I like Chavez's chances.. I am giving little chance to oliveira even though Koch lost 3of4.  Those 3x losses came from top ranked people and that experience will pay off tonight.   

-Just my take.. go get em tonight !!!