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Nope. He is simply a marketer. If you want a real handicapper, try someone like Betting Resource. Value betting with a solid money management. Been around for a while but they mostly work with the same returning clients so they don't market like these typical touts who need hype and daily promotion to keep getting new sucker since those who pay never return. Betting Resource is an old service and their website is old and out dated too, it doesn't even load properly on the phone. Its those old school sites that loads on desktop. But you don't join a service for flashy sites and promos. You join them for the quality of the service and picks. |
Mrgohard3 | 31 |
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If you are betting that big and actually winning long term, you will have no outs because almost all the books would limit you. Only books that haven't limited me are betcris and pinnacle for offshore and I don't even bet 10k/game. Even in pinnacle and betcris sometimes i have to bet multiple times to place my usual 5k bet because some of the events have limits lower than that. Once i max bet, you get shittier odds to bet the remainder. Where do you bet? If you are really betting that big I recommend following betting resource's 3 portfolios. The third portfolio with stocks and options is the best because there is no limit to growth there. Sports has a ceiling once you get to certain point. |
Havelin | 82 |
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I blindly tail these tips from br but no reasoning is ever given in the picks email. However, one of today's picks was posted on twitter and there was a little reasoning. Does anyone know what ADI and VMI mean and the numbers that follow. I googled ADI and it is short for Acceptable Daily Intake. VMI comes up as Vendor-Managed inventory. I am guessing those have nothing to do with baseball. Does anyone know what they mean in terms of baseball? I am not second guessing their picks as i have made a lot of money from them but curious to learn and I have $2500 riding on this under 8. Baseball has always been a puzzling sport for me. Below is the tweet. @bettingresource |
itajai | 5 |
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You are not alone. 98% of the bettors lose money and reload. Even if they try to hang it up, they will find a way to get back in the game. The psychology of gambling works like that. You have to understand that over 98% of sports bettors are life time down and will continue to lose in the future as well. Now if you cruise around gambling communities like covers forum or other forums, social media etc, you will see many acting like know it all and have it figured it out but REMEMBER over 98% are losing and when you cruise here, you decisions will align with the heard mentality. There are few who wins consistently but it doesn't matter, even with those picks the losing gamblers will find a way to lose because they do not have the discipline or self control or patience for the long term game. Even those who manage to do it will crack after a week or month and mess it up because all the articles or posts that you see in sites like this or forum or social media will guide make you take more wrong decisions that right ones. Even those with decent handicapping skill will end up losing in the long run because they will lose discipline/self control after a hot run or a cold run. Bettors need to work on themselves rather than doing more research on games. Research on games on communities like this will make you go with heard mentality and over your life time you will be with the 98% than the few that wins. Even if your bankroll is small, you need to learn to use a conservative money management strategy. Your bet size may seem small but if you use a compounding strategy like the one explained here you will grow your bankroll small. Use spreadsheet like the one in that article with your picks to stay disciplined. Remember that no one hits 60% (assuming the average odds of the game that they play are -110 or better) over long term (over 1000 bet sample size) regardless of what these communities and marketers may make you believe! Most people who make a living on sports betting hit 56% or less. There are many who make a living hitting 48 to 50% too but their average odds are the bets better than even. For example, take a look at this spreadsheet https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/15CSvrT3osJos4P-Fni102v5fvZqaqm8Q/edit#gid=1712378585 where 3% compounding money management was used to turn 5k into $1 million in 3 years and about 2000 bets. The hit rate during the 3 years just around 53% but the feat was accomplished by betting no more than 3% on any game but the compounding factor pays off if you are patient. Now if you give the same picks to to typical gambler, they will get wiped out in the first losing stretch because they won't have the patience to stay that disciplined long term. But if you stay disciplined and control all your urges, you will never have to reload your account again and you will get limited in many books. Even with a $500 bankroll that translates to a growth of 100k after 3 years. But when you start with your $500 bankroll, during the early stages you will be betting less than $15 per game and this is the hard part for most bettors because sooner or later they will run into some game of the year type bet that is getting hyped in these communities and make a big bet to lose the winnings that was slowly accumulated. Next they will get desperate and try to get those losses back and you know the drill. Same happens even if they luckily win that hype bet because that will lead them to chase more of those big pay days and they will get wiped out fast. I recommend reading all the articles at Betting Resource, it should help with discipline. |
PipeDreaming | 172 |
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responded to poll
What's the first answer that come to your mind? Are professional sports rigged, scripter?
in NFL Betting There is definitely some point shaving but its subtle and there is no way for you to capitalize on it. If you handicaps the game well including situation, and play with a disciplined money management you can grind it out and come out on top in the long run. But over 99% of the bettors don't have the skill or discipline to do this long term and they always end up losing in the long run. The brain will remember certain events thats happening in the game and focus solely on things that goes against them. Most of the time when the bettor screams its fix, its really not. If you cap the games as a whole, the in game process shouldn't affect your future handicapping method or discipline. It is more of psychology. I highly recommend reading this money management article and as well as the article on patience and discipline if you want to bet like a robot and not let the in game progress get the best of you. Stick to your methods religiously and you can grind it out with decent handicapping skill. Often bettors downfall is not the handicapping method, it is the discipline as the caves into emotions. As you can see from the spreadsheet in the article even with 55% hit rate you can make a killing long term if you stay disciplined instead of having to reload every other week into yoru book. |
SCREWTAPE | 179 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Godofgamblers88:
@packersbackers I think it's a case to case basis with bet365. I was limited after being positive 100k on them, talking about max wagers of 100, payouts on parlays would be a max of 100. It started with bets being forwarded to their 'trader' to be approved then slowly came the limits. This was back in 2014, and actually a couple years ago I was able to have the limits removed after emailing support but was quickly limited again within the year. I now use my friends account with no issues so I think it's a YMMV thing
Yes, its very simpl. They profile the account and if you are a disciplined bettor who only withdraws money without reloading, you will get limited. Leash will depend on your betting style, starting bankroll and the ratio of withdrawal to deposit. Any one who claims that bet365 is great and that they have been using it for years without any problem is making more deposits than withdrawals. If their overall account is up, it is by some lucky parlays and the book knows that the player will give them more of the money than keep getting lucky like that. |
sandyman | 18 |
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Don't pay for picks. Most are marketers. If you must pay, look up Betting Resource. In my opinion they are the only one worth paying. Even if you don't pay for their picks, free spreadsheet and the MM article alone will make you better. |
TheGoldenGoose | 9 |
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Quote Originally Posted by asmth14:
Itajai-- did that happen to _you? Yes long time ago. I haven't used bet365 in years after they limited me. They limited my bet size to $100 in major sports like nba/nfl/mlb. $50 for ncaaf. I stopped playing there after because it wasn't worth the time because once you bet that crappy limit once and when you try to bet it again, you pay etc juice for the next 100 you want to bet because they don't give the same line again. |
sandyman | 18 |
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Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:
I call pure BS on posts 2 & 3...total lies and horsecrap. Ive been using B365 for well over 15yrs without a single issue...anyone who knows me here will have no doubt about the integrity of B365...they do NOT limit winning longterm bettors...i am a perfect example of that, and i get paid zero dollars posting how good of a book B365 has been to me for all these years. I consistently have 5 to 6 figures on their site year round and have never once had problems with any aspect of their site. Anyone who claims otherwise, like the ones who posted above are lying and have their own agendas Sportsinteraction is the only book who has ever limited my action to max bets of $3.03 the moment my account reached 25k from a 2k initial deposit...and told me thru emails they are a book for recreational bettors only and told me to take my action elsewhere...and i did, but it took me 10 months to get all my money out of their book...this is the only book i swear to avoid based on my 20+ years of dealing with online books Having 6 figure or 7 figure does not matter. If you are down lifetime, you are welcome to have as much as you want and you can bet without any limitation. I guarantee you that your bet365 account life time is in red and you re up. Winning periodically and withdrawing winnings is nothing. They limit you if you continuously withdraw profit and keep growing your account without depositing. Anyone who thinks bet365 is a great book is guaranteed to be down life time in their account or below 100k if in profit. If you hit some jackpot parlay and got your account to positive, then that doesn't count, they will keep you. If you play singles, grind and win consistently over long term, its guaranteed they will limit you. I want to hear from anyone who has an account that is 100k in the plus and hasn't gotten limited. When i say plus, i mean the overall profit from your life time betting...i do not mean your deposit balance. Bet365 open admits they will limit you and or kick you out if they deem a client as liability but you are here telling me that they wont lol |
sandyman | 18 |
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Good start. Between you, mardyball and @bettingresource twitter, i made some great coin so far this football season. Looking forward to another solid week. thank you and good luck. |
mikeru3 | 75 |
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have to see one game on the road to see if bad winston shows up....you say its too good to pass and buy half point lol. i don't have a side on this. i hope you hit it..good luck. |
Kaname484 | 9 |
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Do yourself a favor and pound whatever Betting Resource releases as Full stake 10 unit plays tomorrow. Avoid urge to play any other game. You will most likely have a winning day. Repeat this every week and you won't have to reload again. |
FRANKtheBANKss | 11 |
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Quote Originally Posted by VeryBlueJay:
Bet365 is crap. They profile you and will limit you or kick out fast if your account is positive overall and you win long term. But for 98% of the bettors it doesn't matter because they won't understand what I am saying.
This. If you open a new account and follow sharp services like Bettingresource and their 3% compounding money management strategy, they will limit your account with in the 1st 6 months. If you start with 10k bankroll or higher, they will limit you even faster. once your account is overall in the plus and approaches 100k in winnings, they won't just limit you, they will simply close your account and tell you that you are no longer welcome to play there. They will however, let you withdraw your money after insanely intense verification process. |
sandyman | 18 |
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stanford has letdown written all ove.r |
Super_Chicken | 18 |
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