jmj0013

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replied to Shoot middle, play opening line, or both? in College Football So far today I have six games with a 4+ point move and the memphis game yesterday was a 4.5 point move that I finally was able to hit the middle. Shark_attack I did run the same opposite numbers for the entire season and it came out just over a 50% win rate so not very good. Thorpe I was thinking the same way but so far I don't really see much of a correlation of the lower total games hitting the middle. However ther have only been about 10 middles that hit all season. One thing I have noticed though is you would think the games with bigger difference 7+ point differences would be the ones hitting but not one has. In fact, if I had played all the 3+ point moves I would have hit another 5 middles but then again there would be more games to play so not much more profitable. I have not really been tracking games lines for moves but would anyone know if those plays would be good and a good difference? I noticed there is rarely any moves that are 3+ for the game lines and not much more for 2+ View Post \| View Thread	jmj0013	10	November 01, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Shoot middle, play opening line, or both? in College Football Shark_Attack, are you saying that if the line opened at 60 and moved to 55 to play the over 55 or under 55? From what I understand it sounds like you want me to play only the over 55 at 5 cent juice, is that corrrect? So a recap for the day, I ended up trying to middle all of the 4+ point moves ($100 each way) and went 0-7 which I ended up losing $65. I also put another $100 on the 6+ point moves on just the original line and went 4-2, which netted me +160. The past three weeks I have not middled one game out of 23, but did happen to push one, so I am -$115. Had I just played the original I would be 12-10 which is exactly break even. Prior to the past three weeks, there was at least one middle each week and even during week two, three middles had hit. I would think as the season wore on, more middles would hit since the oddsmakers would be more sharp because now they have seen how teams play. View Post \| View Thread	jmj0013	10	October 26, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Shoot middle, play opening line, or both? in College Football So far for today I have seven games with a difference of 4+ points and five of those games have a difference of 7+ points. View Post \| View Thread	jmj0013	10	October 25, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Shoot middle, play opening line, or both? in Systems & Strategies So far for today I have seven games with a difference of 4+ points and five of those games have a difference of 7+ points. View Post \| View Thread	jmj0013	7	October 25, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Shoot middle, play opening line, or both? in Systems & Strategies Should I solely play only the opening lines or maybe play both the opening and shoot the middle? View Post \| View Thread	jmj0013	7	October 25, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Shoot middle, play opening line, or both? in College Football So I started playing four weeks ago going $100 each way to shoot the middle and so far I have hit two middles and pushed one. Total I am up +$140. Had I just played $100 on the original line, I would be 18-13-1, but having to pay 20 cent juice I would have been +$240. These past three weeks have been pretty brutal, basically winning half and losing half and then having to pay the 20 cent juice. The good thing is that at least I am up. I can't complain. View Post \| View Thread	jmj0013	10	October 19, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Shoot middle, play opening line, or both? in Systems & Strategies So I started playing four weeks ago going $100 each way to shoot the middle and so far I have hit two middles and pushed one. Total I am up +$140. Had I just played $100 on the original line, I would be 18-13-1, but having to pay 20 cent juice I would have been +$240. These past three weeks have been pretty brutal, basically winning half and losing half and then having to pay the 20 cent juice. The good thing is that at least I am up. I can't complain. View Post \| View Thread	jmj0013	7	October 19, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Shoot middle, play opening line, or both? in College Football Any insight? View Post \| View Thread	jmj0013	10	September 28, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Shoot middle, play opening line, or both? in Systems & Strategies Any insight? View Post \| View Thread	jmj0013	7	September 28, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Shoot middle, play opening line, or both? in Systems & Strategies Ok, so I just got back into football and the only reason is because I recently found a local book that pretty much offers opening lines at 20 cent prices and I can get current lines for 5 cents. My question is what is the best value play when there are moves in the line. So for instance, I can get today's Bowling Green O/U for 64.5 while my other line is 72.5. I would play the over 64.5 on one side and under 72.5 on the other and/or I could also just play the over 64.5, but keep in mind I need to pay 20 cent juice for this line. For NCAA football I have been tracking 4+ point moves in the O/U for the last three weeks and according to my records if I would have shot the middle, it would have hit 5 out of 15 times and if I would have bet with the move on the original line it would have went 11-4. If I were to have played $100 for each bet I would have been +700 shooting the middle and +$620 playing only the original line. Obviously, looking at the end numbers, just shooting for the middle is a more profitable play the past three weeks, but would it be in the long run? Also, I have been only tracking 4+ point differences, but should I look at a lower number? If you were me, how would you attack these opening lines for 20 cent prices? View Post \| View Thread	jmj0013	7	September 27, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
created a topic Shoot middle, play opening line, or both? in College Football Ok, so I just got back into football and the only reason is because I recently found a local book that pretty much offers opening lines at 20 cent prices and I can get current lines for 5 cents. My question is what is the best value play when there are moves in the line. So for instance, I can get today's Bowling Green O/U for 64.5 while my other line is 72.5. I would play the over 64.5 on one side and under 72.5 on the other and/or I could also just play the over 64.5, but keep in mind I need to pay 20 cent juice for this line. For NCAA football I have been tracking 4+ point moves in the O/U for the last three weeks and according to my records if I would have shot the middle, it would have hit 5 out of 15 times and if I would have bet with the move on the original line it would have went 11-4. If I were to have played $100 for each bet I would have been +700 shooting the middle and +$620 playing only the original line. Obviously, looking at the end numbers, just shooting for the middle is a more profitable play the past three weeks, but would it be in the long run? Also, I have been only tracking 4+ point differences, but should I look at a lower number? If you were me, how would you attack these opening lines for 20 cent prices? View Post \| View Thread	jmj0013	10	September 27, 2014 View Post \| View Thread

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