Ih8coldweather

Are you an ER doctor?

@ActionMagnet

Yeah I believe Taron Johnson their best CB got injured. Their defense has been better since Milano returned.

@ATLSHARP

 I bet 3 units at 7.5 

@C-70Blues

 I meant the NFC Conference

Sorry for your loss Mr. Russo. As a physician who deals with this daily, I know that you must be struggling and that is normal. Cherish the good times that you shared with this special person and know that they are no longer suffering. All the best. 

I have a future on Eagles to win the division at 5/1 odds.

i also have a pending teaser on the Eagles at PK (Teaser with the Chiefs) for 5 units. Would anyone try to middle this game, and bet the Rams at +7, hoping the game lands at 3 or 4?

thoughts?

@badlands

 I like OKC Bads, just an update Vanvleet is out for Toronto. He is a large portion of their scoring.

Update: Buying out of the first quarter over. 

Fred Vanvleet is out due to personal reasons. He played in the initial meeting.

@Fuse

@vanzack

Good looking card, laying off the last game (Ravens look scary) but either they or Bills are prime to choke/now show like years past. Should be a really good week of football. Good luck Van! 

Good opportunity tonight in the NBA looking at a total. I haven't been posting much but I have been on a good run betting first quarter totals this past week. Tonight I like the matchup between the Rockets and the Kings. I think that the line is off by at least 2 points and I see value there, hopefully the game will cooperate and Dillon Brooks wont shoot too many shots. 

When you look at the Kings, they are a push the pace kind of a team, even with the firing of Mike Brown. De'Aaron Fox is back from injury and he has been known to push pace and shoot threes. Malik Monk is out for the game but Keon Ellis and Kevin Heurter are both good backups who can score/shoot. If you look at Houston, they have won their last 5 games. In each of those games, they have put up the following points

1. 119 points (36 point first quarter)

2. 135 points (20 point first quarter)

3. 119 points (45 point first quarter)

4. 120 points (23 point first quarter)

5. 128 points (28 point first quarter)

This small sample averages out to 30 points in the past 5 games. I can count on the Kings to put up 25 in the first quarter at home, with or without Malik Monk. Both squads will push the pace. If you look at the last time these two teams played, the final score was 120-111, and the kings won. They score only 49 points combined in the first quarter of that meeting, but both teams shot particularly bad. If you look at the third quarter of that game (3rd Q usually mimics the first Q) as guys are rested and coming in fresh, the two teams put up a combined 71 points. 

THe number seems off to me and should be closer to 59 for the quarter. The total opened at 226.5 for the game and was bet down to 225 and some sites even hit 224 before there was some buy back on the over. Even with the total being 225, that would mean that the first quarter total should be 225/4 = 56.25. Therefore, at 55 points, we are still getting over a point of value on this total. 

Rockets/Kings 1st Q OVER 55 (-110) 

Glimmer of hope until the false start and sack. Broderick Jones can’t block and Pitt is so undisciplined for a team that preaches preparedness. 

Steelers cannot protect Wilson.

@bigred84

I think Ravens will win, but I don't seem them covering the 10+

@C-70Blues

 If the Eagles played the Lions today, in Detroit, I don't think the Eagles would win. I have various ways to hopefully hit some of these futures, various outs. I am sure you understand

@C-70Blues

 ^ this guy is the biggest loser on this thread, truly has nothing better to do than to hop in peoples thread, ridicule and never provides anything of substance

Steelers at the Ravens

Steelers +10 (-110) - 15 units

This is my biggest bet of the week and my favorite bet. Looks like some sharp money came in late at hit the Steelers and took the number down to 9 and 8.5 at a few books. I just think this line is totally disrespectful to Pitt. These two teams know each other well. Divisional game for a defense that knows how to keep Lamar in check. The last time they Steelers were blown out, they were missing 3/4 of their secondary. They get Joey Porter Jr. back for this game. Baltimore is missing Zay Flowers which cannot be overstated, he is their deep threat and best route runner. You get an angry, motivated TJ Watt this week who came out and said that he had his worst game last week. Tomlin as a dog, going up against a Ravens team that has been known to choke in the playoffs in not so great weather. Just too many points here and I can't see how anyone can lay 10 points even at home with Lamar. Arthur Smith will be in his bag, theyll have some gadget plays for Fields, and I think Tomlin will motivate the troops. This game will be decided by a TD or less. I will take the points all day.

Horrible year this year during the regular season, like many others. Favorites crushing it every week hurt and I am in the hole from my Jets futures. Full disclosure, I have some interesting futures that will allow me to hedge and middle some games, I will try to list them below. This week, I really like the Pittsburgh Steelers getting 10 points and that will be my best bet.

Playoff Futures:

Chiefs vs Lions exact matchup - 6.5/1 - 10 units to win 65 units

Chiefs to win SB - 3.75/1 - 10 units to win 37.5 units 

Eagles to defeat Chiefs - 59/1 - 1.5 units to win 90 units

Eagles to win the NFC - 5/1 - 5 units to win 25 units

Steelers to win SB - 42/1 - 2 units to win 84 units

Steelers to win SB - 23/1 - 1.7 units to win 39 units

Steelers to win SB - 21/1 - 2.5 units to win 52.5 units

Texans to defeat Eagles - 115/1 - 1 unit to win 115 units

Texans to win SB - 20/1 - 3.5 units to win 70 units

Exact matchup - Bills vs Lions - 7/1 - 3 units to win 21 units

As you can see, the best, most likely scenario for me would be a Chiefs vs Lions SB but the unpredictability of this year makes the post season a complete toss up. If the Chiefs play the lions, it would be great for me and the Chiefs winning would just be a little bit sweeter from a financial standpoint but I think that I would vomit and honestly would rather take the L to see Dan Campbell and the Lions win it all. Hopefully their defense can get healthy so that their offense wont have to worry about putting up 40+ points on each team in order to advance. Having home field in Detroit and KC will be huge for both teams IMO. I really need the Bills and Ravens to lose, and frankly I can see it happening...

The Bills have had the worst defense the past 5 weeks. Josh will have to put it all on his shoulders and that may be too much to ask for again and again. As for the Ravens, Lamar is playing great again but I really think they drew the worst possible matchup in round one. I would love nothing more than to see Tomlin, as a dog, come into Balt and beat the Ravens. The line suggests otherwise but the defense is healthy and that Pitt D can force turnovers and keep games ugly and close.

I see the Bills, Ravens, Eagles all on upset alert this week...

@best_bets

 This.