jackson6

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created a topic Some 2nd half strategy that I found for NBA/NFL/NCAAF in NBA Betting Hi. I almost never post but I decided to return share some thought. I lost quite a bit of cash, and more than $ I wasted too much valuable time. So I think its time for me end this exciting journey. Just FYI, I did pretty well in sports 2nd half bets only, but other bets I sucked. As all of you know, there is nothing as a 100% lock. But there are some patterns that I found to be very interesting that repeats itself. I only bet 2nd half because its based on 1st half information. I believe that generally depending on the way things happen often results in similar results I collected data from last couple of years and these are the ones that worked well. Over Under theory NBA When first quarter both teams tie its generally over. 75% ish when 2nd quarter both teams tie, its generally under: 75% ish there are some more patterns but this year it was only about 50% NFL When first half ties, the favored team covers: this was pretty good this year. I think the only loss was seattle vs SD couple of weeks ago. For a while it was favored and under. Another pattern that worked really well was when heavy favored was losing first half and had a spread to tie the game. This also worked well last 2 years but didnt work the last 3 weeks of season NCAAF When a favored team blows out the other team, 2nd half is generally under. I believe this is because they start running the ball, using more clock. Also to put up a lot of points require more running which slows the pace down. The way I did my 2nd half bets were I pretty much created spread sheet of all data and created categories of pattern. This was a great money making tool for 2nd half but too time consuming and distracting. I would be happy to answer any questions on what I looked for and how I made my decisions. Best of luck! View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	2	January 21, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic troicki -180 pretty easy? in Tennis looks pretty easy to me View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	1	September 25, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Kanepi -235 way too easy? in Tennis Wow the moved quite a bit. I dont really see hampton pulling this one out of well experienced Kanepi. am i missing something? View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	3	September 25, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Marion Bartoli -265 Too Easy? in Tennis China open purse 220k, Tokyo purse 2.2 mil. big difference in purse. Bartoli probably just went there to get appearance fee. and yes anything can happen in WTA View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	3	September 24, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic easy Parlay in Tennis Ivanovic will destroy Radwanska Verdasco will destroy Ito Petrova will destroy Halep Bartoli will destroy Georges Sharapova + Kvitova + Errani + Kerber + Vinci. are all good buffers to the parlay. View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	1	September 24, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic dog bets with good chances. in Tennis I have to warn you guys, im not the best with dog bets and I SUCK with over under on all sports. but some good potentials. Pablo Andujar + 217 istomin is totally not in form. Hes asking for another loss here. Schiavone +279 Stosur leads 6-4 in H2H but solid come back on Shvedova and potential upset here. Pavlyuchenkova +270 1-1 H2H I love Li Na but looking from the past, Li Na struggled with her and never was able to put her away with ease. one interesting fact is, when Li Na took more than 3-4 weeks off, her return match was pure fail. After Wimbledon she took 5 weeks off and lost first round. After US Open last year, she came back after 5 weeks and lost first match. View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	2	September 24, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Marion Bartoli -265 Too Easy? in Tennis Battle of Beauty and the Beast I prefer not to bet more than -200 but this seems like a pretty easy bet. Bartoli, playing like a top 5 player recently, Goerges, still struggling I think Beauty will fail this time. View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	3	September 24, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Freak Pics!!! (Week 4) in College Football JIMMY IGNORE THE HATERS FIRST WEEK CHASING YOU AND I LOST. IT WAS MY DECISION!!! Just a thought. I see a lot of your picks triple whammy one game, like washington first half, washington over on score, washington game, etc. Isnt it better to just whack one part of that, which probably has the highest chance of winning since we are paying a percentage for every bet. BTW i love how you have your best bet. Good stuff View Post \| View Thread	jimmydafreak	353	September 24, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to My picks in Tennis how did you get davy at -111! epic. View Post \| View Thread	timovk	9	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Tsonga in-game in Tennis Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers: Don't I know it buddy,,,I've mentioned a few times of my own tennis playing career back in my late teens/early 20's,,,I took a set off of Moya waaaaaaaay back in the day in a Spanish ITF futures event match in 1993...Highlight of my tennis career,,, seeing how amazingly successful his career turned out to be (And I couldn't care less if nobody here believes me,,,it's all good ) would you say that you played tennis out of your mind or was moya struggling. View Post \| View Thread	GraniteStateKid	32	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Tsonga in-game in Tennis Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers: I'm not saying you're wrong about tsonga winning this match,,,but he was recently punked by klizan in the us open as a -2000 fav ,,, You really never know when a scrub like Levine plays the one match of his life (dodig/nadal last year Canada event, rosol/nadal this year Wimbledon),,, anything is possible in an individual sport,,, Plus if tsonga loses this first set and mentally says "fuck this bullshit, I'm outta here,,,let's fake a hammy and hit the clubs" and retires,,,there will be many sore rectums and prostates who have "one set completed" books Anything can happen in tennis. My cousin took tennis pretty seriously and one of his close friends, ranked about top 100 beat Marat Safin one day. "When you cant miss, you cant lose" View Post \| View Thread	GraniteStateKid	32	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Tsonga in-game in Tennis firstrowsports.eu View Post \| View Thread	GraniteStateKid	32	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Tsonga in-game in Tennis just relax and enjoy. no need to sweat it. you can start sweating if levine wins first set, and breaks him 2nd set @ 4:4 View Post \| View Thread	GraniteStateKid	32	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Davydenko -200 in Tennis line jumped to -250. is karlovic injured? View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	4	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Tsonga in-game in Tennis its only 1 break. he just needs to get in a good rhythm. View Post \| View Thread	GraniteStateKid	32	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Couple of good dog bets + pretty easy lines. in Tennis my dog bets are fail. atleast the parlay was easy money. View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	6	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to klizan -165 good tip in Tennis Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers: Thanks for posting the thread btw,,,great tip that I wouldn't have looked at ^^ View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	21	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Davydenko -200 in Tennis I think this is still a solid bet. 6-1 head to head. Davydenko 4-0 Hard surface. 45% break points converted this year. Karlovic has a huge service but better return and ground game. View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	4	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to klizan -165 good tip in Tennis Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers: What's berky's stats vs right handers? dont remember. but nothing really stood out but losing almost every game when down first set, and losing most matches when played to deciding set. I dont see why Klizan had such low odds going into every match so far. I took him every match. Too easy? View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	21	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Karlovic +160 Big! in Tennis tsonga is free money. Levine, even if he plays his best tennis wont have a chance against top 20. Davydenko is a good player and was a great player. His inconsistency is his biggest enemy but when he can connect, Karlovic has no shot. May be take the over on this instead? View Post \| View Thread	GraniteStateKid	17	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread

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Entries	Thread Author	Posts	Activity
created a topic Some 2nd half strategy that I found for NBA/NFL/NCAAF in NBA Betting Hi. I almost never post but I decided to return share some thought. I lost quite a bit of cash, and more than $ I wasted too much valuable time. So I think its time for me end this exciting journey. Just FYI, I did pretty well in sports 2nd half bets only, but other bets I sucked. As all of you know, there is nothing as a 100% lock. But there are some patterns that I found to be very interesting that repeats itself. I only bet 2nd half because its based on 1st half information. I believe that generally depending on the way things happen often results in similar results I collected data from last couple of years and these are the ones that worked well. Over Under theory NBA When first quarter both teams tie its generally over. 75% ish when 2nd quarter both teams tie, its generally under: 75% ish there are some more patterns but this year it was only about 50% NFL When first half ties, the favored team covers: this was pretty good this year. I think the only loss was seattle vs SD couple of weeks ago. For a while it was favored and under. Another pattern that worked really well was when heavy favored was losing first half and had a spread to tie the game. This also worked well last 2 years but didnt work the last 3 weeks of season NCAAF When a favored team blows out the other team, 2nd half is generally under. I believe this is because they start running the ball, using more clock. Also to put up a lot of points require more running which slows the pace down. The way I did my 2nd half bets were I pretty much created spread sheet of all data and created categories of pattern. This was a great money making tool for 2nd half but too time consuming and distracting. I would be happy to answer any questions on what I looked for and how I made my decisions. Best of luck! View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	2	January 21, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic troicki -180 pretty easy? in Tennis looks pretty easy to me View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	1	September 25, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Kanepi -235 way too easy? in Tennis Wow the moved quite a bit. I dont really see hampton pulling this one out of well experienced Kanepi. am i missing something? View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	3	September 25, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Marion Bartoli -265 Too Easy? in Tennis China open purse 220k, Tokyo purse 2.2 mil. big difference in purse. Bartoli probably just went there to get appearance fee. and yes anything can happen in WTA View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	3	September 24, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic easy Parlay in Tennis Ivanovic will destroy Radwanska Verdasco will destroy Ito Petrova will destroy Halep Bartoli will destroy Georges Sharapova + Kvitova + Errani + Kerber + Vinci. are all good buffers to the parlay. View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	1	September 24, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic dog bets with good chances. in Tennis I have to warn you guys, im not the best with dog bets and I SUCK with over under on all sports. but some good potentials. Pablo Andujar + 217 istomin is totally not in form. Hes asking for another loss here. Schiavone +279 Stosur leads 6-4 in H2H but solid come back on Shvedova and potential upset here. Pavlyuchenkova +270 1-1 H2H I love Li Na but looking from the past, Li Na struggled with her and never was able to put her away with ease. one interesting fact is, when Li Na took more than 3-4 weeks off, her return match was pure fail. After Wimbledon she took 5 weeks off and lost first round. After US Open last year, she came back after 5 weeks and lost first match. View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	2	September 24, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Marion Bartoli -265 Too Easy? in Tennis Battle of Beauty and the Beast I prefer not to bet more than -200 but this seems like a pretty easy bet. Bartoli, playing like a top 5 player recently, Goerges, still struggling I think Beauty will fail this time. View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	3	September 24, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Freak Pics!!! (Week 4) in College Football JIMMY IGNORE THE HATERS FIRST WEEK CHASING YOU AND I LOST. IT WAS MY DECISION!!! Just a thought. I see a lot of your picks triple whammy one game, like washington first half, washington over on score, washington game, etc. Isnt it better to just whack one part of that, which probably has the highest chance of winning since we are paying a percentage for every bet. BTW i love how you have your best bet. Good stuff View Post \| View Thread	jimmydafreak	353	September 24, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to My picks in Tennis how did you get davy at -111! epic. View Post \| View Thread	timovk	9	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Tsonga in-game in Tennis Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers: Don't I know it buddy,,,I've mentioned a few times of my own tennis playing career back in my late teens/early 20's,,,I took a set off of Moya waaaaaaaay back in the day in a Spanish ITF futures event match in 1993...Highlight of my tennis career,,, seeing how amazingly successful his career turned out to be (And I couldn't care less if nobody here believes me,,,it's all good ) would you say that you played tennis out of your mind or was moya struggling. View Post \| View Thread	GraniteStateKid	32	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Tsonga in-game in Tennis Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers: I'm not saying you're wrong about tsonga winning this match,,,but he was recently punked by klizan in the us open as a -2000 fav ,,, You really never know when a scrub like Levine plays the one match of his life (dodig/nadal last year Canada event, rosol/nadal this year Wimbledon),,, anything is possible in an individual sport,,, Plus if tsonga loses this first set and mentally says "fuck this bullshit, I'm outta here,,,let's fake a hammy and hit the clubs" and retires,,,there will be many sore rectums and prostates who have "one set completed" books Anything can happen in tennis. My cousin took tennis pretty seriously and one of his close friends, ranked about top 100 beat Marat Safin one day. "When you cant miss, you cant lose" View Post \| View Thread	GraniteStateKid	32	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Tsonga in-game in Tennis firstrowsports.eu View Post \| View Thread	GraniteStateKid	32	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Tsonga in-game in Tennis just relax and enjoy. no need to sweat it. you can start sweating if levine wins first set, and breaks him 2nd set @ 4:4 View Post \| View Thread	GraniteStateKid	32	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Davydenko -200 in Tennis line jumped to -250. is karlovic injured? View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	4	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Tsonga in-game in Tennis its only 1 break. he just needs to get in a good rhythm. View Post \| View Thread	GraniteStateKid	32	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Couple of good dog bets + pretty easy lines. in Tennis my dog bets are fail. atleast the parlay was easy money. View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	6	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to klizan -165 good tip in Tennis Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers: Thanks for posting the thread btw,,,great tip that I wouldn't have looked at ^^ View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	21	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Davydenko -200 in Tennis I think this is still a solid bet. 6-1 head to head. Davydenko 4-0 Hard surface. 45% break points converted this year. Karlovic has a huge service but better return and ground game. View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	4	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to klizan -165 good tip in Tennis Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers: What's berky's stats vs right handers? dont remember. but nothing really stood out but losing almost every game when down first set, and losing most matches when played to deciding set. I dont see why Klizan had such low odds going into every match so far. I took him every match. Too easy? View Post \| View Thread	jackson6	21	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Karlovic +160 Big! in Tennis tsonga is free money. Levine, even if he plays his best tennis wont have a chance against top 20. Davydenko is a good player and was a great player. His inconsistency is his biggest enemy but when he can connect, Karlovic has no shot. May be take the over on this instead? View Post \| View Thread	GraniteStateKid	17	September 21, 2012 View Post \| View Thread

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