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Under 79.5
Both teams shot lights out and didn't reach this number. I expect some shooting regression and for them to stay under 80
Record 0-0 |
jmswtc | 1 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Gamebreaker23: Hmmm, that key player that you mentioned was out makes me think Long Beach is going to be in this game. What to make of them beating Iowa State by 15 in their first game? JFen, you are exactly right, no need to play every game. I think I'll make one call for this game, and hope I'm right. I like OVER 147 1/2. I was at the Iowa St. game, and the place was absolutely electric. Sold out crowd for the first time in years, and with all the high hopes for the season with Porter finally playing had the team just rolling. Iowa St. also couldn't hit a shot to save their lives. Mizzou has looked so deflated and like a completely different team the last 2 games... but at the same time it's only 2 games. Iowa St. also turned around and lost to Miluakee at home by almost 20, so I think they're just not a good team this year. I would lean LBSU in this game, but I can't bet against my team lol. Personal rule
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Gamebreaker23 | 30 |
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Big mizzou fan here... This game is a total tossup. It's their first game coming off the news of Michael Porter JR being done for the year (#1 recruit in the country). They've played the whole year without him, but they've looked awful the last 2 games. They're a young, inexperienced team on the road again and they were flat out terrible their only other game away from home.
They're either going to come out motivated and come together now that the cloudiness of Porter's status is finally decided, or the news of losing their best player for the year and likely only hope to make the tournament is going to crush them.
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Gamebreaker23 | 30 |
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Zach Zenner over 2.5 receptions (2.5 / 2.0)
Probably my favorite play of the day. Game flow in his favor cuz I think Detroit will be playing from behind most of the game.
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jmswtc | 4 |
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Last play for the first game.
Lamar Miller rush yards over 79.5 (1.1 / 1.0) O'brien knows he has the better defense and he's facing a rookie QB. I see him playing super conservative and not letting Brock lose this game for them. I think Lamar gets 20+ touches and grinds his way out to an 85-95 yard rushing day.
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jmswtc | 4 |
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Starting off with my first play for the early game.
CJ Fiedorowicz receiving yards over 40.5 (1.2 / 1.0) CJ Fiedorowicz receptions over 4 (0.7 / 0.5) With the injury and Griffin making a little bit of noise, his numbers tailed off toward the end of the year, but this is probably Brock's favorite target. Racked up a stat line of 6 for 82 against OAK last game out. Best of luck
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jmswtc | 4 |
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I've researching all week for this weekend's DFS slate, and I feel like a few player prop numbers will really jump out once I start to get the lines posted since I have a good feel for the individual players on the slate. I wanna get some discussion of these games going, so feel free to share any research and your leans for plays! The more eyes on these games, the better. NFL ytd: 9-8 (+0.3 units) |
jmswtc | 4 |
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Quote Originally Posted by cheeser: LSU is loaded w/3 point shooters, but recently dismissed craig victor, their only decent inside player. There can't be half a dozen teams that would be an underdog at home to LSU. Tack on the FACT LSU's coach is miserably poor, a really terrible in-game coach, and you have all the reasons for Mizzou being favored. The over definitely appeals to me, but that's just a gut feeling. Haven't even looked at numbers yet . Where you have insight into Missouri , I'm from La. and watch the LSU games , and it makes me sick to watch the product on the floor. No team play, no rebounding, no leadership , just a BUNCH of jump shooters, no bet. It's funny cuz that's how I would describe Mizzou except for the shooters part. They have some of the worst shooters I've ever seen for a fairly big SEC school and no inside presence whatsoever.... seems like Mizzou could have some motivation for first SEC game, but this game definitely screams avoid at all costs. |
jmswtc | 8 |
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Can someone please help explain this line to me?
Mizzou has already racked up home losses to NCCU, Eastern Illinois, and Lipscomb. Not to mention a 30 point blowout to Arizona. The players do not like the coach, they've had guys transferring out of the program the last two years. Their will be 0 impact of a home crowd as students are still on break. I follow Mizzou fairly closely and would've guessed this line to be -5 or -6 for LSU at the very least. Just kind of feels like the WVU trap game yesterday. |
jmswtc | 8 |
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Anyone get the chance to play this with me??
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jmswtc | 4 |
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If you want some more fun with this pick...
I'm taking Tony Stevens over 40.5 receiving yards for 2 units. He was one of White's favorite targets early in the year and covered this number 5 out of 6 games with White healthy at QB
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jmswtc | 4 |
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21-10 (+16.4 units) Today's Max Play: Auburn QB's over 185.5 passing yards risking 6.25 units to win 5 units
Sean White is back and 100% healthy for the Auburn passing attack tonight. OU gives up 280 pass yards a game. They will have game planned to stop the two-headed monster of Petteway and Johnson... while I do not think they will completely shut them down, I am extremely confident that Auburn QB's can hang 200+ pass yards on this OU secondary. Also, for extra fun, Jerrett Stidham has decided to transfer to Auburn for next year and people are already handing him the starting QB job for next season. White should be motivated to prove he deserves consideration for the job as well! BOL if you tail |
jmswtc | 4 |
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Stanley Williams over 90 rush yards (1.2 / 1.0) Dedrick Mills over 58.5 rush yards (3.75 / 3.0) MAX PLAY Myles Gaskin under 75.5 yards (1.8 / 1.5) Jake Browning over 18 completions (1.8 /1.5) Damien Harris yards under 90.5 (1.1 / 2.0) Artavis Scott receptions over 4.5 (1.2 / 1.0) Mike Williams receptions over 5.5 (1.2 / 1.0) Deshaun Watson rush yards over 49.5 (2.6 / 2.0) JT Barett pass yards over 219.5 (1.2 / 1.0) YTD: 21-10 (+16.4 units) |
jmswtc | 7 |
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Dedrick Mills over 58.5 rush yards (3.75 / 3.0) MAX PLAY Update on my plays the rest of the day: Myles Gaskin under 75.5 yards (1.8 / 1.5) Jake Browning over 18 completions (1.8 /1.5) Damien Harris yards under 90.5 (1.1 / 2.0) Artavis Scott receptions over 4.5 (1.2 / 1.0) Mike Williams receptions over 5.5 (1.2 / 1.0) Deshaun Watson rush yards over 49.5 (2.6 / 2.0) JT Barett pass yards over 219.5 (1.2 / 1.0) I feel really good about all of these. I'm feeling a big day coming. BOL If you tail on any |
jmswtc | 7 |
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Jake Browning over 18 completions (1.8 /1.5)
Florida laid out the game plan for how to "move" the ball on Bama's defense. Hopefully they took notes when Florida's trash QB went 26 for 39 passing against them |
jmswtc | 7 |
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Dedrick at 43 at halftime... let's close out the max play
First play in the Bama game: Myles Gasin under 75.5 yards (1.2 /1.0) Been winning on unders for RB's against Bama all year. I don't see any reason that should change today.
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jmswtc | 7 |
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***Correction
I got Dedrick Mills at 56.5 yards, same units apply
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jmswtc | 7 |
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YTD: 15-7 (+9 units)
Hitting my first rough stretch. Gonna keep trusting the research and chugging along. Early Bowls Stanley Williams over 90 rush yards (1.2 / 1.0) Dedrick Mills over 58.5 rush yards (3.75 / 3.0) MAX PLAY Marcus Marshall has decided to leave and transfer the team, and that leaves the offense on this freshman's shoulders.... He rushed for 132 in the game that Marshall missed |
jmswtc | 7 |
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Stanley Morgan (NEB) over 44.5 receiving yards 2.6 / 2.0
Stanley Morgan (NEB) over 3 receptions 1.65 / 1.5 Didn't think I'd get these numbers but he's going to have to sept up with no Westerkamp
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jmswtc | 5 |
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Alvin Kamara (TENN) over 114.5 rushing + receiving yards (0.6 / 0.5)
Josh Malone (TENN) over 72.5 receiving yards (0.6 / 0.5) |
jmswtc | 5 |
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