jhh123

@jepjep02

 Parlay payouts are based on the assumption that game outcomes are independent from one another. But tomorrow some games are correlated. Say Pels are up big at halftime, then it's likely Suns pull out their starters and prepare for the play-in.

@diondimucci

 Thanks for the clarifications. My bad on my answer to StraightWagers

@StraightWagers

 OKC wins the tiebreaker. And Nuggets loses the tiebreaker to either or both OKC and Wolves.

Long time no see fellows.

Gotta make some money on the last day. Let me know if the following parlay makes sense.

It all starts with the condition that Pels beating Lakers big (In order for Pels to avoid play-in, they need to win or Suns to lose)

Then score-watching Suns lose big to the Wolves knowing their game is meaningless and would rather prepare for the play-in on Tuesday. (Also, Wolves obviously have incentive to win)

And if OKC is beating the Mavs (who have nothing to play for) big, then the Nuggets are locked into the 3rd seed regardless of their outcome, so Nuggets loses ATS.

This leads to a four-game parlay of Pels W ATS (vs. Lakers), Wolves W ATS (vs. Suns), OKC W ATS (vs. Mavs), Memphis W ATS (vs. Nuggets)

Sure the first leg may be wrong (as the NBA does not want the Lakers to fall to the 10th seed, given that it's likely that Kings are likely to beat the Blazers and Warriors are likely to beat Utah), but if you are taking the Pels ATS then you might as well take parlay for extra? 

 And would there be any other correlated parlays?