irage

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replied to Houston -26 vs smu in College Football OMFG, I can't believe I just backdoor covered that game. View Post \| View Thread	osubuckeyes247	24	October 09, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to TNF Colts/Texans in NFL Betting Are you guys watching this? Houston is a mess. View Post \| View Thread	Metallica2467	38	October 08, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Houston -26 vs smu in College Football Good luck boys, see you on the other side. View Post \| View Thread	osubuckeyes247	24	October 08, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Utah -7 for 4 dimes in College Football 801 representing. Being a former Ute (student not player), I love watching the Utes play. The advantage is the Utes are extremely balanced and focused. All you have to do is watch the practice scrimmages to know that (which are closed to the public). It's there offense that has the true athleticism and they arguably have the best special teams coach in the country and that makes them very dangerous. After watching game tape on Goff, I'm worried. He has an uncanny ability to not just read his receivers, but anticipate their moves. That is a trait of an elite QB. High risk game in IMO. Just can't get a good enough read to predict an outcome. I'd take the Utes if the line were closer to -4. View Post \| View Thread	CalBear2009	37	October 08, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to NCAA WEEK 6 ** Putting Haters and Faders on respirators in College Football** Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69: This week, I end your misery and pull the plug. Overall 104-68 YTD TOP 10 29-8-3 YTD LSU -13 Miami +8.5 ECU +8.5 Looking at a ton of others (per usual) but think I will get better lines on most in the next few days.....I'll be around most evening until friday if ya wann talk some football....or tell me Im stupid. Train, You've put a lot into this over the years, but I hear you! Somethings change, while other things stay the same. I know you'll appreciate this..... "I need a blow job from Christy Turlington..get the f*&k outta here! Fifteen thousand dollars!" BOL View Post \| View Thread	TRAIN69	162	October 08, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Houston -26 vs smu in College Football Quote Originally Posted by Cooler999: 90% of the time when I read a team will score X amount of points EASY.....It just doesn't happen. Honestly, I hope Houston takes a big lead going into the half, then lets off the gas in the 2nd to allow SMU to score a couple of times. 41 - 27 Houston View Post \| View Thread	osubuckeyes247	24	October 08, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Houston -26 vs smu in College Football This should be an interesting game. I'm with the general public on this one, I think SMU covers, but there is no question that Houston has the better offense. SMU +26 is my pick. I would lean towards OVER in this game, but I just don't have a clear picture about SMU's defense, if they can't slow Houston it could easily turn into a run away in the 2nd half. View Post \| View Thread	osubuckeyes247	24	October 08, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to TNF Colts/Texans in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by saigonbynight: How is Houston favor? I don't get it Gl bro My sentiment exactly, can someone explain why Houston is a good pick? High risk game IMO, sub performance out of Houston and a winged QB for the Colts. Sounds like a mess to me. View Post \| View Thread	Metallica2467	38	October 08, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to phixer's nfl week 5 in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by U-S-A: If you look at Arizona's numbers they appear better than they actually are. Their first three games were significant wins but they never faced a decent defense. New Orleans, Chicago, and San Fran are not impressive defenses or impressive wins. The first good defense Arizona faced (Rams) they lost the game outright. I think the lines makers mentality is that the rams beat both seattle and arizona by 2-3 points. Since Seattle won the game by 3 against Detroit, and they consider Arizona the same caliber team, then the line should be somewhere of the same (2.5). Then you have to take into account that Detroit should have technically won the game against the Seahawks and this time Detroit is home. I think i just talked myself into Detroit after leaning AZ The purpose of the line is draw action. Personally, I don't even use the line until it's time decide on my play. When I calculate the value of a game I typically assign a spread value (which I assume most of you do to). When the number favors the dog it's an easy pick, if it favors the favorite then I evaluate the strength and risk before taking it. There is a mental game being played here too. In baseball one loss can snowball into 5,6 even 10 losses and each loss compounds the mental anxiety. Football is so competitive that you have to perform each week. Detroit is beating themselves and had they won against Seattle (a decent team) it might have gotten them over the losing mentality. Be that as it may, Arizona offense is more than capable of taking down Detroit and by my rough calculations I have them as -6.5 favorite. GL, no matter which way go. View Post \| View Thread	phixer	536	October 08, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to suuma's NFL week four in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by suuma: A lot of offshores have already posted a line. My book just listed it at -3, I snagged it. I would have loved it at PK. View Post \| View Thread	suuma	166	October 06, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to To hedge or not to hedge, that is the question tonight MNF in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by naesiy: I believe this has been discussed in detail many times on this site. In the long run from a numbers standpoint, never a good idea to hedge unless you are hedging a 4 teamer (?). If you are going to hedge, you should have just left off the last team, in this case, done a 7 teamer. By hedging you are giving equity back to the house (in the form of additional vig on your hedged bet) which further decreases your parlay payout making the initial risk/reward even worse. Why would you want to do that? Unless of course the situation has changed tremendously from when you put the bet to now i.e. a major injury or severely bad weather or something. Something to that effect... I hope you didn't hedge. You are spot on. Everyone's betting style is different and it's hard to argue when you have an opportunity to hedge and win. Never the less I also believe to beat Vegas you have to be bold. Very few grind out a living betting on sports. For me it comes down to this. When you're hot, do you walk away or double down? I am always glad to hear that someone made money. View Post \| View Thread	MLStreaker	21	October 06, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to suuma's NFL week four in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by suuma: Congrats to all Lions backers Until late in the third I thought the spread wasn't in doubt. Peyton wouldn't survive one drive behind this OL. Bengals are licking their chops. Giving 10 points in a primetime game is always risky IMO. Couldn't agree more, Cincy is in the best position to get win against Seattle. I am really curious to see the line, if it's less than 5, I am going to hammer it. View Post \| View Thread	suuma	166	October 06, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to suuma's NFL week four in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by anNFLfan: Well, we only know that we are right after the game is over. Congrat to irage on DET tonight and Suuma for an almost perfect sunday. I'm not a fool, a lot of that is just lucky. I analyzed the game and that's what I read out of it. I had no money on this game, so it's a very small victory for me. Still Suuma nailed his picks this weekend despite this game. I'm still shocked at the Rams pick. Hope you all are +money this week. View Post \| View Thread	suuma	166	October 06, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to suuma's NFL week four in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by irage: I'm on Detroit +10. 10 points on MNF, not likely. Seattle is good at home, but I think key is in turnovers for this game. Seattle better than Detroit except in the red zone and that makes me think the Lions will try to keep the game close and work towards owning last possession to steal the game. 17 - 24 Seattle It's not that complicated.......score was a little off, but Detroit did exactly what I thought they'd do and turnovers were the key. View Post \| View Thread	suuma	166	October 06, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to we don't get fooled again - week 4 in Penalty Box Quote Originally Posted by ICHASETOOMUCH: How do we all go from wanting to make money to wanting to rip each others throats out? I don't get all the arguing here. EGO's and pride cause all this. I am certainly guilty of stoking the fires, but some people just invite it. This should serve as a warning to others.....but alas deaf ears and closed minds rule the forums. View Post \| View Thread	phixer	462	October 06, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to To hedge or not to hedge, that is the question tonight MNF in NFL Betting Did you hedge? The majority seem to feel it's better to hedge, I disagree. There are couple of factors that would cause me to pause. 1. What is my risk vs reward? 2. What is the strength of the pick (how confident am I) You're 7 of 8, that's amazing in it's self. I'd say you're hot and ride the wave, but I am gambler, sometimes I win, sometimes I lose. You gotta be feeling pretty good right now, no matter what you chose. View Post \| View Thread	MLStreaker	21	October 05, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to we don't get fooled again - week 4 in Penalty Box Quote Originally Posted by phixer: i see now - youre a product of not one but few generations of inbreeds. ok . that explains it. well, technically it is not your fault unless you will marry your sister too It's funny that you attack my intelligence and yet you are the one that can't form complete sentences or command english. It's pretty clear that you are either poorly educated or not from this country. It's OK to hate the people that expose you, it's a natural defense mechanism. View Post \| View Thread	phixer	462	October 05, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to we don't get fooled again - week 4 in Penalty Box Quote Originally Posted by phixer: you're a tout. you even left your twitter out in open in your thread for people to follow you. tout is doing exactly that. i could have had hundreds of followers privately if wanted but i resent touting and taking advantage of the weak people. but you pretend to be righteous but are the most despicable person in my thread. even log cottage i have a respect for his persistence and we both understand the boundaries of our arguments - but you are a sleazy despicable person that makes me puke by one looking at you or reading your name. you want an apology? ask it from your mom for marrying her brother Thats about what I expected from you. I made a mistake and acknowledged it, but you of course are perfect and never make mistakes. Despite all that, you're a RAT. Tattling to Covers police shows your true character and complete lack of integrity. Talk about true colors. I'm sure you're used to being behind bars. View Post \| View Thread	phixer	462	October 05, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to we don't get fooled again - week 4 in Penalty Box Quote Originally Posted by phixer: ok. remember those two gestapo trained clowns. irage and log cottage. their ego can't stand what they cooked themselves. they've been exposed out in open and have only one goal: to deprive you from my picks as their bosses told them. oooh, please, have mercy loggie and irage...... This statement is nonsensical. Gestapo training ended after WWII, I wasn't even born yet. Correction: my only goal is to prevent punks like you from stealing money from people. View Post \| View Thread	phixer	462	October 05, 2015 View Post \| View Thread
replied to we don't get fooled again - week 4 in Penalty Box Quote Originally Posted by phixer: yeah. show your true colors log cottage and irage. so what book do you work for? you don't like what i write? stay the fuk out of my threads. this is a penalty box a$$wipes in case you did not notice. here - everything goes. you started so now eat $hit It's not your thread, it belongs to Covers and the community. You invite hate, because you are a hateful person. It's pretty clear you have no control over emotions and now everyone knows it, but don't worry there will always be sheep to follow you. You want me out of your threads, apologize for calling me a tout and I will never comment again in one of "your" threads. View Post \| View Thread	phixer	462	October 05, 2015 View Post \| View Thread

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