Ih8coldweather

Great comeback by Pitt in a divisional game to take the lead. I am glad i took some Pitt SB futures, their defense is legit and we all know that defense wins championships. I can guarantee you that nobody wants to see this Pitt team in the playoffs.

Eagles aren’t beating the Lions

NFL Week 11

Browns PK (-105) - 10 units 

Steelers +3.5 (-130) - 5 units 

2T 6-point teaser: Packers PK/Chiefs +8.5 (-120) - 10 units 

2T 6-point teaser: Vikings PK/Dolphins -1 (-120) - 10 units 

6T 6-point teaser (bet prior to TNF) - 6 units pays 36 units 

**You can substitute Texans -1 vs. Cowboys or Bengals +7.5 vs. Chargers in place of the Commanders**

Commanders +9.5 

Packers PK

Browns +7.5

Vikings PK

Steelers +9.5

KC Chiefs +8.5

Down 11 units on Sunday based on posted plays, I ended up taking Lions -13 and Seahawks +7, and had Bengals +7.5 in a teaser. Doesn't count because it wasn't posted, but for C-blue70 and the rest of the losers who have nothing better to do, we are down 11 units on posted plays Sunday and down 8 units on Thursday with the Commanders and props. 

Tonight I have Texans -1 in teasers and Texans -6.5. I also have Texans -1.5 first Q for small, but I like this as Houston usually gets off to a fast start.

@C-70Blues

Here he is again. Nothing better to do than to hang out in my thread. I must live rent free in your head. Let me guess, you posted another single game prop for one unit? You are a fucking loser dude. 

Those are pre-season futures and I have Jared Goff as MVP at 20/1, Saquon Barkley for offensive player of the year at 30/1, and I have live futures on the Steelers at 40/1 and exacta matchup for Lions/Chiefs at 6.5/1, Eagles beating Chiefs in SB, Eagles winning the Division, and Texans beating the division. You think I just stopped betting futures after preseason and didn't change my positions after every 4 weeks. 

Again, go post a bet man that is more than a single player prop you clown. 

@Macwestie1

Well done Mac 

@Tarheels85

There is time, don’t blame the guy for your selective misses. He has consistently been > .500

I am on it 

Truly some of the most painful football I have ever watched. The Browns, Jets, Cowboys are all dumpster fire organizations, just a pathetic set of teams/organizations. 

@badlands

 good looking card 

@oldwiseone

Vikings at the Titans

Last week the Vikings had over 402 yards of total offense. Their turnovers included an INT in the end zone, an INT on the 2 yard line, and an INT deep in opponent territory. Darnold looked like his old self and they left so many points on the board and almost lost. They outgained the Jaguars 402 to 143 yards on offense, and I would expect Darnold to take better care of the ball in this game. 

Will Levis? How will he move the ball against this Vikings defense and how will he handle a Brian Flores blitz?

The Vikings are the #1 blitzing team in the league and the #1 pressure team. 

Will Levis PFF grade is 28.4 vs the blitz = last among 39 qualified QBS

Will Levis PFF grade is 27.5 vs pressure = last among 38 qualified QBs

Will Levis passer rating in a clean pocket is 92.1 vs pressure it is just 47. 

He looked half decent against a Chargers team because the Chargers are 31st in generating pressure, and they just drop back into zone usually. That is not what this Vikings team does and I think they are going to confuse Levis all day. 

Cleveland Browns @ NO Saints 

The Browns are coming off of a bye which means that Stefanski has extra time to prepare for this NO team which is a good let down spot of a divisional win against Atlanta. I think they will be flat here. The Browns are completely HEALTHY for the first time all year. They have their entire O-line intact which I would argue is a top 5 O-line when healthy (Lions, Eagles, Browns, Colts, Cowboys) and their defense is also healthy. I can't say the same about the Saints who are depleted at WR, and have some injuries on the offensive line with guys banged up.

Jamies is also in a revenge spot playing against his old team that let him go, I think he will come out extra motived. As long as he can take care of the ball I see this being a competitive game but I really like the Browns in this spot. 

Also, the Browns are top 5 in pressure rating this year. Who is horrible against the pass rush? Derek Carr. Myles Garrett will be going up against a rookie tackle...

Gimme the Browns.

@vankiep_0007

 @D-Town

@SwampThingg

 I like the card swamp

We start the week 8 units in the hole. I am going to try a similar approach to last week, where I went heavy on Wong teasers and ended up combining a few of them to make a six team, 6-point teaser at 6/1 odds. This week, my favorite play is the Cleveland Browns. Yes, this is one of those ugly hold your nose and bet games but the line and spot immediately jumped out at me and I do believe that professional money immediately moved the line. The line opened as NO -1.5 and has flipped completely to Cleveland -1 and -1.5 in several books. 

NFL Week 11

Browns PK (-105) - 10 units

Steelers +3.5 (-130) - 5 units

2T 6-point teaser: Packers PK/Chiefs +8.5 (-120) - 10 units

2T 6-point teaser: Vikings PK/Dolphins -1 (-120) - 10 units

6T 6-point teaser (bet prior to TNF) - 6 units pays 36 units

**You can substitute Texans -1 vs. Cowboys or Bengals +7.5 vs. Chargers in place of the Commanders**

Commanders +9.5 

Packers PK

Browns +7.5

Vikings PK

Steelers +9.5

KC Chiefs +8.5

Additional leans but no official play yet:

Lions -13 (-124) 

Seahawks +7 (-123)

Commanders +4 (-110) - 5 units 

Commanders/Eagles 1st Q OVER 9.5 (-130) - 2 units 

Zach Ertz OVER 35.5 yards (-115) - 1 unit 

Terry McClaurin OVER 4.5 receptions - 2 units 

@C-70Blues

 Sounds good, we will see what happens. Browns for us and you take the Saints.

@leventis72

@leventis72