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@iggy0865 My best bets for QB Rush Yards Over this week: Prescott Stroud Goff Carr |
iggy0865 | 2 |
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The idea here is to expose the gaps between bookie lines and Covers projections regarding only QB RUSHING YARDS. A minimum requirement is that the gaps must be at least 50%. These are not my picks they are simply a statistical expression, a numerical experiment. Though I will add that the lower the number and the higher the ratio, the more I like the wager.
Last Week 7-4
We have one under this week. All other examples are over. In the name of simplicity let us get the under pick out of the way.
Smith, Sea BOOK 12.5 CVRS 7.8
ALL OVERS Prescott Dal 10.5 18.4 Carr NO 2.5 3.9 Minshew 7.5 13.6 Young 11.5 18 Lawrence 14.5 22.9 Bissett 12.5 20.3 Rodgers 1.5 3.9 Levis 10.5 20 Mayfield 9.5 15.7 Goff 0.5 1.5 Mahomes 18.5 30.2 Stroud 7.5 17.1 Hurts 37.5 56.7
GLA |
iggy0865 | 2 |
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METHODOLOGY
The following picks represent the largest gaps between Covers projections and bookie offerings.
THEORY NFL lines are notoriously tight, and the loosest numbers exist in the depth and span of player props.
PICKS (in no particular order)
Polk, NE WR rec yds, over 27.5 rec yds Taylor, Indy RB rec yds over 12.5 Pollard, Tenn RB rec yds over 10.5 Tua, Miami QB rush yds over 2.5 Bellinger, TE NYG rec yds over 10.5 Nix QB Denv rush yds over 19.5 McConkey WR SD rec yds over 39.5 Watson QB Clev rush yds over 20.5 Robinson RB Wash rec yds over 8.5 Mayfield QB Tbay rush yds over 7.5 Goff QB Det rush yds over 0.5
And as always, please remember no wagering whatsoever as it could lead your fellow citizens to card playing, dancing, and a general decline in the moral fiber of the nation.
Good luck all!
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iggy0865 | 1 |
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An NFL fantasy pool is like popping into your local for a quick shot and a frosty one while chatting with a hot bartender. An MLB fantasy pool makes you feel like you must have a glass pipe in your pocket at all times.
More specifically, why is it that MLB pool sites that are set to "Start Active Players" put a hitter into your lineup if he is dressed, but not in the starting lineup? If a guy is not in their starting lineup, why the hell is he in my starting lineup. Is it just me, or is this not an obvious option that should be available?
And yes, I know this is a trivial rant about a miniscule issue, but dang it if it don't fry my fritters. |
iggy0865 | 2 |
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@Kaufee Thank you for your well considered analysis.
More please, and good luck! |
Kaufee | 33 |
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@iggy0865 And to the crankiest sportswriter at the New York Post. |
iggy0865 | 11 |
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@iggy0865 And yes, a copy of this post has been sent to the Ontario Gaming Commission. |
iggy0865 | 11 |
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For Canadians [and maybe everybody, I don't know] betting game 3 of the Stanley Cup Final via BET365 was a bin fire inside a clusterfuck, an abject and textbook lesson in how not to conduct a business And let me say I'm a nickel and dime bettor, so I while I do have a dog in this hunt, it is at best a Pug, but surely there are a few Great Danes out there. A few hours before game time I laid a miniscule play on Vegas as a slight dog. Watched the game, thinking I had a little interest, but as the game went to OT, I looked to bail. Thinking that Vegas had a PP to start OT, I figured that FLA might be worth a look. So I checked Bet365 and found that there was no record of my wager and that I must have failed in completing the transaction. Oops! In addition Bet365 in Ontario, CANADA! during The Stanley Cup FINAL! had no active wagers and the NHL link on their website was nowhere to be found, and live betting is unavailable. OK, no big deal, especially since I don't have a bet down. The OT starts. I get a text from Bet365, telling me that a correction has been made and to check my history. I wait for a whistle and then check my history. It seems I do have a bet on Vegas, and ten seconds later Florida scores. BET 365 let thousands of bettors believe that they did not actually make a bet by refunding the money and erasing the bet while not offering an explanation to bettors and then decided their customers actually had made a bet seconds before that bet was settled. It is an absolute disgrace.
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iggy0865 | 11 |
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@Covers-Team Thank You! |
iggy0865 | 5 |
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@wizardofroz Thanks. I actually hit sixteen but fell one short of some cash. Luckily though, I did hedge so I managed to make some $$$. |
iggy0865 | 5 |
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Hi Covers,
On April 13th I reached 13 in Streak Survivor ,thus earning a hat and a hoodie. a few days later, I requested a MED hoodie via email, but got no response. Sent another email a couple of weeks ago, and again no response.
You have always been great about sending prizes in the past, so you definitely have my info on file.
Any help in getting this sorted is greatly appreciated. Thanks! |
iggy0865 | 5 |
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So, the largest bet I ever made was against my own team versus a minnow. At even money I took Switzerlland over Canada +3.5 goals in a warmup prior to the Canadian disaster that was the Turin Olympics. My big mistake was not taking Switzerland outright at 11-1, as they went on to win the game. Which brings me to the IIHF World Championships. I love these under the radar tourneys. Opportunity abounds. I will follow this up, but for now, here are the groups - and remember that huge gaps in talent represent opportunities.
GROUP B Finland USA Czechia Sweden Latvia Norway Britain Austria
GROUP A Germany Canada Switzerland Slovakia Denmark Khazakstan Italy France
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iggy0865 | 2 |
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Not. Even. Close. Well I guess my 15 minutes are up, lol. Glad I hedged though, so I won a few bucks. Back to the drawing board. |
iggy0865 | 22 |
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@Juventusfan Ha! |
iggy0865 | 22 |
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@JESUS-SAVES I love the Jays, but I am terrible at betting baseball. |
iggy0865 | 22 |
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@SanJoseCupWin We shall see. No Van Vleet. BTW, NBA teams are 0-143 when behind 3-0 in a playoff series. |
iggy0865 | 22 |
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@MrWhatsItToYa Thanks! |
iggy0865 | 22 |
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@Streak2win Thanks! You are right, it is a pretty fat number |
iggy0865 | 22 |
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For those who don't care, please ignore, but I just wanted to tell my little story given that I have played this game for over a quarter century and I am finally at the top of the table on the streak board, one click away from $1000 US, or about $1300 in my local currency.
While I think we can all agree that a free hat or a few hoodies are very welcome gifts from the fine folks at Covers are a welcome (and thank you Covers, much appreciated).
So I did hedge back only to a small 25% degree and as a long time citizen of Toronnto I have to go where my heart and the money is.
This is no time for sentimentality, my 17th (and lets face it, you need to be pretty lucky to hit 16) pick is PHILLY- 7.5
pRAY FOR mOJO. |
iggy0865 | 22 |
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Lord love a duck, many of you folks claim to be aware of some conspiracy that absolutely proves what are dubious theories. . We live an age where folks can be convinced that a political party is running a pedo ring from the basement of some pizza joint.
Any argument against either side is dismissed by:
1. You are deluded by the MSM
or
2. You are in the Trump cult
Either way, y'all are being played.
The real conspiracy if their is one, is to get all of you to hate one another.
Near as I can tell, it seems to be going quite well. |
mctrap | 207 |
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